ThePlayboy
- 19 Aug 2003 07:00
- 3 of 10
Updated 8/18 for Tuesday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 8/19
UP Current Trend
DN Below 9,375
Through Resistance
Dow breaks through major resistance, forms rectangle.
From prior commentary, "...The index will likely continue trending higher until it reaches the major 9,360 resistance level. A break through this level will initiate a major rally..."
The Dow pushed higher at the Open and finally got a break through the key 9,360 resistance level, seen in the Daily and 60 Minute Charts. The upside break sparked a moderate rally, but further upside potential is very likely, especially if the Dow can hold above resistance tomorrow.
The break through resistance also marked the upside break from the large consolidation from the Daily Chart. The break implies further upside movement in the medium term. But first, the Dow must hold above resistance. A dip back below resistance could force another push back into the wide trading range.
Short Term Dow
Short term, the Dow has formed a very nice rectangle consolidation at the highs of the 5 Minute Chart from 9,400 to 9,420. An upside break is the most likely scenario tomorrow morning and is very likely to extend today's upmove. However, rectangles create equally powerful retracements. Watch both boundaries at the Open. If you are day trading, whichever side breaks is the side you want to play near the Open.
Medium Term Dow
In the medium term, we entered the market Long this morning at 9,375, and are still in the position. We will hold stops at 9,395 tomorrow. Stay Long above 9,420, and watch 9,375 for Shorts.
NASDAQ & S&P
The NASDAQ and S&P each rallied this morning and continue to hold at the highs of the session. The NASDAQ is right at the upper boundary of the wide, sloping range, and the S&P is approaching its upper boundary. These are key levels to watch tomorrow. *
Summary
The Dow got the break through resistance today, which triggered a nice upmove today. The fact that the index is consolidating at the highs and is now above resistance leaves the door open for a major upmove in the medium term.
Crocodile
- 19 Aug 2003 08:04
- 4 of 10
Morning all,
Late this morning due to an ISP problem in France.
guysands
- 19 Aug 2003 12:50
- 7 of 10
Just been following the thread and looking at the charts above about Celltech.
I've got some shares in that company and they've dropped over 45 today on theri interim results - which I thought were quite good results.
Do you wise people advise me to Hold or Sell.
All too often I have sold only to see the share price rise over the next few days to well above what I paid eg. Spirent! Bought those within the last few weeks ahead of their interims. They went down on the day - I paniced, sold them and now they have risen over 12% in two days!!!!
ThePlayboy
- 19 Aug 2003 17:00
- 10 of 10
wed ftse pp
r2 4301.9
r1 4276.3
pp 4261.3
s1 4235.7
s2 4220.7
Close was below tue s1 level! DJ above its pp at our close!