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My tips for 2006 (GOLD)     

gallick - 08 Dec 2005 00:01

But please give me yours!

Thought I would get in early for 2006 - as I'm sure there will be a few similar posts. Sorry to have missed the London lunch (and for being so quiet this year). Did anyone get in the vintage Krug. If they did, I want their tip for 2006 (since they obviously know a thing or two).

IMHO the mining and oil stocks will continue to dominate the equity markets in 2006. For miners I like the look of BHP at the top end and Griffin, Tanzanite one, Golden Prospect and Galahad at the smaller end. For oils I am sticking with Burren and Dana (med caps) and Victoria, Emerald and Oilexco at the smaller end.

Internationally I go South America and India.

But I think 2006 may not be great for equities and I think the real action will be in commodities. Gold, silver, lead, zinc, palladium and the agriculturals are looking interesting too - sugar, oats - maybe even wheat, and soyabean (been reading Jim Rogers lately)! Never a finer time to open a spreadbetting account and get in on the action IMHO.

If the US hits recession I am ready to short everything that moves.

Have a great 2006 everybody - i'll be at the London lunch next year - thats a threat!

Gf - what do you reckon to a bounce-back in DGM!!

Cheers
gk

TheFrenchConnection - 02 Jan 2006 15:39 - 30 of 79

,,,,,,,2006 -Will be remembered not dissimilar to last year - OIL !!! OIL ,!! ..Oil , !!! OIL !! !! or GAS !! GAS !!! GAS !! .lt will plague the Bush /Cheyne administration until the bitter end . And sadder still its price could endanger jobs everywhere and destabalize many fledgeling democracies.The ultra conservative mag, Forbes, of course saw this as a real money maker and told all its members so .. . .Matt Simmons whose investment house has billions under funds has no illusions about oil @ $100 p/bl and futher more margins may reach 50%. Analyists at Goldman Sachs discreetly agreed. Whispers at planned secret meetings at JP Morgan reg the concept of "Peak Oil " started to be taken seriously . Now it is a trueism ! . The Federal reserves fiscal policy under Mr G is identical to Mr B ; and thier answer is juste print the money and protect all highly yielding acreage with the millitary .And in doing so keep alive the rest of the economy .What else can they do ? .With an absurd $700 trillion trading debit upon whose annual interest alone they have renaged on more than one occassion there is little left to do . Remeber oil is a finite variable . Now while China and lndia are content buying T Bonds all is fine in the house of cards called the USA. But as we can all see things bode badly geopolitically . And now lran, and Syria with a number of other Oil Nats within Opec want want paying for their oil in a basket of currencies with the $ constututing a mere percentage .The mighty petrodollars is on a heart machine . . But that is a totally different story . ....2006 will be a year of aquisitions on behalf of "Big Oil " with bulging coffers out for any impressive producing tiddlers who have done all the hard work but for which they are handsomely rewarded -does wonders to beef up thier production figures to tell many of their "nice but dim " shareholders . and access to new acreage . 2006 - year for the commissioning of a new class of refineries capable of dealing with heavy sulphur bitumin like oxy hydrocarbon deposits- like those found in Alberta and the Latin Americas .A year for companies actively involved in the manufacture new platforms especially designed as mooring / production vessels for deepwater exploration (as West African platforms illustrate )... Basically the entire OIL services industry will prosper ... ... 