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Cove Energy, new oil offshore East Africa. (COV)     

required field - 18 Feb 2010 08:29

Took a punt on this a few months back....thanks EK...who tipped this and brought it to my attention !.....looks good for Aminex as well...

required field - 05 Jan 2012 08:44 - 303 of 377

If it had been a takeover, it would have been better.....as such many sales like this fall through.....ZEN did the same thing if I remember correctly....COV is in much better shape.....just happens that I'm not in and took a few profits before christmas....not sure about this....

cynic - 05 Jan 2012 09:02 - 304 of 377

i don't perceive much upside but plenty down if no acceptable bid materialises

mnamreh - 05 Jan 2012 09:10 - 305 of 377

.

HARRYCAT - 05 Jan 2012 09:25 - 306 of 377

No. It's the whole company up for sale as the Rovuma assets form a large part of the company.
This is where the arbitrage guys start to make their money as someone will need to put a true value on the whole company and then hope for a bid and maybe a counter bid to push the sp up. Worth trading it, imo, but a bit risky holding long term as it may not reach the asking price.

mnamreh - 05 Jan 2012 09:27 - 307 of 377

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mnamreh - 05 Jan 2012 09:28 - 308 of 377

.

HARRYCAT - 05 Jan 2012 09:31 - 309 of 377

Not immedaitely obvious, but this is the crucial bit, imo:
"Rovuma Area 1 Interest represents a substantial portion of Cove's asset value within the portfolio of focussed and complementary assets which the Company has built in East Africa. As such the Directors have unanimously agreed that a sale of the Company may be appropriate at this time. The Directors have decided to conduct a formal sale process for the entire issued and to be issued share capital of the Company."

mnamreh - 05 Jan 2012 09:32 - 310 of 377

.

Balerboy - 05 Jan 2012 10:10 - 311 of 377

I'm in and in quite good profit, for a change. whats the opinion, take it now or what of the chances of somemore to come?? anybody.,.

required field - 05 Jan 2012 10:12 - 312 of 377

If there is no immediate new news : a pullback might be on the cards....these sales of companies can take several years, it has been known....then again...a well is in progress.....toss of a coin....myself...I would bank....

Balerboy - 05 Jan 2012 10:14 - 313 of 377

thanks rf noted.,.

HARRYCAT - 05 Jan 2012 10:14 - 314 of 377

Wait for a broker report, imo, to see what the comapny is worth and what a realistic price may be. Whole bid & sale process may take months, so lots of ups and downs along the way!

Balerboy - 05 Jan 2012 10:17 - 315 of 377

watch and trade maybe harrry??

cynic - 05 Jan 2012 10:32 - 316 of 377

my advice is just watch!

Balerboy - 05 Jan 2012 10:38 - 317 of 377

Thanks cynic, decided there was more going on in gkp so sold and plonked it in there.,.

HARRYCAT - 05 Jan 2012 12:40 - 318 of 377

Peel Hunt valuation:
"In terms of valuation, on a risked basis our current RENAV of £813.4m or 166p/share comprises £21.6m/4p for Tanzania, £109m/22p of net cash, -£9.5m/-2p for G&A, £553.8m/113p for Mozambique and £138.5m or 29p for additional exploration upside. For illustrative purposes and considering Mozambique specifically, on a fully unrisked basis our valuation would rise to £692.3m/141p/share, this assumes a recoverable gas volume of 18Tcf.
We highlight that our risked valuation for Rovuma alone (113p/share) supports the current market capitalization of the company serving to discount the rest of the portfolio and any additional exploration upside. In our opinion this indicates clear upside to our 166p target price."

aldwickk - 05 Jan 2012 14:13 - 319 of 377

Cynic

Do you hold these , i have a 67% profit on these now, its tempting to sell

cynic - 05 Jan 2012 14:41 - 320 of 377

not one of mine; not sure if i ever have ..... as i said above, risk much heavier than reward at this level

aldwickk - 05 Jan 2012 18:34 - 321 of 377

one of TFC 's share's , but so was NYO

cynic - 05 Jan 2012 18:40 - 322 of 377

so what? ..... times and situations change .... you've got a good profit so bank at least a good portion of it and put it somewhere else
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