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Chaco Resources : oil & gas in South America (CHP)     

Sharesure - 28 Mar 2006 14:12

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=CHP&Si______Chart.aspx?Provider%3DIntra%26Code%3DCHP

UPDATED 22/1/07

Valuation of Chaco Resources : 'Rule of Thumb' based on 550m shares and using 10% DCF on oil at $60/barrel is 1p on the sp for every 1m barrels (CHP's share) that is proved. Until oil reserves are proven the 1p/1m barrels will be discounted by the market.

Chaco Resources now has three exploration blocks in Colombia and three areas in Paraguay. The next year should see a steady news flow as it establishes the companys transformation from being an exploration company only to also becoming a significant oil production company. Set out below are some of the milestones which should produce announcements and have a positive effect on the share price. All reserves are quoted in recoverable oil assets.



Alea, Colombia :

25% interest in a field currently assessed at holding 38.1m barrels of light sweet crude oil. Drilling of the field by the operating partner, Ecopetrol, was programmed for 2006 to provide early cash flow, but a shortage of drilling rigs, then the rainy season and increased environmental requirements have caused a re-think and it is now expected that this block will be drilled in first half 2007.The proposal to drill a step out well as part of that drilling programme will also provide the opportunity to establish if the estimate of recoverable oil should be increased. (Some estimates suggest the field contains as much as 70m barrels.)

RNS : Updated w/c 30/4//07. Drilling contract should be imminent but actual drilling unlikely to take place second half 2007.



Puerto Lopez, Colombia :

54% Interest in a field containing light sweet crude oil.On 3.10.06 CHP announced that the original TEA area had been extended by the ANH to include further territory which it is expected will greatly increase the potential to find and exploit a structure which may contain as much oil as there is believed to be in Primavera, where Hardman and Co estimate that there is a potential value of 120p per CHP share.

RNS :Updated 22/1/07. Further seismic now obtained and decision not to proceed made because closures too small to be economic and drilling funds earmarked for this project now being retained for use on a more prospective block yet to be announced



Primavera west, Colombia :

55% interest. Two shallow drills in April turned out to be dry. Areas adjacent to this block contain oil (Cana Limon, also in the Mirador basin, the largest oilfield so far, 1.8b barrels) Chaco believe that the area in their block contains the thicker end of a wedge shaped oil-bearing sandstone structure; the area to the east in the neighbouring block has been estimated as containing 400m barrels and the El Miedo oilfield, 8 kms.away has 325m barrels. ANH Contract signed w/c 8/5/06 (1 week sooner than forecast). GED are drilling their neighbouring block in February 2007; two of their targets may contain oil deriving from Chaco's area so some earlier cash flow may result.

RNS : The drilling programme has now been completed but the company has yet to say whether the block will be explored further or abandonned.

New block announced in April known as Tigra in the Magdelana Basin. CHP has a 48.75% interest. Believed to be very promising but company is doing 3-d seismic over the next 18 months with drilling projected in the following 16 months. (Timescales seem to be set to allow a lot of room for delays or speeding up if progress is easier than anticipated)



Curupayty Block, Paraguay :

1.39m hectares in north, close to Bolivia. Two wells previously drilled and both showed oil.

RNS : Expect partnership with larger producer.



San Pedro Block, Paraguay :

1m hectares in south-east. Previous drilling showed oil.

RNS : Expect partnership with larger producer.



Parana Basin, Paraguay :

Canindeyu block covering 1,789,000 hectares. Bordering Brazil. Oil field on Brazilian side already drilled. Chaco also expect to find oil and, at a deeper level, considerable quantities of gas. Chaco has obtained valuable historic seismic for re-evaluation.

RNS : Presidential Decree received 2/11/06.. Petrobras has announced its intention to increase substantially its effort to exploit Paraguay's hydrocarbons and has announced a farm-in on CDS's adjacent block. Possibility that they or another major will do likewise with CHP



Corporate Activity :

CHP obtained an independent evaluation of their exploration assets by Hardman and Co., during July 2006.This is updated monthly. As Chaco Resources line up their assets ready for production they may attract a bid. There are also other actions that the mgt. could take to increase the Chaco's asset share subject to negotiation since the position of the Colombian state oil company, Ecopetrol, is believed to be under review. Other actions could be taken which would have the attraction in bringing more resources to bear on a quicker timeframe plus help streamline the management of their assets. De-merging the Colombian and Paraguayan assets at an appropriate time might hold out some advantages to shareholders at some stage.
Last Placing announced at 15.1p per share on 18/5/06.
Chairman and FD bought shares 8/06 and the Chairman recently exercised his option on further shares which would suggest that he regards the share price to be going north from here on.
Updated 22/1/07.




