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Traders Thread & Thoughts - Monday 1st December (BARC)
Crocodile - 30 Nov 2003 13:39
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Manchester United A mystery buyer has snapped up a chunk of shares in a deal brokered by Germany's Commerzbank, reigniting takeover talk. Also MNU said it had won a new sponsorship deal from Vodafone worth 36 million pounds over four years. Alfred McAlpine construction and support services said it was in talks with the UK's Ministry of Defence to become a preferred bidder for contract worth over 100 million pounds to the firm. A successful outcome of the talks would lead to a seven-year contract for capital and maintenance works on 120 Ministry of Defence properties in the south-west Wolseley the world's largest supplier of plumbing and heating materials, said on Monday it had bought Swiss-based air conditioning and heating wholesaler Tobler for 52 million pounds. Communisis <warning> direct marketing firm said it was trading below its expectations because of pricing pressures in its non-contractual personalised products and document services businesses.BTG technology development firm said its biggest new drug hope, Varisolve for varicose veins, faced a "significant delay" in the United States as it posted a slightly narrower first-half loss. The firm, whose shares plunged last month when it said U.S. regulators had suspended a Phase II clinical trial for Varisolve, said it expected to have to conduct additional clinical and preclinical studies in the United States. They posted a loss before tax of 13.4 million pounds in the six months to September 30, compared with a loss of 13.6 million in the same period of 2002. Qantas Airways Australia's biggest airline and a key Boeing customer, said it would buy 23 new Airbus EADS.PA EAD.DE planes worth about $1.15 billion for its new low-cost carrier, Jetstar. The deal gives Airbus a firmer foothold in a fleet dominated by Boeing Co BA.N and strengthens its presence in the fast-growing and profitable Asian market, where Singapore Airlines, China Airlines and Malaysian Airlines use its aircraft. |
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Acal (I), Belhaven Group (I), BSS Group (I), BTG (I), Christian Salvesen (I), Dawson Holdings (F), Helphire Group (I), iSoft (I), Lawrence (I), MyTravel (F), Richmond Foods (F), VP Plc (I) 09.30 Oct Final M4 Money Supply y/y 7.4% exp. 09.30 Oct Net Consumer Credit 1.6bm exp. 09.30 Nov Preliminary M0 Money Supply y/y 7.8% exp. 09.30 Nov CIPS manufacturing PMI 54.5 exp. |
McData 15.00 Oct Construction Spending m/m 0.6% exp. 15.00 Nov ISM Manufacturing 58.0 exp. |
08.55 Nov German BME PMI 52.3 exp.09.00 Nov BME PMI 52.5 exp. |
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Crocodile - 30 Nov 2003 13:40 - 3 of 18
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Sunday News Headlines 30th November Harrods owner Mohamed al Fayed is preparing a bid for the Daily Telegraph and Sunday Telegraph, according to the Observer Stockbroker Collins Stewart has won the bidding battle to buy holiday company Center Parcs UK for about 300 million pounds The interest rate appears to be having an effect on the housing market, the Nationwide Building Society has said. House prices rose by an average ?1,400 during November, an increase of 1.2% over October. Airline Swiss Chief Executive Andre Dose says a merger with British Airways is a long-term option but not a strategic goal and the immediate focus of the national carrier is on its turnaround plan. In its first major outright bank nationalisation in five years, the Japanese government has said it will take control of big regional lender Ashikaga Bank after inspections showed it was insolvent. Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Kasyanov says there is no chance beleaguered oil major YUKOS might be nationalised. Stansted Airport is likely to get the go-ahead to build a new runway after pollution concerns ruled out expansion of Heathrow in the near future, the Financial Times reports. Wall Street largely unmoved as US holiday runs into weekend - The Scotsman - Sat 29 Nov, 03:00 AM STERLING broke through $1.72 yesterday for the first time in five years - its third record fresh high in three consecutive days. |
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Premiership: Charlton 0 Leeds 1: Milner cashes in for Leeds WH Smith staff face pension hike BAE clinches key accord on Joint Strike Fighter with US Austin Reed Spend! Spend! Spend! but not this Christmas Ryanair pledges cash to punters Capital Radio recruits board talent International Power price could scupper Drax offer MyTravel to axe seventh director William Morrison Winchester Entertainment Scotia Holdings drug pays out first dividend Business digest Manchester United Loan deal lifeline may pull Leeds from brink |
