Crocodile
- 15 Sep 2003 21:46
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7:30am Futures
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FTSE +5 |
Techmark +2 |
DAX +2 |
Dow +18 |
S&P +1.9 |
Nasdaq +2 |
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US shares remained in negative
territory following mixed economic news and nervousness ahead of the Fed's
policy-setting meeting on Tue sday.
There is not much chance of a change in rates but there is anticipation
about what the central bank has to say about the health of the economy.
UK shares are expected to open
slightly lower after a weaker finish on Wall Street, with business seen
slack ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting on interest rates.
House prices in Britain rose last month for the first time since January,
reflecting a steady recovery in demand since the Iraq war, a key survey
showed on Tuesday.
TESCO The
UK's Britain's biggest supermarket chain revealed a 21.3 percent jump in
half year profits on Tuesday, ahead of forecasts, as it continues to
outperform rivals.
6 Months profits were 661 million pounds in the 24 weeks to August 9. with
group sales growing by17 percent.
UK like-for-like sales, a measure of how well a company is expanding its
existing business, rose 6.3 percent. That compares with growth of 5.8
percent in the first quarter, smashing its own long-term 3-4 percent target.
Dividends increased by 10%
Redrow
Group housebuilder posted a 25 percent surge in profits for the year as
cheap mortgages and a chronic housing shortage in parts of the country
continued to boost demand.
Profits came in at 106.1 million pounds higher than analysts forecasts of
103.2 million pounds.
Cobham aerospace and defence engineer posted a
7.9 percent rise in profit and announced two more small bolt-on acquisitions
and an order for missile countermeasures. The company said underlying
pre-tax profit was 54.7 million pounds for the six months to the end of
June, a touch below forecasts. But earnings per share met analysts'
forecasts.French Connection fashion stores behind the FCUK slogan, said it had
made a good start to its second half and that it expected this performance
to continue through the year.
Sales rose three percent in the first six weeks of its second half.
Like-for-like sales were up nine percent in North America.
They reported a 33 percent jump in underlying pre-tax profits to 13.7
million pounds and raised its interim dividend 67 percent to five pence.
Enterprise Inns Britain's biggest pubs
group said trading for the year to date was comfortably in line with its
expectations, and it hoped to cut debt during the year.
BSkyB CEO may leave the company when
his contract expires in May
Safeway, A decision on the battle to takeover supermarket chain Safeway
could be revealed next week, the Financial TimesWPP : Aegis The two UK advertisers have been invited to make
presentations to Coca-Cola in October, as the beverage maker reviews its
U.S. media planning and buying, with the goal of consolidating its business
into one agency account, estimated to be worth $300 million.Canary Wharf: UK commercial rents have dipped 1.8 percent in the past
12 months and are down 8.1 percent, and still falling, in the office sector
-- the steepest rates of decline since 1994,
K
United Kingdom
(F)inals (I)nterim
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United States (GMT)
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Europe & World
(GMT) |
Tesco PBT 624.7m exp. Acambis (Q2), Axon Group (I), Cobham
(I), Freeport (F), French Connection (I), Future Network (I),Georgica (I),
Interserve (I), Oxford Biomedica (I), Paladin Resources (I), Redrow (F)
00.30 Aug RICS House Prices Survey
09.30 Aug RPI-X y/y 2.9% exp.
15.30 July Leading Indicator
Index |
General Mills (Q2), Pier 1 Imports (Q2)
13.30 Aug Consumer Price Index
m/m 0.4% exp.
18.00 Sep NAHB Housing Market Index 70.0 exp.
19.15 FOMC Rate Announcement |
10.00 Sep
German ZEW Sentiment 58.5 exp.
11.00 July Industrial Production m/m 0.9% exp.
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ThePlayboy
- 16 Sep 2003 07:10
- 3 of 15
Updated 9/15 for Tuesday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 9/16
UP Above 9,500
DN Below 9,430
Still in the Range
Dow trades sideways at upper boundary of sloping range.
