hilary
- 31 Dec 2003 13:00
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Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!
Treblewide
- 25 Jan 2005 22:46
- 3046 of 11056
right ya bunch of feck wits....i have added the currencies to me e-signal package so I am looking at this stuff now to build a system around...will be keeping an eye on this board and trying to pick up some tips from you expert dudes (i do not include mg in that).
its like a whole new world :-)
jeffmack
- 26 Jan 2005 06:07
- 3047 of 11056
just closed half of my overnight cable long for +51, which is nice
jeffmack
- 26 Jan 2005 06:24
- 3048 of 11056
Sold the rest for +47. Looks like its running out of steam.
jeffmack
- 26 Jan 2005 06:41
- 3049 of 11056
|
CURRENCY MAJORS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS |
Wednesday, January 26, 2005 6:31 GMT
Daily Report
By Mataf.net
http://www.mataf.net/en/
|
EUR/USD |
Short term (Intraday)
1,2988. EUR USD is in a range between 1,2930 and 1,3090. EUR USD moves
without trend and swings around exponential moving averages (EMA 50 and
100). The volatility decreases. Bollinger bands are tightened.
Oscillators are neutral. The price has a good probability to go up. The
price should find a support above 1,2920. We won"t take a position. Medium term (Daily)
EUR USD is in an uptrend supported by daily exponential moving averages.
The volatility is low. Bollinger bands are drawing the trend. RSI goes
out overbought state and give a negative signal. The price should
consolidate. Long terme (Weekly)
EUR USD is in an uptrend supported by weekly exponential moving
averages. The volatility rises. Bollinger bands are deviated. MACD is in
a bullish configuration. The uptrend should resume with more vigor.. Resistances
1,3000 - 1,3020 - 1,3080 Supports
1,2975 - 1,2950 - 1,2920
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jeffmack
- 26 Jan 2005 06:43
- 3050 of 11056
USD/CHF |
Short term (Intraday)
1,1921. USD CHF moves without trend and swings around exponential moving
averages (EMA 50 and 100). The price is just bellow 1,1960 resistance. The
volatility decreases. Oscillators are neutral. We won"t take a position. Medium term (Daily)
USD CHF is in an downtrend directed by daily exponential moving averages.
USD CHF is in a consolidation after the last bearish movement. The
volatility rises. Bollinger bands are tightened. daily MACD crosses and
gives a positive signal. The price should continue to consolidate. The price
should find a resistance below 1,1800. Long term (Weekly)
USD CHF is in an downtrend directed by weekly exponential moving averages.
The volatility rises. Bollinger bands are drawing the trend. RSI is in a
bearish configuration. The downtrend should continue on 1,1200 support. Resistances
1,1940 - 1,1960 Supports
1,1900 - 1,1875
|
jeffmack
- 26 Jan 2005 06:49
- 3051 of 11056
Just bought USD/JPY 103.60, stop at 35
mg
- 26 Jan 2005 07:02
- 3052 of 11056
Welcome aboard Ginger Scrotum ...... glad you've picked the right thread ;)
Nice trades Jeff.
Looking to try and catch the 07:30 effect ;)
mostrader
- 26 Jan 2005 07:10
- 3053 of 11056
mng all
EUR/USD
We expect a reverse during the next few hours. Reistance starts at 1.3042 followed by 1.3128 and 1.3177.
Support is seen at 1.2907, 1.2860 and 1.2775.
Current quote is 1.2984
Recommended trades:
Short at 1.3020, t/p @1.2980, s/l @1.3050
USD/JPY
Support was found at 103.11. A new rally towards 104 area is possible.
Current quote is 103.56
mostrader
- 26 Jan 2005 07:11
- 3054 of 11056
Good evening!
I am not posting any trade ideas in this email. I am not 100% confident in any trade idea right now -- today was a big move (and a move in the direction that I have been expecting, as you know).
For the zillionth time, I want to re-emphasize and state clearly: I believe the USD is going to grow stronger temporarily, and then it is going to fall apart. I believe we will see EURUSD 1.4000 and GBPUSD 2.0000 by the end of 2005.
