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Chaco Resources : oil & gas in South America (CHP)     

Sharesure - 28 Mar 2006 14:12

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=CHP&Si______Chart.aspx?Provider%3DIntra%26Code%3DCHP

UPDATED 22/1/07

Valuation of Chaco Resources : 'Rule of Thumb' based on 550m shares and using 10% DCF on oil at $60/barrel is 1p on the sp for every 1m barrels (CHP's share) that is proved. Until oil reserves are proven the 1p/1m barrels will be discounted by the market.

Chaco Resources now has three exploration blocks in Colombia and three areas in Paraguay. The next year should see a steady news flow as it establishes the companys transformation from being an exploration company only to also becoming a significant oil production company. Set out below are some of the milestones which should produce announcements and have a positive effect on the share price. All reserves are quoted in recoverable oil assets.



Alea, Colombia :

25% interest in a field currently assessed at holding 38.1m barrels of light sweet crude oil. Drilling of the field by the operating partner, Ecopetrol, was programmed for 2006 to provide early cash flow, but a shortage of drilling rigs, then the rainy season and increased environmental requirements have caused a re-think and it is now expected that this block will be drilled in first half 2007.The proposal to drill a step out well as part of that drilling programme will also provide the opportunity to establish if the estimate of recoverable oil should be increased. (Some estimates suggest the field contains as much as 70m barrels.)

RNS : Updated w/c 30/4//07. Drilling contract should be imminent but actual drilling unlikely to take place second half 2007.



Puerto Lopez, Colombia :

54% Interest in a field containing light sweet crude oil.On 3.10.06 CHP announced that the original TEA area had been extended by the ANH to include further territory which it is expected will greatly increase the potential to find and exploit a structure which may contain as much oil as there is believed to be in Primavera, where Hardman and Co estimate that there is a potential value of 120p per CHP share.

RNS :Updated 22/1/07. Further seismic now obtained and decision not to proceed made because closures too small to be economic and drilling funds earmarked for this project now being retained for use on a more prospective block yet to be announced



Primavera west, Colombia :

55% interest. Two shallow drills in April turned out to be dry. Areas adjacent to this block contain oil (Cana Limon, also in the Mirador basin, the largest oilfield so far, 1.8b barrels) Chaco believe that the area in their block contains the thicker end of a wedge shaped oil-bearing sandstone structure; the area to the east in the neighbouring block has been estimated as containing 400m barrels and the El Miedo oilfield, 8 kms.away has 325m barrels. ANH Contract signed w/c 8/5/06 (1 week sooner than forecast). GED are drilling their neighbouring block in February 2007; two of their targets may contain oil deriving from Chaco's area so some earlier cash flow may result.

RNS : The drilling programme has now been completed but the company has yet to say whether the block will be explored further or abandonned.

New block announced in April known as Tigra in the Magdelana Basin. CHP has a 48.75% interest. Believed to be very promising but company is doing 3-d seismic over the next 18 months with drilling projected in the following 16 months. (Timescales seem to be set to allow a lot of room for delays or speeding up if progress is easier than anticipated)



Curupayty Block, Paraguay :

1.39m hectares in north, close to Bolivia. Two wells previously drilled and both showed oil.

RNS : Expect partnership with larger producer.



San Pedro Block, Paraguay :

1m hectares in south-east. Previous drilling showed oil.

RNS : Expect partnership with larger producer.



Parana Basin, Paraguay :

Canindeyu block covering 1,789,000 hectares. Bordering Brazil. Oil field on Brazilian side already drilled. Chaco also expect to find oil and, at a deeper level, considerable quantities of gas. Chaco has obtained valuable historic seismic for re-evaluation.

RNS : Presidential Decree received 2/11/06.. Petrobras has announced its intention to increase substantially its effort to exploit Paraguay's hydrocarbons and has announced a farm-in on CDS's adjacent block. Possibility that they or another major will do likewise with CHP



Corporate Activity :

CHP obtained an independent evaluation of their exploration assets by Hardman and Co., during July 2006.This is updated monthly. As Chaco Resources line up their assets ready for production they may attract a bid. There are also other actions that the mgt. could take to increase the Chaco's asset share subject to negotiation since the position of the Colombian state oil company, Ecopetrol, is believed to be under review. Other actions could be taken which would have the attraction in bringing more resources to bear on a quicker timeframe plus help streamline the management of their assets. De-merging the Colombian and Paraguayan assets at an appropriate time might hold out some advantages to shareholders at some stage.
Last Placing announced at 15.1p per share on 18/5/06.
Chairman and FD bought shares 8/06 and the Chairman recently exercised his option on further shares which would suggest that he regards the share price to be going north from here on.
Updated 22/1/07.




