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Traders Thread - Thursday 22nd April (ALLD)     

Crocodile - 21 Apr 2004 21:48

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1 Day  

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UK News

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Day 2 Day 5 Day US News

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Nikkei +25 Hang Seng -135  Asia News

  DAX    CAC     Euro News

US stock markets closed higher after a shaky start higher following some upbeat earnings results.

Allied Domecq posted a six percent rise in half-year profits at 266 million and added it was on track to deliver annual earnings growth in line with market expectations.

Abbey National said that the profit outlook at its retail banking business was moderately weaker than expected as Q1 profit at 216.5 million missed forecasts.

McCarthy & Stone retirement home builder posted an 11-percent rise 44.1 million pounds half-year profit at the top end of expectations, and said economic conditions remained good for business.

George Wimpey said trading in the U.S. and UK remained encouraging during the last few weeks, with the market in the United States remaining particularly strong. They have seen no signs of the market slowing down so far.

BAA to invest over 8 bln in London airports

WH Smith made an 84 million pound loss against a 27 million pound gain a year earlier. It said it would allow Permira to look at its books before deciding whether to go ahead with a 940 million pounds bid but there was no certainty that a firm offer would follow.

Marconi Corp posted fourth-quarter sales at 378 million pounds towards the bottom end of forecasts but reiterated that market conditions were stabilising.

Persimmon now the largest biggest housebuilder said that demand for homes across all ranges had been encouraging since the start of the year. Current revenues are up more than 35 percent from a year fuelled by good demand & higher prices.

Brown & Jackson sales rose 2% in Q1following an excellent performance at its refurbished Instore stores and said said it was cautiously optimistic of the year ahead . The owner of the Poundstretcher chain posted an operating loss of 0.4 million pounds for the year in line with market expectations. It also announced a rights issue to raise around 25.4 million pounds for the accelerated conversion of its Poundstretcher stores and a new distribution centre.

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Brown & Jackson (F), Hitachi Capital (F), Allied Domecq PLC (I), McCarthy & Stone (I), Smith WH (I), Corus (AGM), George Wimpey (AGM),

Abbey National (Trading), Schroeders (AGM), Reuters (AGM)08:30 March prov M4/M4 lending 08:30 March capital issuance 08:30 BBA March net sterling lending 08:30 CML March mortgage lending 08:30 March PSNCR 08:30 BSA March mortgage lending

American Express, AT&T, Caterpillar, Amgen,

BellSouth,Edison,

Freddie Mac, Kellogg, Kimberly-Clark, MBNA,

Merck , Microsoft, Office Depot, Reebok International Limited, Sara Lee, Viacom

13:30 Initial Claims 04/17 - 335K

SAP AG, Comdirect Bank AG

Lafarge SA, Sanofi-Synthelabo

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David@SnappyTrader.com    www .SnappyTrader.com  Pre Market Futures FTSE +5 DAX +15 DOW -7 S&P -0.8 NAS +0.5

Tips & Recommendations

Crocodile - 22 Apr 2004 06:55 - 3 of 24

Morning all, If you read the thread please say hello :-)
David.

ThePlayboy - 22 Apr 2004 07:01 - 4 of 24

hello

ThePlayboy - 22 Apr 2004 07:01 - 5 of 24

Updated 4/21 for Thursday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 4/22
UP Above 10,340
DN Below 10,285

Consolidating
Dow hugs flat line, forms clear consolidation at lows.

From prior commentary, "...The Daily Chart shows that the Dow has formed a lower high beneath 10,500, which implies a likely continuation in the medium term...However, we could see a continuation pattern form at the lows before such a move is seen..."
The Dow sold off early in the session, but immediately traded higher off the highs, forming the framework for a clear consolidation at the lows, seen in the 15 and 60 Minute Charts.

Currently, the consolidation has formed in the sharp of an ascending triangle consolidation, which is typically a bearish pattern. Given that the consolidation has formed at the lows, we are likely to see a big downside break tomorrow. Watch 10,285 down tomorrow, as a break here could unleash an even greater decline in the medium term.

The Dow is still vulnerable to sideways movement, however. We could see the index push sideways within the consolidation boundaries before a true break occurs. Also, an upside break through the top of the range could change the Dow's momentum. Watch 10,340, as an upside break here could spark a sharp recovery tomorrow.