Ian Pickering's working day, Manganese Bronze Sharewatch: Persimmon Stanley Leisure gambles on a change in the odds Boots, Next, M&S Are retail stocks a good buy? Dixons, GUS, HOF Are retail stocks a good buy? Carphone Warehouse, WH Smith Are retail stocks a good buy? Andrew Davidson: Taxi maker rides back from exilem Manganese Bronze Working Space, Manganese Bronze Eircom mobile entry to steer clear of Meteor Schroders, Stanley gambles on a change in the odds Belhaven Group Sharewatch: Drink to success Comment: Jill Kerby: Vodafones largesse is really rather small EMI may step in if BMG talks fade out |
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SUNDAY TELEGRAPH BNFL to keep US arm Collins Stewart to win Center Parcs Jarvis Norris company faces bankruptcy questions BSkyB Football clubs face financial cataclysm, warns Greg Dyke Diageo put to proof in whisky wars Pearson Kann's plot to KO the FT |
Marks & Spencer Retailers feel the cold as customers bunker down Carlton, Granada, Allen's screen test Vodafone, Orange Attack of the phones Marks & Spencer Hidden costs of cheaper goods BSkyB Regrets, he has a few |
| Wolfson Microelectronics, whose chips are used in DVD players and games consoles, has seen its shares soar since flotation* in October. Good news expected in the coming months should further boost the price from 279 3/4p. Premier Oil Having completed a restructuring to rid itself of its controlling shareholders it is seen as an attractive takeover target. The company's prospects also look bright financially, making it a buy at 419 1/2p. Icap, the world's biggest inter-dealer broker, last week beat market hopes with a 10% rise in interim profits. It is also seen as having a credible electronic platform, where much business is now being done. Buy at 1337p | |
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Granada, Carlton ITV faces a little local difficulty Center Parcs holiday villages go to Collins Stewart for 300m Steel unions put forward rescue plan for ailing Corus Newcastle United Geordie goes to Hollywood |
Icap chief Spencer rides storm GKN Baroness of the boardrooms Sainsbury, Tesco and Asda grow fat at rivals' expense Barclays faces new onslaught over Barrett |
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Silence that riled Corus's biggest gun Barclays Bank counts the cost of Leeds slump |
BT Group 1,300 jobs go as email phones flop Punch Taverns Pubs 'n' Bars mops up failed Balaclava London Stock Exchange faces bill for millions |
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WH Smith Newspaper industry facing losses of 100m a year in distribution shake-up The Week Ahead: Scottish and Newcastle |
The Week Ahead: GlaxoSmithKline The Week Ahead: Wolverhampton and Dudley |
| HBOS A trading update from two weeks' time is likely to push the bank higher as the Halifax and Bank of Scotland business achieves further growth from the resilient housing and consumer spending sectors. Shares look cheap at 726 1/2p. | |
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Royal Bank of Scotland linked with 60m bid for Indian bank Robert Wiseman set to bring some festive cheer SMG Wiseman Regions groomed for starring role Scottish and Newcastle set to bring some festive cheer HBOS IF founder on brink of tele-banking return |
Inveresk bosses cash in on 135m Nasdaq windfall GlaxoSmithKline looks only moderately healthy European probe launched into Diageo dispute Apathy forces HBOS to axe its 'banks of the future' BT Group Broadband goal to net more profit British Airways FTSE100 set to welcome back resurgent BA |
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INVESTORS CHRONICLE This Year's Portfolio of Top Ten Winners: Danka Business Systems (DNK) - Ashtead Group (AHT) - Pendragon (PDG) - Kier (KIE) - John Menzies (MNZS) - British Polythene (BPI) - European Motor (EMH) - Costain (COST) - Alliance Unichem (AUN) - House of Fraser (HOF).Tips: Buy easyJet (EZJ) at 263p - TT Electronics (TTG) at 112p - Hardman Resources (HNR) at 32p - Cape (CIU) at 63p - Codascisys (CSY) at 273p, Sell Northern Foods (NFDS) at 140p. Updates: Sell Xstrata (XTA) and Invensys (ISYS). Keep buying GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), Hold Braemar Seascape (BMS), Get Group (GTG) is good value. Company Results: Buy Workspace (WKP) - Enterprise Inns (ETI) - GUS (GUS), Sell Kingston Communications (KCOM). |
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SHARES MAGAZINE Plays of the Week Buy Kensington Group (KGN) at 311p - Gympie Gold (GYM) at 24p - Lupus Capital (LUP) at 7.37p - AEA Technology (AAT) at 255p - Ultimate Leisure (ULG) at 255p.Updates: Buy BioProgress (BPRG) and UBC Media (UBC). Hold Intec Telecom (ITL) and Abbeycrest (ACR).Further news: Keep an eye on Henderson Morley (HML). |
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little woman
- 30 Nov 2003 15:57
- 4 of 18
Be back after market open
ThePlayboy
- 30 Nov 2003 19:47
- 5 of 18
Key DOW Levels for 12/1
UP Above 9,805
DN Below 9,700
Holding...
Dow holds within wide trading range, watch 9,800 Monday.