2006 will be a year for both junior expos/prods merging and consolidating to avoid outright aquistion and synergies in the bidding war that will ultimately break out for RIGS ! during "the driving season " when use is high in the USA ,,,,,,,,The rotary count was 86% in 2004/5 . Now it is so tight that ANY disruption would be felt everywhere. Bottlenecks exist as a result of divestment over 30 years -both up and downstream .2006 shall be a year for those who build rigs what with the last rotary count running at almost 97.2 % % capacity ; but really 100% after the gulf hurricanes whose damage was played right down at the time . l think we shall see absolutely enormous mind boggling j/vs between countries and consortiums alike. All with massive millitary protection and private armies . Perhaps a year of more resource wars ? Azeris and Armenians are reckoned to have as much oil as perhaps lran . Much of which is in the Pankisi gorge - a hotbed of turbulence ,hostility and ethnic unrest . Armed groups roam this hinterland of savagery,,, Anarchy prevails . America has made its move in buiding new bases in Rumania, Bulgaria and Georgia to ensure smooth running of Caspian oil Even Kuwait has invited Western Expos to investigate leads in other parts of the country away from their two main producing fields not disimilar in size to the biggest in the world at Gwawar in S/Arabia .They are OLD and TIRED and been subject to water injection and bottle brush drilling ",,,,, Cheap oil is GONE forever ! .Half of the IPOS joining OFEX or Aim in the past 12 months are either oil juniors or mining concerns; and for good reason as we are entering the second stage of a secular bull market in commodoties for a catalogue of reasons you all know .This is something we have never seen since the rebuilding of Europe after World War 11 . But a barrel of black gold then was no more than a mere couple of dollars in 1945/6 ,,,. Texas , Louisianna, and those States on the Mexican gulf coast USA was utterly awash with it ? For millions of years hydrocarbon sat in abundancet under anoxic/ euxinic conditions in formation ---and a mere 50 years for those barbarians to squander it. ........OIL !!! OIL , oil !!! Thats were all the clever money will be . What with with hydrogen powered cellular still not cost effective ( but rapidly coming down ) but not anticipated on market until 2015 and a distinct lack of "REAL" interest among the boys at " Big Oil " for hydro or biomass we are left to think that officail policy of most govts is to find that oil and gas that remains, use it prudentally, and coupled ,with the alternative energy forms it should see us into the ushering of the Hydrogen age ......But as for 2006 ? Why tinker about with the window wipers when the engine is the problem ,? . Oil ! l defy any chartist to tell you otherwise ... lts a nap !!.,,,,,,,,,,,,,No sector offers the returns as does the Oil and mining sector . And about time !! ,,,,,,,,,,,,The busiess of LNG is looking bright ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Also i see a bright future in the mining for a vast host of hard commodoties esp zinc , gold, silver,molys ,and chromites and to an almost similar degree,- copper, cobalt and nickel .....South Africa De Beers reports a lack of true quality gems ...........................Anyway my choice ? Gazpom, *** EEL**** , GFM ***, , JKX ,*** M&P 6% ( Maurel and Prom ) ** CNM***, CEY ****,CSP **, ,BUR *** ,KMR **** ,FDI ***,, DGO, HDYS ,**** CSP ***,AFE **** ,HGM ***TLW ***, ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,PDL ,HIF,LUP,MANA are tiddlers i expect to do well.. ...Commodoties without a doubt for 2006 . Soft commodoties especially.-Sugar ,Coffe, Soya , ,,,,,,A prosperous new year to you all ,,,@+ J

Fred1new - 02 Jan 2006 16:16 - 31 of 79

TFC, I generally find your inputs to the board interesting while not always agreeing with you.

But will you do an old man a favour for the coming year, format your prose.

Just leaving a empty line between your ideas would be a help.

Bonne ann.

And you can read the last line as you wish.


moneyplus - 02 Jan 2006 17:25 - 32 of 79

Agree with you Fred--very hard to concentrate especially after a glass or two!
FC-slow down!

PapalPower - 02 Jan 2006 17:30 - 33 of 79

I would go with the commodities theme, for my oil tiddler its TAG, for miners its EKA and TMC to come good on their production. At the Q2 stage of 2006 I am sure I will be adding a few more commodities stocks to my lists.

I also think that 2006 could be a good year for the AIM market, in general esp if you take out oil/gas plays, it had a very mixed year in 2005, and is due a good year, whereas last year was good on the 250, so probably the FTSE250 will have a bad year. Is 2006 going to be a great year for AIM stocks ? I think it might be.