Here are some dates for your diary courtesy of KJKelly, who posts on ADVFN

1. Curupayty - complete reprocessing of seismic by end July 06
2. Curupayty - complete interpretation of seismic by end August 06
3. Curupayty - decide whether to proceed to drilling or proceed with a farmout campaign - end September 06
4. Platanillo - commence re-entry of Alea 1 early in 1st quarter 2007
5. Primavera - two structural targets will be selected from 10 potential targets for drilling commencing Feb. 2007.
6.Hardman updates should now happen monthly.



TheFrenchConnection - 13 Apr 2007 03:08 - 3194 of 3674

BH1910 l am of the opinion mms will do exactly that if GIVEN half a chance. MMs will be mms. Never forget that is their job.lts nothing personal.Always the $ And in a bizzarre way i admire their manipulations and games. lt takes a mercanary to know a mercanary. ,,Recently mms have absorbed a vast number of stock at the 6/7p level and unless they are collecting for CF, or another party, they will want to attract buyers to sell on any excess at a higher price . And what better way than to play the "false rally " card . The oldest tricks are always the best .For it be the doom of man that he forgets . ALWAYS !!! .So be the way of things. lncidentally i owe you an apology . Had i known you were a pensioner, and being half your age , i would never have made such inane threatining menacing remarks . l was a bit silly in hindsight. And a facet of my character of which i am not proud. And for that reason alone i apologise. And truly hope you will accept it with the same grace which i offer it.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Stockdog . Have the courage of your bloody convictions and simply filter me . lts that easy mon pote . As for my "admirable throng " .....lol ...Whats that all about then ? All i ever get is abuse and crap thrown back at me ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. . ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ Robbi . l am not ignoring you. But your questions are most leading and as such worry me . . Do not forget the dealers to whom i refer have been suspended - not sacked - and should i name and shame them , and then they are re-appointed i will end up in very deep hot water aka the high court . And not for the first time . My employment is my business. And 13/14p - VERY SHORT TERM !! For it will be brief and gone before you know it ....ln saying that should CHP EVER breach the 6.25 floor i will go" short " once again . But this time i will short the F**K** r out of the sky as it will smack of the really big boys pulling out . . ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... FG .lncidentally a buy of 950k in a penny stock is not big...lol A consideration of approx 67k inc accrued costs does not remotely suggest a rally. Two swallows dont make a summer. lt is more likely to be a trader, not unlike myself , awaiting a relatively small movement , and hes out like a a shot........ . So be it . For what its worth should this even drop two ticks -0.50 -tommorow i am out ... ...........OK ?? ...............Albeit Robert Kee somewhat exposed his exxagerations , it is as Richard Littlejohn once remarked ,....." The real truth can never ever be made known. lt is stranger than any media published fact ( sic )or authors fiction. And its implications would be disasterous and would have ordinary law abiding folk rioting in the streets " / and he is right . People dont want hard copy . They want big t..ts in their paper and endless gossip coupled with the every movement of celebrity ..... im gone i have work to do and a 7.05 flight .. . .See you all ( A BIG GROAN ...lol ) next wednesday .............................We can but hope getlemen for the right outcome ....................b/ chance ................................@+ ...J

TheFrenchConnection - 13 Apr 2007 03:29 - 3195 of 3674

And OI !! Dont ever forget when you are rejoicing in your gains on ANY share in the market another person has lost his shirt. Thats how this game works .........So in future rememeber that ,and dont single me out as a whore ( on thiss occassion because i went short) For all who play this game are ALL the same. To a man . l know of VERY few men who havent got their price ,,,,,and it doesnt have to be money .................This is Radio Free France signining off. ,,

TheFrenchConnection - 13 Apr 2007 03:29 - 3196 of 3674

And OI !! Dont ever forget when you are rejoicing in your gains on ANY share in the market another person has lost his shirt. Thats how this game works .........So in future rememeber that ,and dont single me out as a whore ( on thiss occassion because i went short) For all who play this game are ALL the same. To a man . l know of VERY few men who havent got their price ,,,,,and it doesnt have to be money .................This is Radio Free France signining off. ,,

TheFrenchConnection - 13 Apr 2007 03:29 - 3197 of 3674

gone

stockdog - 13 Apr 2007 07:37 - 3198 of 3674

Sayona drilling announced today. 2wks to reach target depth of 3,800 ft which willl complete CHP's work commitments for phase 1 ending in May. 55% interest in the Gran Tierra operated drill - won't call it a well yet.