Short Term Dow

Short term, the Dow held beneath a clear short term resistance level throughout the session at 10,340, seen in the 5 Minute Chart. Watch this level closely tomorrow morning, as the Dow will likely use it as a fulcrum for direction.

Medium Term Dow

In the medium term, we entered the Dow Short at 10,262, but stopped out with a 20 point loss. No other trades were triggered and we are now out of the market. We will watch 10,285 down, and 10,340 up tomorrow; using 20 point stops.

NASDAQ & S&P

The NASDAQ and S&P each reversed off the session lows today, forming a tightly-wound, ascending ranges. Look for a slow uptrend to resume tomorrow, unless the range is broken to the downside. *

Summary

The Dow traded sideways within a tight range throughout the day today, forming a clear, upward-sloping consolidation. Look for continued consolidation development until one of the boundaries is solidly crossed. A break either way should provide a good movement

ThePlayboy - 22 Apr 2004 07:01 - 6 of 24

thu ftse pp

r2 4587
r1 4564
pp 4545
s1 4521
s2 4504

Ftse closed below s1 on wed and lost 1pt in the auction! Uptrend consolidation off the low bullish, clear brk above res at 4550 tom for potential upside if the dow can close above 10320 tonight imho!

Druid2 - 22 Apr 2004 07:50 - 7 of 24

Hello and thanks to Croc and TP for your inputs here.

zarif - 22 Apr 2004 07:57 - 8 of 24

morning to all.
dull grey and rainy in ellesmereport

rgds
zarif

jimleaper - 22 Apr 2004 08:01 - 9 of 24

Hello, Fine & Bright & Sunny in the East Mids Thanks

little woman - 22 Apr 2004 08:40 - 10 of 24

Morning all

Sun trying to break through here 30 miles north of Southampton.

Fundamentalist - 22 Apr 2004 08:59 - 11 of 24

mornin all,

grey and drizzly in manchester, tx as ever for the thread croc

Melnibone - 22 Apr 2004 09:24 - 12 of 24

Morning all,

Still sticking with my Monday view that we're near the highs
and looking to short pops rather than buy dips on the Indices.
If I get caught in a rapid move I would rather be short than long.

Will still scalp long any Blue Chips that get hammered down, but
only on a swift in and out basis for small profits.
I don't want any LTBH/Swing holdings at these levels.

Melnibone.

jj50 - 22 Apr 2004 09:34 - 13 of 24

Morning all,

Sunny here in Edinburgh but better viewed from inside as cold and windy as usual. Read the thread every day - thank you croc.

Madison - 22 Apr 2004 10:15 - 14 of 24

Hi, Warm sun and beautiful blue sky in Cornwall. Hope my screen turns that colour!

Read this interesting thread most days to see what I can learn. Thanks to all the regular contributors. I keep meaning to study Mel's noughts and crosses game, but never seem to get round to it :)

Madison

fbrj - 22 Apr 2004 10:24 - 15 of 24

I'm fairly new to MoneyAm site. This thread is usually one of the first I look at. Thanks for your efforts - much appreciated!

Melnibone - 22 Apr 2004 10:27 - 16 of 24

http://www.marcrivalland.com/point.asp

Try this for a little light reading, Madison. :-)

Melnibone.

little woman - 22 Apr 2004 12:05 - 17 of 24

I wonder how much further ANL will fall.

Madison - 22 Apr 2004 13:00 - 18 of 24

Thanks Melnibone.

Madison

Changer - 22 Apr 2004 13:06 - 19 of 24

hello

little woman - 22 Apr 2004 14:55 - 20 of 24

Hi Changer - welcome

zarif - 22 Apr 2004 15:10 - 21 of 24

lw hello to you as havenot spoken with u for a while i hope trading is good.Dow is ranging atm and until it makes its mind either way best to watch.
Cable gave a good short last two days and got out of it today.

Changer -happy for u to join crocs lair and our looney bin!!!I am sure u will find everone here helpful.
Remember: ADVICE IS LIKE CASTOR OIL -VERY EASY TO GIVE BUT VERY HARD TO TAKE!!!!.

RGDS
ZARIF

Melnibone - 22 Apr 2004 15:50 - 22 of 24

draw?startDate=22%2F03%2F04&period=1M&pl

FTSE has now nearly closed the gap down from Tuesday's close.
Bears will have taken their windfall profits.
Trapped Bulls will breathe a sigh of relief.

Where we go now depends on whether the Dow can break 10340
and the S@P 1128. IMHO.

Melnibone.
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