Kivver - 02 Jan 2006 18:58 - 34 of 79

So some of you really can be bothered to read TFC's humungus sized posts. it probably is very informative but how come the rest us can say what we to say in a much shorter post. dont mean to be rude but personally i cant be bothered to read them.

aldwickk - 02 Jan 2006 19:20 - 35 of 79

Kivver,

" personally i cant be bothered to read them " Thats your lost.

" how come the rest us can say what we to say in a much shorter post "
No imagination.

blinger - 02 Jan 2006 19:28 - 36 of 79

TFC

totally a ROTFFLMFAO.

aldwickk - 02 Jan 2006 19:41 - 37 of 79

TFC

No VOG on your list ?

Fred1new - 02 Jan 2006 21:21 - 38 of 79

Bets for coming year

RTD, PDC, CSN, AMT (Last two good Yields ++ and potential growth)

VED, CHG, KGN, AHT, VLK, WLF, HHR,VAN. Strong results, growth rates and trends

Riskier Bets with larger than sensible stakes: SEO, AZM, BPRG, MDW

Risky but small stakes only EOP, NMT, CRX, VER, DGP (the last must come good sometime)

Kivver - 02 Jan 2006 22:09 - 39 of 79

Thats brilliant fred going to put all those on my watch list, and you manged to do it all in 4 sentences. But i suppose some of us have got other things to do like use our imaginations with our partners, families and friends other than sit there writing out massive posts.

hewittalan6 - 02 Jan 2006 22:11 - 40 of 79

Easy money over the next 3 months - BBC
Big potential with fairly low risk, comparitively - SEO
Silly gambles - PCM and YOO

Kivver - 02 Jan 2006 22:14 - 41 of 79

Alan too, cheers, you could use your imagination a write a page full on these according oldwick.

cellby - 02 Jan 2006 22:26 - 42 of 79

mine for 06 ,gwp, ser,seo,teg,Vog,dgo,sbe,sym,hnr,sey,gtl,txo at this low,gme liVe in hope,com, good security systems play.pxs could take off if product sell well,lloy is always a nice safe bet,nop,could push oVer 100p .also holding,msq,een,pre,fto,gmc,alk,rom,pmc,eme,mil,hyr,teo,epo,neb,these last set are keeping me waiting but they should all go up some time.

cellby - 02 Jan 2006 22:44 - 43 of 79

croma group is who i ment for security systems play, com ,is wrong .

Fred1new - 04 Jan 2006 10:51 - 44 of 79

Sold WLF yesterday although to-day there isa buy out from City Group with target price of 416p, Where they derive that figure from with its forecasts I don't know.

I agree the trend is your friend until IT ENDS. I still feel a little to jumpy about this share and think there will be a slight correction after its recent soaring price.

In the meanwhile replaced it with Amlin.

hewittalan6 - 04 Jan 2006 10:57 - 45 of 79

Did I mention CSB?
Watch this space for their next deals to make them shoot.
Alan

lanayel - 04 Jan 2006 12:51 - 46 of 79

Oil Oil Oil
Politics politics politics
If it all comes together in North Korea then the star of the year has to be

AMINEX (AEX)

Big fat yield with the potential of being taken over then it has to be

LLOYDSTSB (LLOY)

World Cup 2006 so gambling will continue to boom therefore it has to be

SPORTINGBET (SBT)

Have a happy New Year (and a bloody prosperous one too !!)

jimward9 - 04 Jan 2006 15:37 - 47 of 79

OSMETECH (OMH) Have now got everything in place, new products on sale Q1 this year. I hope to see +50% by June 06 +100% by Dec 06

Janus - 04 Jan 2006 15:52 - 48 of 79

OIP just on the basis of its 40% Vialogy holding

moneyplus - 04 Jan 2006 15:54 - 49 of 79

Nobody mentions the star of 2005--Neteller! IMO this one has only just started it's run up for 2006 as the city boys I chat to think it has stengthened its prospects a lot with the acquisition of Nettbanx and holders only have to wait for the figures to light the blue touch paper! I'm holding and wish I could afford a few more!!
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