Here are some dates for your diary courtesy of KJKelly, who posts on ADVFN

1. Curupayty - complete reprocessing of seismic by end July 06
2. Curupayty - complete interpretation of seismic by end August 06
3. Curupayty - decide whether to proceed to drilling or proceed with a farmout campaign - end September 06
4. Platanillo - commence re-entry of Alea 1 early in 1st quarter 2007
5. Primavera - two structural targets will be selected from 10 potential targets for drilling commencing Feb. 2007.
6.Hardman updates should now happen monthly.



2517GEORGE - 03 May 2006 19:38 - 300 of 3674

I have been away from it today and have just caught up with the posts, it looks very interesting/promising and at the risk of sounding boring I also add my sincere thanks to Sharesure and bhunt, it really is appreciated, thank you both.
2517

bhunt1910 - 04 May 2006 07:43 - 301 of 3674

Not quite sure of my geography - but I think this may be relevant to Chaco too. Can anyone else confirm please

Global Energy Development PLC
04 May 2006


Immediate Release 4 May 2006


GLOBAL ENERGY DEVELOPMENT PLC


POSITIVE TEST RESULTS AND PLACING ON PRODUCTION OF TILODIRAN 2 WELL

Global Energy Development PLC ('Global' or the 'Company'), the Latin America
focused petroleum exploration and production company (LSE-AIM: 'GED'), is
pleased to announce positive test results from its Tilodiran 2 exploratory well
on the Rio Verde Exploration and Production Concession contract area in the
central Llanos region of Colombia.

The Company perforated two intervals between 13,020 feet and 13,230 feet and
tested the Upper Massive Ubaque and Upper Gacheta formations of the Tilodiran 2
well. These formations are two of an overall six potentially oil productive
zones that were identified by the management team with the four other zones not
tested at this stage.

The Tilodiran 2 well, using mid-range pump speeds, produced at a maximum
short-term rate of 2,746 bopd of 16 degree API gravity oil and 761 mcfd of
methane for a total maximum short-term rate of 2,873 boepd. Two productive
formations, the Upper Massive Ubaque and the Upper Gacheta, were tested on a
combined, commingled basis to achieve these maximum rates. The Upper Gacheta
produced 19 degree API gravity crude at a very low solution gas-oil ratio and
essentially zero BS&W. The Upper Massive Ubaque, which is 200 feet below the
Upper Gacheta, produced 15 degree API gravity crude at a solution gas-oil ratio
of 275 cubic feet of methane per barrel of oil and a variable BS&W rate of 35%
to 65%. Based on the Company's experience, the gas-oil ratio for the Upper
Massive Ubaque is exceptionally favourable and should enhance the long term
deliverability of oil from this formation.

Given these gas-oil ratio and water cut characteristics the Company currently
estimates a stabilized oil rate at the minimum possible pump speed to be
approximately 1,100 boepd. After arranging for additional surface handling
equipment as well as the necessary trucking capacity for short-term oil
transportation, Global will look to place the Tilodiran 2 well on continuous
production within four weeks. The Company's recent gross production, prior to
the placing on continuous production of the Tilodiran 2 well, is 1,050 bopd.

Future production rates from the Tilodiran 2 well may increase assuming the
successful addition of other potentially oil productive formations. Conversely,
the Company may decide to restrict production rates according to what Global
determines to be the maximum efficient sustainable rate of production according
to prudent reservoir management techniques.

The Company intends drilling another well in the Tilodiran field later in 2006.
The Company will look to test the Mirador formation in this well in addition to
others if present and bearing moveable hydrocarbons. The Mirador formation was
untested in the Tilodiran 2 well but is considered by the management team to
potentially be the most significant due to the Mirador's enhanced permeability
and oil gravity characteristics found in similar fields in the Llanos region.

Global's net interest in the Tilodiran 2 well is 89.5%. A total 10.5% royalty is
payable to others which includes 8% to the National Hydrocarbons Agency of the
Republic of Colombia, with the size of the royalty to be determined by future
production levels.

Of particular interest to the Company is that the Rio Verde contract is
contiguous with the southern boundary of Global's newly signed Los Sauces
Exploration and Production Concession contract. Based upon data currently
available the management team believe the Tilodiran field is part of a larger
trend to the north into the Los Sauces contract area as well as further to the
east in the Rio Verde contract area. Further action to define the scope of these
opportunities is planned prior to the end of 2006 and continuing into 2007.


Commenting on the successful Tilodiran 2 well, Stephen Voss, Global's Managing
Director, said:

'We are extremely pleased with the results of the Tilodiran 2 well production
test. The well shows preliminary evidence of very significant oil deliverability
that will have a considerable impact on the Company's production volumes and
revenues.

Our immediate work plans are to install additional production facilities and
begin planning for a pipeline extension to a junction 10 kilometres northwest of
Tilodiran so that further field drilling can be undertaken later this year.

Although we were unable to test all productive zones in the Tilodiran 2 well at
this stage, our future development plans will include specific efforts to
identify the productive potential of other formations, including the regionally
prolific Mirador. The Company is also very excited about the potential to extend
this success to other adjacent geologic features that appear similar to our
Tilodiran field.'


