ThePlayboy
- 02 Oct 2003 07:16
- 3 of 12
Updated 10/1 for Thursday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 10/2
UP Current Trend
DN Below 9,230
Rally Off Support
Dow rallies off 9,230 support.
From prior commentary, "...the Dow halted its downmove right at key support at 9,230. If the Dow can continue to hold above this level and get a break through 9,350, we could see a decent rally off support..."
The Dow got the upside break through the top of the channel today at 9,350, which sparked a solid rally off support, seen in the Daily and 15 Minute Charts. The Dow held above the clear 9,230 support level this morning and eventually broke to the upside through the downtrending channel, triggering a 194 point rally to the Close.
The index looks good to continue higher in the medium term, especially if the index can form a continuation pattern at the highs. A higher low or a consolidation at the high is very likely tomorrow. Either pattern will indicate further upside potential for the index.
However, we may begin to see weakness once the 9,600 is hit. This level is the point where the Dow would hit the major lower trend line from underneath, triggering the possible "kiss of death" scenario that we have discussed many times. Watch for a reversal if the index approaches this level Thursday or Friday. Should the index break back below 9,350, look for another test of support at 9,230.
Short Term Dow
Short term, the Dow has formed a tight range at the highs of the 1 Minute Chart from 9,450 to 9,475. Watch for a break from this range to indicate short term direction at the Open.
Medium Term Dow
In the medium term, we entered the market Long this morning at 9,359, but were stopped out. We later re-entered the market Long at 9,381, and are still in the market. We will hold stops at the entry (breakeven) for tomorrow's market. We will go Short if 9,230 is broken to the downside. This is a wide range, but we feel strongly about established support at this level (not higher).
NASDAQ & S&P
The NASDAQ and S&P each broke their respective channels to the upside today, which sparked a nice upmove. The S&P was the more stellar of the two, but each now need to form a continuation pattern if further upside is to be seen. *
Summary
The Dow reversed up off the solid 9,230 support level today and broke through the top of the channel today, which triggered a sharp rally to the Close. If the index can hold on to today's gains and form a continuation pattern, further upside is likely.
Mega Bucks
- 02 Oct 2003 07:55
- 5 of 12
morning all and you croc :-)
long arm lgen ctm bby ukx...
hope you all have a good day after last nights rise on the dow it is looking good..
Mega...
Crocodile
- 02 Oct 2003 09:34
- 6 of 12
Hi Mega, you look good for a profit there,
Happy Birthday TP!
Only 1 trade today on Logica, Have found it outperforms the FTSE as a % and you can get in early at close to the previous nights close.
LINZIMASON
- 02 Oct 2003 10:23
- 7 of 12
Not sure how long to make my ARM. Any news today?
Druid2
- 02 Oct 2003 13:57
- 9 of 12
Afternoon all. Happy birthday TP - hope you have a great trading day on your birthday. Not trading today as leaving for France (Honfleur) in the morning. Hope to have a bottle or two of wine there unless Croc's drunk it all !! Left a few small short positions on as still waiting for a big drop during October. Just hope that my margin can stand it if they go against me. Back in just under a fortnight. Hope trading goes well for all - long or short.
ThePlayboy
- 02 Oct 2003 14:17
- 10 of 12
Druid2-Thanks, have a good time, I,m looking to short this rise soon into an OCt fall, safety in numbers:)
jules99
- 02 Oct 2003 14:25
- 11 of 12
Croc,
you and Logica got a thing going on...That's how rumours start...lol...
How long you been dating her...?
well done btw..good call, I went for misys...
sage surprises me some time,,,160-179...all the time...
Jules99.
Crocodile
- 02 Oct 2003 15:34
- 12 of 12
Jules Logica is a gem of a trading share for me at the moment
If the market futures are up buy it!
Down sell it, easy peasy :-)
D.