From prior commentary, "...The index continues to hold its ground at the highs in a trading range, which could lead to a continuation move higher. An upside break through 9,800 could push the index higher to its next major resistance level at 9,900..."
The Dow held within the wide trading range that has formed over the past several trading sessions, seen in the 15 Minute Chart. The range spans from 9,700 to 9,800, which will be the key ranges to watch for Monday's market.
The index continues to make its way higher toward the next major resisatnce level at 9,900, which is likely the next stop for the Dow. If the index can break through and hold above 9,800, look for the Dow to head higher toward this resistance level.
Otherwise, a break below 9,870 will likely push the Dow back toward the last support level of 9,700. Look for the Dow to remain within the range boundaries until a solid break occurs.
Short Term Dow
Short term, the Dow has broken a clear lower trend line at 9,790, seen in the 5 Minute Chart. Watch for short term weakness Monday morning.
Medium Term Dow
In the medium term, we entered the market Long at 9,800 today and are still in the position. We will continue to hold stops at 9,780 and will stay Long above 9,805. We will look to enter Shorts below 9,700, with 20 point stops.
NASDAQ & S&P
The S&P traded sideways the entires session, while the NASDAQ edged slightly higher. Each continue to hold within their respective ranges, which we will watch for Monday's market. *
Summary
The Dow continues to hold right at the upper boundary of the trading range at 9,800. An upside break through this level will likely push the index back toward major resistance at 9,900, while a break below 9,780 will spark further range movement.
ThePlayboy
- 30 Nov 2003 19:49
- 6 of 18
R2 4399
R1 4371
PP 4352
S1 4324
S2 4305
Close was below Fri s1 after gaining 5.1 pts in the auction!
WEEKLY FTSE PP
R2 4467
R1 4405
PP 4362
S1 4300
S2 4257
Close was above the weekly pp!
2 day ftse chart seems to be targeting the longer term uptrend at 4320 with the real test at 4280! A brk up out of the 2 day at 53, more bullish above 60
though!
Crocodile - 01 Dec 2003 07:45 - 7 of 18
Morning all
Douggie - 01 Dec 2003 07:57 - 8 of 18
Druid2
- 01 Dec 2003 08:21
- 9 of 18
little woman
- 01 Dec 2003 08:48
- 10 of 18
Thanks Croc & TP - I'm running late this morning, but pleased to see LLOY & PSN up this morning. Looks like BT.A finally has the support its been missing since the results came out.
Melnibone - 01 Dec 2003 08:53 - 11 of 18
Those US futures look good. If they can follow
through on the open we could have an assault on
the 1070/9900 areas respectively.
That would take the FTSE over 4400 and attacking
4450. Fingers crossed.
Melnibone
little woman
- 01 Dec 2003 11:37
- 12 of 18
little woman
- 01 Dec 2003 11:55
- 13 of 18
stockbunny
- 01 Dec 2003 16:36
- 14 of 18
better than it has share-price-wise for a while and even LLOY
starting to battle its way upwards. MKS and LLOY still look a
little shaky -would like to see both put on another 10p or so
to get them away from the current unstable price area.
SCTN tomorrow is the news I'm now waiting for - let's hope all
the hot weather caused a great deal of beer drinking in the Summer!!
Melnibone - 01 Dec 2003 17:16 - 15 of 18
Managed one scalp on MKS and then kept losing my D4F
connection. It went down completely this afternoon.
It always seems to do this when they do weekend software
maintenance.
I wish people would stop trying to fix things when they
aren't broke and stop tinkering.
I missed some good moves today, but there's no way I'll
trade if I'm unlikely to be able to close a losing position.
Before anyone mentions using the telephone, no, I don't
like spending my time in a queue listening to 'Elevator Music'
whilst a price continues to move against me. :-)
Been there, done that, no real urge for a repeat experience.
Melnibone.
Melnibone - 01 Dec 2003 17:28 - 16 of 18
If the US stays positive and keeps attacking 1070/9900
this could prove interesting.
An index short at the top of the trading channel will no
longer be a one way bet. Bears will be worried about a
breakout and a trend acceleration.
There will be stops above this trend channel, that if triggered
will fuel a short squeeze to the upside.
Don't want to appear too Bullish, just be aware of the possibility
before opening any fresh shorts. There is a possibility
of getting your fur burnt here.
There will be plenty of time to short if the breakout fails
because that would mean that we really were at the top of a
still intact trend channel with plenty of downside.
Melnibone
ajren - 01 Dec 2003 18:23 - 17 of 18
info@ftse.com rgds aj
ajren - 01 Dec 2003 18:36 - 18 of 18
Malcolm I Glazer family ltd partnership holds :-
37,357,942 shares = 14.31 per cent of company
...........................
Directors purchase - small amount - @ 245.5 per share
...........................
Company shares issued = 261,068,040
rgds aj
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