Strawbs - 04 May 2006 08:01 - 302 of 3674

Mentioned in Shares today (page 18) as part of a "high risk investor" front page feature article.

Strawbs.

johndunn1956 - 04 May 2006 10:20 - 303 of 3674

why all the selling if there is such positive news/presentation this week ?

blackdown - 04 May 2006 12:33 - 304 of 3674

Impatience on the part of small investors.

cynic - 04 May 2006 12:40 - 305 of 3674

I agree with blackdown ..... CHP is a slow-burner, which is far preferable from rockets (I assume you know the analogy) like ELP, or seemingly EEL

dibbles - 06 May 2006 11:26 - 306 of 3674

Daily Express city pages. Market report by David Shand.

"South America-focused oil and gas explorer Chaco Resources dipped .25p to 15.75p despite talk that Brazilian oil giant Petrobas was set to become a partner at Chaco's prospects in Paraguay."

bodeng - 07 May 2006 09:57 - 307 of 3674

Sharesure
any more news from the presentations?

Sharesure - 08 May 2006 08:53 - 308 of 3674

Bodeng, just catching up from being away a few days. Think that sometime this week Paraguay annoncement re Bohemia will be issued plus confirmation that the Primavera contract has been signed ( some seem to think that that is an important step; I think that that is merely an admin. catch-up). From now on I think that we look to be in for a steady build-up in sp.

explosive - 08 May 2006 16:15 - 309 of 3674

Hi Sharesure, have a look at the link below, is this whats holding up the Paraguay announcement?

http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2006/05/08/2003306742

Sharesure - 08 May 2006 17:40 - 310 of 3674

Explosive, that link seemed to suggest that it was in Chinese so I haven't viewed it! What did it say?
There is nothing holding up Paraguay ( Bohemia block ) other than the Paraguayan gov. needs to give its decision. That is expected very shortly (possibly tomorrow or Wednesday? ) Assuming they get that block the impact on the sp should be significant. As always it is a case of being patient and letting the news come out when they are ready. I am expecting CHP's mgt. to link any Paraguayan announcement with a tie up with a major to share the exploration cost. There is also further to come out on all three Colombian blocks very soon.

stewart3250 - 08 May 2006 17:49 - 311 of 3674

Sharesure, It's got nothing to do with Chaco.

Sharesure - 08 May 2006 18:45 - 312 of 3674

Stewart, thanks.

dibbles - 09 May 2006 10:58 - 313 of 3674

Hi Sharesure, hope you had a good break.

Does the Alea drilling over the summer still stand?
Some on the other bb were saying no drilling before December last week.

Sharesure - 09 May 2006 12:07 - 314 of 3674

dibbles, as far as I can find out the intention is to turn on the tap on the previously drilled well which flowed at 533b/d to give some early cashflow (maybe $18,000/day profit) and then drill the other holes to establish for certain that the field is c.80mb in the Autumn, after the rainy season has finished. It's really up to the operator, Ecopetrel, to organize and carry this out, not Chaco, so they cannot drive it fwd at a quicker pace other than to ensure Ecopetrel fulfill their obligations within the first year. It could be that things happen more speedily at Puerta Lopez which, with a 55% stake and towards 100mb of recoverable oil, is going to provide greater revenues for CHP. They also seem very eager to get their drilling of two exploratory holes underway at Primavera at an early stage since the seismic seems to show there to be between a few hundred and several hundred mb's.
As far as newsflow is concerned, the signing of the Primavera contract (today?) and the award of Bohemia (tomorrow?) look to be the first two items to come out, although the latter, in my opinion, may be linked to the announcement of a jv partner and that might mean a slight delay.

blackdown - 09 May 2006 18:24 - 315 of 3674

Sharesure,

When you say a steady build up in the sp, do you think 50p by late summer is a realistic aspiration?

BD

Sharesure - 09 May 2006 19:40 - 316 of 3674

Blackdown, I wish I knew. That was an sp target that one of the board and a leading broker are working to, with more by Xmas. It really all boils down to good newsflow. There are plenty of potential opportunities for that as the header to this thread details. I will be disappointed if those sorts of figures are not reached by that time, but even if the timing is out, I don't think that the potential is.

bodeng - 10 May 2006 17:20 - 317 of 3674

Sharesure
There is a lot of impatience on the other board-I am prepared to wait for all the news when it comes!

Sharesure - 10 May 2006 17:37 - 318 of 3674

Bodeng, I guess it will be like buses; but worth it when it happens.

capetown - 10 May 2006 17:49 - 319 of 3674

Sharsure,how are you,
Good to see all the big buys towards the end of todays trading,i am very encouraged by the fact that the SP has settled,despite two days of heavy seeling,this reminds me of the time it suddenly jumped from 11p ish to 17,so the next rise will take us all by suprise and its on its way.
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