Crocodile
- 04 Feb 2004 21:38
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FTSE -16 |
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The Nasdaq composite erased nearly all its
gains for 2004 closing down 52.07 in a technology-led sell off following
disappointment over forecasts from Cisco and Ciena. The S&P down 9.51 lost
around 0.8 percent and the Dow Jones industrial average down 34.44
With the economy surging ahead the Bank
of England will probably raise interest rates again today, increasing the
gap with the euro Invensys announced a refinancing plan totalling 2.7 billion pounds
and said it would provide a solid base for the company's long-term
viability. The plan included the placing and open offer of 2,187 million new
shares at 21.5 pence each to raise 450 million pounds, the issuing of 625
million pounds in high-yield bonds and five-year credit facilities of 1.6
billion pounds.ICI announced its third dividend cut in three years as it reported
fourth-quarter earnings that were at the top end of forecasts.4th quarter
pre-tax profits fell two percent from last year to 86 million pounds against
analysts consensus at 80.7 million.Shell just reported profits of 1.86 billion dollars against 2 billion
dollars forecast and the future of the refining market was uncertain.
Chemicals outlook challenging,
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GWR (Q4), ICI (F) PBT 282-342m exp.
Shell (Q4) Adj net $1.9bn exp.
Signet (Q4), Smith & Nephew (F),
Lonmin (AGM)
12:00 BOE rate announcement, 4%
exp.
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13:30 Weekly Jobless Claims
13:30 Q4 labour costs, 0.3% exp. |
11:00 Nov retail sales m/m, y/y, 0.5%, 0.0% prev.
12:45 ECB rate announcement, 2.0% prev.
13:30 Q4 Productivity, 2.6% exp.
13:30 ECB press conference |
Crocodile
- 05 Feb 2004 07:37
- 3 of 24
Morning traders
Melnibone
- 05 Feb 2004 08:43
- 4 of 24
Morning all,
Gap open lower closed early on.
Should get some direction by 0900 hrs.
BOE decision will keep market cautious until 1200 hrs IMHO.
Melnibone.
ThePlayboy
- 05 Feb 2004 08:55
- 6 of 24
the relevance of 4390
hope all are doing well over here:)
Melnibone
- 05 Feb 2004 09:19
- 7 of 24
Doing very nicely this week, TP. :-)
Agree with 4390, it ties in with my swing charts as well as
your support/resistance charts.
It is also today's PP (4392). What a surprise! ;-)
Melnibone.
ThePlayboy
- 05 Feb 2004 09:22
- 8 of 24
lol yes strange mel! 3 out of 3 winning scalps off 4390 then quick short, drift into 12 o.clock, non farms brk the 450/500 farce tomorrow hopefully for soem trends!
Melnibone
- 05 Feb 2004 09:32
- 9 of 24
Yep, that's about the size of it.
That's why I said last night that there was no rush
to jump in early and anticipate the possible breakout
higher with a position index long.
I've collected a couple of blue chip longs on the dips
to cover the upside.
Monitoring the index to use as intraday scalps or position
short to hedge the longs if we get a downer.
Melnibone.
Fundamentalist
- 05 Feb 2004 09:48
- 10 of 24
Closed GSK long for +37 (after 2 days despite it supposed to be a longer term trade), will look to go back in on price dips, still looking to go into HBOS before results
Melnibone
- 05 Feb 2004 10:13
- 11 of 24
Nice trade on GSK, Fundamentalist.
1200p is pivotal at the moment.imho.
-ve Ftse will take it below this.
+ve Ftse will take it to 1250p.
Looking at STAN in banking sector rather than HBOS.
Melnibone.
Fundamentalist
- 05 Feb 2004 11:05
- 12 of 24
tx melnibone,
not prepared to guess the ftse direction until after interest rate announcement. STAN - are ypu looking long from the bottom of the trend ?
Melnibone
- 05 Feb 2004 11:21
- 13 of 24
As well as the longer trend, it's back down at the top of
the trading range it was in last September.
Last 4 months profits have now been taken by the longs.
Melnibone.
Melnibone
- 05 Feb 2004 11:29
- 14 of 24
Watched Nicole Elliot on the Bloomberg TA spot this morning.
She was looking at a longterm monthly chart of the Dow.
She reckons we are now up at heavy resistance and the last
month has been a narrow range Bull/Bear tussle.
Reckons last few months of DOW rise is purely weakening dollar, and
Euro holders of US assets have gone precisely nowhere.
Talked about Dhogi and Shooting Star candles, and is expecting
a possible drop to 10,000.
Make of that what you will. She's usually spot on when doing
the currency charts, but I've never seen her doing Index
charts before. Still, principle must be the same.
Melnibone.
ThePlayboy
- 05 Feb 2004 11:51
- 15 of 24
short closing b4 boe long 61 fut will close b4 12
ThePlayboy
- 05 Feb 2004 11:56
- 16 of 24
closed 4
ThePlayboy
- 05 Feb 2004 12:01
- 17 of 24
0.25 rise
Fundamentalist
- 05 Feb 2004 12:01
- 18 of 24
rates up 0.25% as expected
Diego
- 05 Feb 2004 12:55
- 19 of 24
New to contributing to this thread, but visit it as part of my morning prayer.
FTSE trading marginally above PP. DOW futures look healthy. Are we in for an upward thrust? Maybe I should cover my BAY short?
hmmmmmmmmmmm.
Diego
ThePlayboy
- 05 Feb 2004 13:19
- 20 of 24
diego as posted this morning watch 450/50 dj for a brk either way, 1,30 figs soon to aid direction, cannot really adivse u on weather or not to close your bay short though!
ThePlayboy
- 05 Feb 2004 13:34
- 21 of 24
q4 2.7%
jobless steady 3.1
futs not done much atm
Melnibone
- 05 Feb 2004 14:58
- 22 of 24
Talk about cat & mouse.
The world and his dog are watching these levels.
Melnibone.