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Lloyds 4bn rights issue could now be doubled -- TIM SHARP - City Editor -- June 17 2009
Such is the demand for shares in Lloyds Banking Group that it could have as much as doubled its recent 4bn rights issue Lord Paul Myners, the City Minister, said yesterday.
Myners, financial services secretary to the Treasury, yesterday noted "there is a real appetite out there" for the new shares issued by Lloyds to raise cash to buy back preference shares issued to the government.
"I suspect that double the amount would have been taken up if the government had been willing to sell more shares at that time," he added.
The bank, owner of Edinburgh-based HBOS since January, raised 4bn from shareholders in a rights issue that completed last week allowing it to pay off preference shares charging 12% and giving it the opportunity to restart dividend payments to ordinary shareholders.
Myners told a British Property Federation conference that UK Financial Investments, which manages the government's 43.4% stake in Lloyds and 70% holding in Royal Bank of Scotland, would sell its shares gradually.
"I think a series of sales through a variety of different institutions into different markets is likely to be recommended by the board of UK Financial Investments when they address this issue."
RBS chief executive Stephen Hester said he expected the RBS stake to be sold down "over a number of years". "My goal is that within five years the government is down to zero. But I do not control that goal," he added.
UKFI is thought to be considering issuing a convertible bond. This would effectively allow it to sell RBS and Lloyds stock at a premium to the prevailing share price, potentially profiting on the investments before the shares recover to the price the government paid for its stakes.
Market Report: Bullish broker helps Lloyds strengthen
Banks were in focus last night, with Lloyds rising to 69.3p, up 3.7 per cent, or 2.5p, after a broker weighed in with a bullish assessment of the sector's prospects.
Redburn Partners said shares in the three UK-focused banks Lloyds, Royal Bank of Scotland, which edged up by 0.2p to 38.1p, and Barclays, which eased slightly to 277p, down 1.75p were ripe for the picking as current valuations were pricing in "a very bearish scenario, which includes five years of global deflation and poor capital markets operating conditions".
Its own "base case" scenario, on the other hand, suggests the three are cheap, with possible of upsides of about 50 per cent for RBS, about 70 per cent for Lloyds and, following the sale of Barclays Global Investors, about 90 per cent for Barclays.
"The upside still averages 25 per cent in an inflationary scenario. Even the most dangerous deflationary scenario is priced in," the broker said, adding that its analysis underlined two things, namely "that the economics of UK banks remain attractive in all but the most dismal of economic outcomes, and how little credence the market currently gives to this counter-intuitive outcome".
Tensions between the Chancellor and the Governor of the Bank of England were heightened last night, as the two presented contrasting views on the future of the regulatory system in their annual addresses to the City.
Speaking at Mansion House, Mervyn King called for the size of financial institutions to be scaled down with investment banking potentially split off from the retail side.
He said: "If some banks are thought to be too big to fail, then, in the words of a distinguished American economist, they are too big. It is not sensible to allow large banks to combine high street retail banking with risky investment banking or funding strategies, and then provide an implicit state guarantee against failure."
King also floated the ideas of riskier banks being forced to hold more capital or designing a comprehensive plan of action as to how the bank could be wound up in an orderly manner in the event it fails.
"Making a will should be as much a part of good housekeeping for banks as it is for the rest of us," he said.
His views were in contrast to those expressed by Alistair Darling who says the system needs to be tightened but not fundamentally reformed.
"Many people talk about how to deal with the big banks - banks so important to the financial system that they cannot be allowed to fail. But the solution is not as simple, as some have suggested, as restricting the size the banks," Darling said.
He wants regulators to consider the wider picture rather than concentrate on individual institutions.
"This crisis has taught us that it is not enough to pass an individual firm as healthy. Regulators and central banks need to look more carefully at the system as a whole."
However, he put the burden of blame firmly on the shoulders of the banks' boards rather than regulatory system, a view which King hotly disputed.
The BoE governor countered: "Blaming individuals is no substitute for acknowledging the failure of a system, of a certain type of banking. We have a real opportunity now to put that right and regain the trust that has been lost."
He also voiced concerns over the "limits" of the new powers awarded to the Bank since the downfall of Northern Rock. Although the Bank oversees financial stability, it falls to the Financial Services Authority to decide if a bank is failing.
"The Bank finds itself in a position rather like that of a church whose congregation attends weddings and burials, but ignores the sermons in between," he said.
"It is not entirely clear how the Bank will be able to discharge its new statutory responsibility if we can do no more than issue sermons or organise burials," King added.