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The Forex Thread (FX)     

hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

Maggot - 02 Feb 2005 07:31 - 3240 of 11056

Norning all. Kep getting up early to watch the start of Asian trading - can't see much this morning. Saxobank are generally bearish on the dollar.

Small long Euro/$ 1.3082 before eating my Weetabix.

mostrader - 02 Feb 2005 07:32 - 3241 of 11056

hope uve put 2 in the bowl mag.:)

mostrader - 02 Feb 2005 07:33 - 3242 of 11056

EUR/USD - Euro Dollar
Short term (Intraday)
1,3077. EUR USD moves without trend and swings around exponential moving averages (EMA 50 and 100). The price is just bellow 1,3100 resistance. The volatility is low. The oscillators indicate an overbought state. The trend should reverse. The target is expected at 1,3000. We could take a short position at 1,3085. We will put the stop loss above 1,3105 (-20 pips). The major target is 1,3000 (+85 pips). This is a dangerous trade, take care and put your stop loss.
Medium term (Daily)
EUR USD is in an uptrend supported by daily exponential moving averages. The volatility is low. Bollinger bands are drawing the trend. RSI goes out overbought state and give a negative signal. The price should consolidate.
Long terme (Weekly)
EUR USD is in an uptrend supported by weekly exponential moving averages. The volatility rises. Bollinger bands are deviated. MACD is in a bullish configuration. The uptrend should resume with more vigor..
Resistances
1,3060 - 1,3100
Supports
1,3020 - 1,2980 - 1,2950

mostrader - 02 Feb 2005 07:33 - 3243 of 11056

GBP/USD - British Pound Dollar
Short term (Intraday)
1,8834. There is an hoizontal range between 1,8790 and 1,8870. Support and resistance are given by Bollinger bands. GBP USD moves without trend and swings around exponential moving averages (EMA 50 and 100). The volatility is low. Bollinger bands are flat. Oscillators are neutral. The price should continue to move in Bollinger bands. We won't take a position.
Medium term (Daily)
GBP USD broke the triangle pattern's resistance. The pattern's objective is 2,0000. GBP USD is in an uptrend supported by daily exponential moving averages. The volatility rises. Bollinger bands are deviated. MACD is in a bullish configuration. The uptrend should continue on 2,0000 resistance.
Long term (Weekly)
GBP USD is in a triangle pattern. GBP USD is in an uptrend supported by weekly exponential moving averages. The volatility is low. Bollinger bands are flat. Oscillators are neutral. The uptrend should continue to gather momentum.
Resistances
1,8880 - 1,8890 - 1,8930
Supports
1,8825 - 1,8800 - 1,8750
Long term chart
GBP/USD - British Pound Dollar

mostrader - 02 Feb 2005 07:34 - 3244 of 11056

USD/JPY - Dollar Yen
Short term (Intraday)
103,78. USD JPY moves without trend and swings around exponential moving averages (EMA 50 and 100). The price is just bellow 104,00 resistance. The volatility is low. Bollinger bands are flat. Oscillators are neutral. The price should continue to move in Bollinger bands. We won't take a position.
Medium term (Daily)
USD JPY is in an downtrend directed by daily exponential moving averages. The volatility is high. Bollinger bands are drawing the trend. MACD is in a bearish configuration. The downtrend should continue to gather momentum.
Long term (Weekly)
USD JPY is in an downtrend directed by Weekly exponential moving averages. The volatility rises. Bollinger bands are deviated. MACD is in a bearish configuration. The downtrend should resume with more vigor..
Resistances
104,00 - 104,40 - 105,00
Supports
103,50 - 103,30 - 103,20 - 103,00

mostrader - 02 Feb 2005 07:34 - 3245 of 11056

USD/CHF - Dollar Swiss Franc
Short term (Intraday)
1,1885. USD CHF moves without trend and swings around exponential moving averages (EMA 50 and 100). The price is just above 1,1870 support. The volatility is low. Oscillators are neutral. The price has a good probability to go up. The target is expected at 1,1950. We won't take a position.
Medium term (Daily)
USD CHF is in an downtrend directed by daily exponential moving averages. USD CHF is in a consolidation after the last bearish movement. The volatility rises. Bollinger bands are tightened. daily MACD crosses and gives a positive signal. The price should continue to consolidate. The price should find a resistance below 1,1800.
Long term (Weekly)
USD CHF is in an downtrend directed by weekly exponential moving averages. The volatility rises. Bollinger bands are drawing the trend. RSI is in a bearish configuration. The downtrend should continue on 1,1200 support.
Resistances
1,1900 - 1,1925 - 1,1950
Supports
1,1875/70 - 1,1840
Long term chart
USD/CHF - Dollar Swiss Franc