Here is a wonderful quote from the Financial Times:
"Could a country with a de facto dollar peg diversify its reserves without appreciating against the dollar? Many assume not. In fact the answer, as so often in international economics, depends on whether the country in question is "small" or "large" in this context. A "small country" with medium-sized reserves, such as Thailand, Malaysia or even India, could continue to absorb surplus dollars on the bilateral currency market, but sell its stock of dollars for euros. The effect would mainly be to push the euro up against the dollar. The central bank's own currency could remain pegged.
A "large country" - Japan or China - could also embark on the same strategy. But the scale of the dollar sales would probably cause a generalised dollar collapse, with private buying disappearing altogether, demanding still greater central bank purchases. The central bank would lose control over domestic money supply, resulting in soaring inflation that would in turn push up the real exchange rate. In practical terms, Japan and China probably cannot diversify to a meaningful extent without letting their currencies rise. So keep an eye on the other Asians. Who will break ranks first?"
Did that make sense to you? If not, read the entire article here:
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/881eb29e-6e78-11d9-b058-00000e2511c8.html
Often I make jokes about currencies. But this editorial is the best summary of what I think is happening in the currency markets. It is the best summary I have read in months, maybe years. Please re-read those last two paragraphs -- the ones I included above. This tells you, very succinctly:
1. Asian Central Banks are not going to finance the US deficit forever.
2. They will continue to buy dollars for most of this year.
3. The USD will eventually collapse when they start to trade their USD for EUR.
Have a great day tomorrow. If I find any really good trade ideas, I will send them to you immediately.
Rob
jeffmack
- 26 Jan 2005 07:15
- 3055 of 11056
Morning Mos, who is that post above from?
mostrader
- 26 Jan 2005 07:20
- 3056 of 11056
jm,ill fwd email to you,go on his site u can sign up for a few free things he bascically looks to take just a steady 10 tics a day,but theres some good other stuff that makes u sit back and think..
cunningham
- 26 Jan 2005 07:24
- 3057 of 11056
mos, could you send onto me as well please.
jeffmack
- 26 Jan 2005 07:28
- 3058 of 11056
cheers mate. Off to work now, be lucky
mostrader
- 26 Jan 2005 07:29
- 3059 of 11056
yep.
www.robbooker.com
thats it above quite a good site,ive signed up for the mentor prog 200 $ a month ,only as iam a lazy git,who needs to brush up on his charting techniques,ill let u know how i get on....
diff site no crap just tells you what he thinks....
if u can go onto fxstreet.com,sign up its free as rob,tomis doing a webcast and you can either ask a quest or just read the transcript,but on the ask the experts tab there are some really good previuos transcripts to read,which if you have a spare min,well worth reading...
mg
- 26 Jan 2005 07:38
- 3060 of 11056
Oh Well - no real 07:30 effect so back to chart watching ;(
mostrader
- 26 Jan 2005 07:39
- 3061 of 11056
GBP/USD - British Pound Dollar
Short term (Intraday)
1,8690. GBP USD is in a range between 1,8550 and 1,8800. GBP USD moves without trend and swings around exponential moving averages (EMA 50 and 100). GBP USD is in a consolidation after the last bearish movement. The volatility decreases. Oscillators are neutral. The price should continue to move in 1,8550 / 1,8800 range. We won't take a position.
Medium term (Daily)
GBP USD broke the triangle pattern's resistance. The pattern's objective is 2,0000. GBP USD is in an uptrend supported by daily exponential moving averages. The volatility rises. Bollinger bands are deviated. MACD is in a bullish configuration. The uptrend should continue on 2,0000 resistance.
Long term (Weekly)
GBP USD is in a triangle pattern. GBP USD is in an uptrend supported by weekly exponential moving averages. The volatility is low. Bollinger bands are flat. Oscillators are neutral. The uptrend should continue to gather momentum.
Resistances
1,8700 - 1,8760 - 1,8800 - 1,8820
Supports
1,8680 - 1,8660 - 1,8630
hodgins
- 26 Jan 2005 07:50
- 3062 of 11056
MPC voting interpretation at 9.30 key to pound today
Maggot
- 26 Jan 2005 07:53
- 3063 of 11056
mostrader. I'd also be interested in the site mentioned in post 3055. Thanks.
Mac
mostrader
- 26 Jan 2005 07:57
- 3064 of 11056
yep..magg ...address on the post..
mg
- 26 Jan 2005 08:20
- 3065 of 11056
Short triggered from 700 whilst I was having a cup of tea ;)