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Technical Analysis (TA)     

ptholden - 09 Jul 2007 23:14

I often find all manner of reference to Technical Analysis whilst reading threads, questioning certain elements, asking for advice on indicators and also requesting advice on a stock and whether it's a good time to buy, sell, hold or remain indifferent. I am the first to admit that my own TA is still in its infancy, but I do spend time on expanding my knowledge (hopefully in the right direction!).

Rather than having to ask a TA question on a particular thread, perhaps this thread could be used as a forum for TA queries and become a knowledge base. Just a thought, if there is little or no interest, the thread will sink without trace and that will be the end of that. I will personally add a few snippets to help those with less knowledge (if that's possible) to keep things rolling. There is a danger that the thread will receive countless requests for opinions on a variety of stocks and there is only so much I can do alone, therefore I would more than welcome input from other posters, no matter how rudimentary they believe their own knowledge to be, hopefully some real experts will take the time to contribute.

dynamix - 31 Jul 2007 21:33 - 306 of 504

rumbled my ass .. surely it was quite plain I was a geez..

only old victor thought other wise

ptholden - 31 Jul 2007 21:37 - 307 of 504

Just as an aside, have just been flicking through a few charts, seems volumes on the ones I have been looking at are relatively light and out of proportion to their respective gains. Have already read on a few traders threads the danger of this rally been a 'dcb', with the exception of the crap I already hold (and they are long term crap anyway) I have no intention of becoming involved until things settle down.

pth

ptholden - 31 Jul 2007 21:38 - 308 of 504

more than rumbled dynamix, told you I recognised the style ;)

dynamix - 31 Jul 2007 21:39 - 309 of 504

lol

cynic - 31 Jul 2007 21:41 - 310 of 504

i care not what sex you are or might pretend to be during your evening ventures ..... unlike some, i do not get easily offended and have no prob ignoring when necessary - e.g. the likes of 10B

do not like the feel for the morrow at all, which is why i have left my Dow short running ..... markets in this sort of mood have no logic nor rhyme nor reason, which tends to indicate (to my mind) doom and gloom in some measure rather than sweetness and light.

dynamix - 31 Jul 2007 21:42 - 311 of 504

as another observation i have been watching the main US indices with teh weekly donchian channels and DMI's. Although on the daily they are breaking down to new lows. The weekly ones give a totally different view. Theres a few glaring levels not far below for the Nasdaq and SPeas to hit soon. Maybe this will determine the summer range or crash.

cynic - 31 Jul 2007 21:44 - 312 of 504

and in your opinion? ..... up or down? .... if the latter, which is my view, do you perceive some violence in that move?

dynamix - 31 Jul 2007 21:54 - 313 of 504

I would like to think a halt to the slide around here, but if the low of May goes (and we are pushng it now in the USA) then theres an awful lot of space below.

But you got to trust the chart and say until it makes some longer term "lows" then in theory this rally isnt over, although its lost it's feet somewhat.

dynamix - 31 Jul 2007 21:54 - 314 of 504

in other words I do not know ;) nor care as long as I get to trade

maggiebt4 - 31 Jul 2007 22:59 - 315 of 504

PTH thanks for update Have left my stop loss in place until I see how things go. I do believe this will trend up just when is the question and have I got the b***s to hang in there. If it's not toooo stupid a question how do you determine the mid trend line? I am still following your logic and learning
Cynic, have PRX on my watch list but too busy watching EMG to do anything about it. sorry now!! Will see if I can catch a dip. Your question - what is a protected trade.
Dynamix Tried to follow your instructions from Falklands thread. I think I understand the Donchian Channel but got lost on the DAX and the ADX perhaps my graphs aren't sophisticated enough?

dynamix - 31 Jul 2007 23:08 - 316 of 504

add an ADX indicator and remove the "black" ADX line so your left with two DMI lines

cynic - 01 Aug 2007 08:18 - 317 of 504

dynamix - wish my gut feel last night had not been so prescient ..... almost, but not quite, tempted to take my Dow profit now, but think i'll let it run ..... certainly, unless you correct me, next significant support is about 12750 with resistance now at 13205.

maggie - forget PRX; it's very very (very very!) illiquid and I cannot see there being worthwhile upside for you to take a dabble .... even this morning sp is rock solid ...... i managed to get hold of 2 lots x 5,000 at different times over the last couple of months, but as i said, NMS is only 500.

protected trade is when MMs are given an order at a specific price and it gets filled in bits and pieces

cynic - 01 Aug 2007 08:32 - 318 of 504

changed my mind ..... banked my Dow profit at 13143 and will now wait to see what truly hapens when Wall Street opens .... won't be pretty for sure, but maybe indicated "extra" fall over 60/100 points after close was overdone.

dynamix - 01 Aug 2007 08:36 - 319 of 504

good trade. you are not wrong to bank a profit when it's moving like this.

cynic - 01 Aug 2007 08:51 - 320 of 504

it's a bugger to read ...... my view was that the "extra" fall was merely a view following on from the late tumble in US + falls in Asia etc, rather than factual ...... just may re-open that short later, but shall wait and see.

good to see there is a prospective alternate bidder for ICI (Dow Chem), though not entirely unexpected ...... rumour has it that Dupont may also enter the fray ..... now that would be very jolly indeed!

so chuffed about PRX! ..... was put into that by a friend a couple of months back, though as you know, i am no fan of these diddy-minnows, thogh there are one or two in my prtfolio ....... don't think i shall be retiring on the proceeds of PRX, but very nice nevertheless!

cynic - 01 Aug 2007 20:57 - 321 of 504

bollocks!
went long Dow and set a limit (up) while I cooked dinner etc .... damn thing got hit and then continued to rocket ahead ..... suppose I shouldn't complain really as FTSE should now be set for a good start tomorrow

maggiebt4 - 01 Aug 2007 21:04 - 322 of 504

Decision made on EMG, was unable to get to my computer until 10am was already taken out c'est la vie! So will now watch for new entry to attempt to recoup losses.
Cynic thanks for advice on PRX which I will take as I've made enough mistakes.

cynic - 01 Aug 2007 21:13 - 323 of 504

always the prob when one sets trailing losses or even, as i found this evening limit-up!

ptholden - 01 Aug 2007 21:57 - 324 of 504

Trying a slightly different approach this evening with EMG. With the breaking of the long term support line it is difficult to find what you might call a normal support line usually drawn through a succession of higher lows. There is another method where a trendline is drawn through as many highs or lows as possible. I have attempted this with EMG and according to the 'system' the SP is currently sitting on support at 528p and resistance at 583p. If the lines are correct I would expect a bounce tomorrow morning, which I would hope for anyway, considering that the indicators are if not oversold very close to.

Will be interesting to see what happens, could be the nail in the coffin of another theory :)

pth

maddoctor - 01 Aug 2007 22:49 - 325 of 504

keep drawing any trendline which others might use , at the mo what you are drawing is decreasing momentum lines which are probably just as well looked at via macd - in other words if macd turns up at a line you have the right one - if that makes any sense

will wait for our friend to return to tell me i am talking b*ll*
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