Maggot - 02 Feb 2005 07:36 - 3246 of 11056

Yep - two in the bowl.
Followed Croc's rule that if it hesitates, get out - so I've taken 1. Sounds stupid but I'm getting a lot of little profits now. Am willing to wait for a determined run to start, and if it doesn't, I'm out. Working well for me.

hodgins - 02 Feb 2005 07:38 - 3247 of 11056

Euro/Swissie moving more favourably than pound/yen for dollar shorts just now.
A brave being might short $ agaainst their preferred cross now, a less brave one may do it just? after probably already factored in FOMC but before Friday 1.30?

mg - 02 Feb 2005 07:39 - 3248 of 11056

Well, before reading the above I managed to go short EUR/USD on charting grounds - from 13075 and 13080. Looking for at least 13040/50 to get back to it's late Tuesday evening position.

Bit of a new departure for me - don't normally stray from cable. We'll see

mostrader - 02 Feb 2005 07:39 - 3249 of 11056

magg well done,
hod agree ob rate hike in the price but still wud not want to be shrt$

mostrader - 02 Feb 2005 07:45 - 3250 of 11056

shrt cable @ 50 early. one......

mostrader - 02 Feb 2005 07:51 - 3251 of 11056

covered half @ 40

jeffmack - 02 Feb 2005 22:04 - 3252 of 11056

whats this interest rate rise going to do to cable overnight

jeffmack - 02 Feb 2005 22:21 - 3253 of 11056

sold cable 1.8860

HelenW - 02 Feb 2005 22:23 - 3254 of 11056

Jeff, me too for +10 but I've been watching it on and off all night. waste of time!

jeffmack - 03 Feb 2005 06:21 - 3255 of 11056

closed overnight cable short for +32, which was nice

Seymour Clearly - 03 Feb 2005 06:44 - 3256 of 11056

Hi folks. Just a couple of questions before I join you with a punt (will be a week or two before I do anyway). Say I was going 1 a point on cable, what's my exposure? Around 18k? How much margin does this use up with cmc?

And which site shows the best charts to print off? I'm thinking of 1 day, 5 day and a few weeks charts. Need these charts to get a feel for it. Many thanks for your help - and special thanks Mos for all the stuff you keep sending.

mostrader - 03 Feb 2005 06:47 - 3257 of 11056

mng jeff, bushs speech seems to have done very little cable same as yesterday it seems,nfp will be the key


seymour 1 pp s/b margin is 150 quid..
as for charts ..cmc`s are basic..

http://www.dailyfx.com/active_charts.html


or try above...

mg - 03 Feb 2005 06:56 - 3258 of 11056

Well, yesterday proved to be be fruitful. Left my EUR/USD to limit stop out for +40 and +45. My cable short trigger was fired at 880 and that is still open for +35 so I'm looking to see whether to close that. And that was all whilst I was away from the screen doing day job type stuff.

Very pleased with myself. Good week so far. Must make sure I don't blow it with some stupid trades.

jeffmack - 03 Feb 2005 06:56 - 3259 of 11056

Economic calendar for 3rd Feb. 05
3 Feb. 05 00:30  Building Approvals (Australia)  Dec    -0.3% 
3 Feb. 05 00:30  National Australia Bank Business Survey (Australia)  Q4     
3 Feb. 05 06:45  CPI - MoM (Switzerland)  Jan    -0.2% 
3 Feb. 05 07:15  Trade Balance (Switzerland)  Dec    1.3B 
3 Feb. 05 08:45  ADACI/Reuters Services PMI (Italy)  Jan     
3 Feb. 05 08:50  CDAF/Reuters Services PMI (France)  Jan     
3 Feb. 05 08:55  BME/Reuters Services PMI (Germany)  Jan     
3 Feb. 05 09:00  Services PMI (EU)  Jan     
3 Feb. 05 09:00  Unemployment Rate (Norway)  Jan    3.6% 
3 Feb. 05 09:30  Services PMI (UK)  Jan     
3 Feb. 05 12:45  ECB Announces Interest Rates (EU)    2.00%  2.00% 
3 Feb. 05 13:00  Unit Labor Costs (US)  Q4  1.8%  1.8% 
3 Feb. 05 13:30  Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (US)  325K     
3 Feb. 05 13:30  Nonfarm Productivity (US)  Q4  2.0%  1.8% 
3 Feb. 05 15:00  Factory Orders (US)  Dec  0.7%  1.2% 
3 Feb. 05 15:00  ISM Non-Manufacturing (US)  Jan  61.0  63.9 
3 Feb. 05 15:30  Weekly EIA Natural Gas Storage Change (US)  Jan 28     
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