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Northern Rock (NRK)     

irlee57 - 13 Aug 2007 09:03

any comments, thoughts, on this stock.

Guscavalier - 23 Sep 2007 17:49 - 303 of 1029

Press has not been favourable, I agree, but this Company has shareholders and I think that we are now more likely to see NRK trying to soldier on. I grant you that the background to the financial and housing markets leaves much to be desired but, I do not think shareholders are ready to be stripped by aggressive Hedge Funds taking assets at a distressed discount. As mentioned in previous posts RAB Capital have 6% and the Manx outfit have bought 2%. This may well develop into a battle of the Hedge Funds with others buying assuming the sp weakens. Moreover, there would be political fall out with over 6000 currently employed by NRK especially in Labour territory. My 212p purchase price looks excessive at present but, I think we will see a good few twists and turns to come yet and am not totally despairing about what the newspapers say.

driver - 23 Sep 2007 18:01 - 304 of 1029

Guscavalier
I agree it could turn out to be the best recovery play this year.

Strawbs
Nice one.

cynic - 23 Sep 2007 18:41 - 305 of 1029

short term play is much more difficult to call ...... knee-jerk reaction is that sp will again dive tomorrow, but sometimes the obvious is overturned by events and a recovery, perhaps very short, will happen instead as some bears take profits and/or sp is forced up to encourage more sellers.

Stan - 23 Sep 2007 18:45 - 306 of 1029

Cynic Re: your Question Post 281.

Mitzy, Strawbs and Aldwick elude to the answer.

As we know the first rule in financial life is to protect the downside (out capital), so with this in mind.

The definition that I tend to agree with goes something like this.

Gambling = when you put X amount on the say a horse to win and you lose, you loose "100%" of your stake.

Risk Taking = when you put X on say a share you can limit your loss to considerably "less" then "100%" of your stake.

It's your ability to limit your losses once the stake has been placed and while the position is open which defines the difference.

Thats my view anyway )-:

cynic - 23 Sep 2007 18:50 - 307 of 1029

it's a nice philosphical view .... my opinion, is that gambling on horses or backing your wits when playing either poker or buying shares are ALL gambling ..... if it suits your mentality, you can shade it any which way you like, but in the end, you are still putting down money against certain unknowns in the hope that you have called correctly.

Strawbs - 23 Sep 2007 20:31 - 308 of 1029

I think Cynic could be right in regards to the next direction of the price. It's often the case that when you think things can only get worse they in fact get better, and just as you think things are getting better, they suddenly get a whole lot worse. Two shares that spring to mind are Yell and Jessops.
Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=YELL&SChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=JSP&Si
You can see in both charts how they bounced off the bottom from a big drop, but once the bounce was over the price continued South. Whilst all shares are different, I wouldn't necessarily get your hopes up for a large scale recovery. No doubt there's money to be made and lost for traders and gamblers though. :-) In my opinion.... Strawbs.

Falcothou - 24 Sep 2007 08:17 - 309 of 1029

Looks like things have got worse!

Falcothou - 24 Sep 2007 08:17 - 310 of 1029

Looks like things have got worse!

cynic - 24 Sep 2007 08:23 - 311 of 1029

serves me right for not obeying the discpline! ...... is NRK really going to <100 or even <50 in double-quick time?

Strawbs - 24 Sep 2007 08:23 - 312 of 1029

Hopefully people recognise from the charts posted above that when a share price falls by a large margin, it normaly continues in that direction, even if it bounces slightly on the way down. If you pick the bottom you might get a small profit from the bounce, if you don't it could be an expensive mistake. In my opinion.....

Strawbs.

Big Al - 24 Sep 2007 08:52 - 313 of 1029

I'm happy with Friday's purchase ATM. ;-0

Strawbs - 24 Sep 2007 08:57 - 314 of 1029

Looks to have recovered some what. I guess without external events, it's now a battle of who has more money.....the bears or the bulls...

Strawbs.

Big Al - 24 Sep 2007 09:03 - 315 of 1029

Sumfin's up. ;-))

Falcothou - 24 Sep 2007 09:03 - 316 of 1029

Looks like the shorters have turned on Wolseley instead!

Guscavalier - 24 Sep 2007 09:05 - 317 of 1029

Oh whats going on? lol

Kayak - 24 Sep 2007 09:13 - 318 of 1029

Hmmmmmm

Falcothou - 24 Sep 2007 09:14 - 319 of 1029

Behaving like the Dow on a manic day

cynic - 24 Sep 2007 09:16 - 320 of 1029

exception that proves the rule! ...... as it happens, totally wrong call to have cut my losses, but bounce unlikely to last as Strawbs says

Guscavalier - 24 Sep 2007 09:21 - 321 of 1029

Depends if there is long buying that will squeeze the shorters even more. We already know that some hedge funds have taken a longer view.

driver - 24 Sep 2007 09:26 - 322 of 1029

I may get some of these at 150p
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