The thing about being a long only investor, is that it is not a zero sum game. I make my profits out of corporate profits and growing earnings from real production of real goods and services - not at the expense of some poor bugger who bought or sold at the wrong price.

Do mercanaries (sic) have to sing for their suppers?

Bonne chance

fatgreek - 13 Apr 2007 08:13 - 3199 of 3674

I was right!

bhunt1910 - 13 Apr 2007 08:49 - 3200 of 3674

TFC - apology accepted - we all get a wee het up in the heat of the moment at times.

My daughter expecting her second baby today - that puts things into perspective

TANKER - 13 Apr 2007 09:42 - 3201 of 3674

robbi , i only post now and again but do look at certain posters on other boards . and follow 4 posters one is ludlow who as tipped afd cey which i bought and doing very well , no.

fatgreek - 13 Apr 2007 10:19 - 3202 of 3674

1.4 mill buy just in!

brianc236 - 13 Apr 2007 10:36 - 3203 of 3674

more likely a sell @ 8.75/9.25 spread

fatgreek - 13 Apr 2007 10:38 - 3204 of 3674

brian a sell would never have got that price for so many. think about it. the time that buy got worked through 8.9p was the going rate for a buy. No sell today has been at that price and you certainly wouldn't get that price for a sell that big , trust me on that.

Bluelady - 13 Apr 2007 10:39 - 3205 of 3674

It was a T trade

10:17 8.90p 1,389,200 123,639 Buy T

fatgreek - 13 Apr 2007 10:51 - 3206 of 3674

exactly a protected transaction - this is what caused the initial jump this morning imo.

Strawbs - 13 Apr 2007 10:54 - 3207 of 3674

Looks like the floor is in at 7 and the ceiling around 9, which goes back to previous resistance in September 06. I would expect the price to consolidate or drift back from here, unless new buyers can be attracted. Drilling success or further block announcements could help. I'll buy on drilling success, but will continue to watch for now.

In my opinion. Do your own research etc....

Strawbs.

brianc236 - 13 Apr 2007 12:32 - 3208 of 3674

o.k. FG. cheers

fatgreek - 13 Apr 2007 14:47 - 3209 of 3674

you're welcome ;-)

PARKIN - 15 Apr 2007 21:24 - 3210 of 3674

See if this moves up on monday as on previous trading day to recoup some of the
looses from the week before. (In Anttipation)

bigwavedave - 16 Apr 2007 11:17 - 3211 of 3674

Regarding the success rates of wells in Colombia. From what I can gather, odds of 3:1, or 4:1 seem about right as a general rule. However, the odds of success may be much improved for Primavera.
According to a 2003 report by Emerald Energy, the success rate for the Llanos was 50 per cent. OK, it's a little dated but I wonder whether the facts have changed that much.

The report said: "Over the past year Emeralds strategy has been to re-focus its exploration from the high risk, high cost for high reward areas of
the Middle and Upper Magdalena Valley to lower risk, lower cost opportunities in the Colombian Llanos.The Llanos Basin is the
most important area of oil production in Colombia: in addition to its two super-giants (Cusiana and Cano Limon) there are
many other fields whose relatively small size (10-30 MMbbl recoverable) is more than compensated for by very high flow rates
and high recovery levels. Flow rates of up to 3,000 bopd from individual wells have been achieved in these smaller fields.These
are made possible by high quality reservoirs the pure quartz sandstones of the Carbonera, Mirador, Barco, Guadalupe
Gacheta and Une formations which all have outstanding porosity and permeability characteristics. An active regional aquifer
provides water drive.
The success rate of Llanos wells basin wide is, by worldwide industry standards, very high at around 50 per cent. Well developed
export infrastructure, low production costs, and increased reservoir understanding greatly enhance the economics of
Llanos developments. Also, it is a general observation that because of a combination of difficult logs, overbalanced mud, bad hole
conditions and equivocal test data in the old wells, re-drills often achieve success."

I believe our Dr Rock Wardle was EEN's ops manager for Colombia at this time.

Sharesure - 16 Apr 2007 13:55 - 3212 of 3674

The current sp barely reflects Chaco's current reserves in Alea. Any improvement in both % and amount of reserves (both items believed to be on the cards) should move the sp out of this range. That also means the 'considerable potential ' of the new block is also not priced in. In my view the progress of these two positive pieces of news is being slowed down for some reason.

fatgreek - 16 Apr 2007 14:34 - 3213 of 3674

SS,

Could they be waiting to see what happens with Primavera? Is there anything you can ellaborate with regards to how things are progressing at all on that front?
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