From prior commentary, "...The index continues to indicate that the overall uptrend is still intact... the Dow has formed a large downward-sloping consolidation at the highs of the recent two-week upmove. This type of consolidation typically indicates strength..."
The Dow opened the session flat today and continued sideways throughout the session. The index continues to hold beneath the upper boundary of the major sloping range, seen in the 15 and 60 Minute Charts, which we will watch closely.
As we mentioned in Friday's edition, the Dow shows a well-formed sloping pennant consolidation, seen in the Daily and 60 Minute Charts. This pattern is typically bullish, especially when formed in an uptrend. Continue to watch for an upside break from it at 9,500, which would likely spark a sharp rally.
However, the index ended the day showing weakness at the upper boundary of the range, therefore, we could see another move lower within the pattern before a break either way is seen. Continue to watch the major lower trend line that has formed beneath the lows of the Daily Chart. A downside break below 9,400 could indicate even further weakness.
Short Term Dow
Short term, we will watch the tight range that has formed at the highs of the 5 Minute Chart from 9,435 to 9,480. Watch for a break from this range to indicate direction at the Open.
Medium Term Dow
In the medium term, we are still out of the market since none of our entry levels were triggered. Watch 9,500 up, and 9,430 down tomorrow, with 10 point stops.
NASDAQ & S&P
The NASDAQ and S&P each traded quietly lower today, taking small losses for the day. Each index has formed sloping ranges at the highs, which could be good news for the medium term. *
Summary
The Dow traded sideways throughout the day today, losing just 23 points for the day. The index is holding just beneath the upper boundary of the bullish sloping range. An upside break through 9,500 will indicate strength, while a downside break below 9,400 will signal weakness.
Crocodile
- 16 Sep 2003 07:37
- 4 of 15
Thanks TP
Morning all
fredbear
- 16 Sep 2003 09:43
- 5 of 15
morning all
watching EUR/USD for a possible day trade long. ROC divergance present / extended price / tight looking SAR. currently supporting at 1.1235. (15 min chart)
fredbear
- 16 Sep 2003 09:54
- 7 of 15
morning D
look forward to limpys opinion/comments if he comes out to the IB :).
i sat watching EUR/USD most of last night after taking a short at 1305. it wishy washed sideways for the next 7 hours before i gave up and stuck an OCO at 1295/1240 on it. woke up turned on the screens at around 7.30to find that i had been stopped for +10 instead of +65 and missed a lovely low risk short entry point at around 6.30! :(.
do you ever get the feeling that someone is yanking yer chain. :o
ThePlayboy
- 16 Sep 2003 10:22
- 9 of 15
raptor
For Tuesday, Potential huge 3-3-5 flat developing on the low with terminal C wave in process. Latter stages of C wave could form an ending diagonal. Rally is suspect as volume is dropping off drastically for some time now which is a bearish divergence. MACD shows a bearish divergence. Price momentum shows a bearish divergence. ADX is falling suggesting the move is terminal to the upside. Stochastics are falling and favors the downside.
fredbear
- 16 Sep 2003 10:26
- 10 of 15
TP
lets hope so :)
strong ROC divergance on EUR/USD now, just waiting for confirming signals.. to then watch it go sideways for 7 hours again... probably... or if im really lucky i might get stopped for +10 ;)
fredbear
- 16 Sep 2003 12:09
- 12 of 15
EUR/USD
seems to be support at the third fib 1210 with ROC divergance evident in the 30min + 60 min chart now. in at 1214 stopping at 1206. a risky trade
no doubt end in tears ;)
Crocodile
- 16 Sep 2003 12:40
- 14 of 15
Carphone Warehouse looks weak. Considering short.
fredbear
- 16 Sep 2003 17:29
- 15 of 15
pants!
proper on the wrong side of the market today.
lucky to escape + anything :(