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The Forex Thread (FX)     

hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

jeffmack - 02 Feb 2005 22:04 - 3252 of 11056

whats this interest rate rise going to do to cable overnight

jeffmack - 02 Feb 2005 22:21 - 3253 of 11056

sold cable 1.8860

HelenW - 02 Feb 2005 22:23 - 3254 of 11056

Jeff, me too for +10 but I've been watching it on and off all night. waste of time!

jeffmack - 03 Feb 2005 06:21 - 3255 of 11056

closed overnight cable short for +32, which was nice

Seymour Clearly - 03 Feb 2005 06:44 - 3256 of 11056

Hi folks. Just a couple of questions before I join you with a punt (will be a week or two before I do anyway). Say I was going 1 a point on cable, what's my exposure? Around 18k? How much margin does this use up with cmc?

And which site shows the best charts to print off? I'm thinking of 1 day, 5 day and a few weeks charts. Need these charts to get a feel for it. Many thanks for your help - and special thanks Mos for all the stuff you keep sending.

mostrader - 03 Feb 2005 06:47 - 3257 of 11056

mng jeff, bushs speech seems to have done very little cable same as yesterday it seems,nfp will be the key


seymour 1 pp s/b margin is 150 quid..
as for charts ..cmc`s are basic..

http://www.dailyfx.com/active_charts.html


or try above...

mg - 03 Feb 2005 06:56 - 3258 of 11056

Well, yesterday proved to be be fruitful. Left my EUR/USD to limit stop out for +40 and +45. My cable short trigger was fired at 880 and that is still open for +35 so I'm looking to see whether to close that. And that was all whilst I was away from the screen doing day job type stuff.

Very pleased with myself. Good week so far. Must make sure I don't blow it with some stupid trades.

jeffmack - 03 Feb 2005 06:56 - 3259 of 11056

Economic calendar for 3rd Feb. 05
3 Feb. 05 00:30  Building Approvals (Australia)  Dec    -0.3% 
3 Feb. 05 00:30  National Australia Bank Business Survey (Australia)  Q4     
3 Feb. 05 06:45  CPI - MoM (Switzerland)  Jan    -0.2% 
3 Feb. 05 07:15  Trade Balance (Switzerland)  Dec    1.3B 
3 Feb. 05 08:45  ADACI/Reuters Services PMI (Italy)  Jan     
3 Feb. 05 08:50  CDAF/Reuters Services PMI (France)  Jan     
3 Feb. 05 08:55  BME/Reuters Services PMI (Germany)  Jan     
3 Feb. 05 09:00  Services PMI (EU)  Jan     
3 Feb. 05 09:00  Unemployment Rate (Norway)  Jan    3.6% 
3 Feb. 05 09:30  Services PMI (UK)  Jan     
3 Feb. 05 12:45  ECB Announces Interest Rates (EU)    2.00%  2.00% 
3 Feb. 05 13:00  Unit Labor Costs (US)  Q4  1.8%  1.8% 
3 Feb. 05 13:30  Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (US)  325K     
3 Feb. 05 13:30  Nonfarm Productivity (US)  Q4  2.0%  1.8% 
3 Feb. 05 15:00  Factory Orders (US)  Dec  0.7%  1.2% 
3 Feb. 05 15:00  ISM Non-Manufacturing (US)  Jan  61.0  63.9 
3 Feb. 05 15:30  Weekly EIA Natural Gas Storage Change (US)  Jan 28     

jeffmack - 03 Feb 2005 06:57 - 3260 of 11056

MG, you will be thinking your good at this soon.. well done mate, your making some nice points.

mng Mos

mostrader - 03 Feb 2005 06:59 - 3261 of 11056

yep mng mg sometimes the setting of enrtys and just walking away does work quite nicely.......

Seymour Clearly - 03 Feb 2005 07:01 - 3262 of 11056

Mostrader, thanks. Well, I think I can afford a little more than 1pp but will have a go at this level just for starters. Thanks.

mg - 03 Feb 2005 07:04 - 3263 of 11056

Jeff
Thanks BUT that's the danger - the MOTU effect (Master of the Universe). Hence the comment about not feeling "this is easy" - once I start to think that I usually begin to believe that the market must be wrong and I am right - illogocal, irrational - COSTLY !!

It's knowing when you are trading confidently as opposed to arrogantly. Bit like the difference between genius and madness ;)

mostrader - 03 Feb 2005 07:07 - 3264 of 11056

seymour , to be honest dont worry abt the cost a 1pp is fine,just get a feel for it its sitting in a range @ mom
87 85 low for past few days support @ 8810/20 88 50 pivot res 8885/90 and behind 8917 just print a chart of and see how it moves..

try to think in terms of tics...ie ill try to make 10 tics a day and then once you make that just increase your stake,but 2 start 1pp is fine...
mos

any one else got a few tips for s.c

mostrader - 03 Feb 2005 07:08 - 3265 of 11056

EUR/USD

Strong support is seen in the 1.305/10 area followed by 1.2983. Resistance starts at 1.3040 and is followed by 1.3070,
1.3095 and 1.3125. Keep an eye on the today events.
Current quote is 1.3022

Recommended trades:

Short at 1.3040/50, t/p @1.3, s/l @1.3070.

USD/JPY

The pair has breached the resistance key of 103.95 during the Asian session and we expect a rally above the second important
resistance level of 104.37. Current quote is 104.24

Recommended trades:

Long at 103.90/104 , t/p @104.65, s/l @103.85

EUR/JPY

A rally towards the first important resistance key at 136.11 is a possible scenario but after a small consolidation.
Current quote is 135.65.

Recommended trades:

Short at 136.05/10, t/p @135.75, s/l @136.30

Seymour Clearly - 03 Feb 2005 07:15 - 3266 of 11056

Thanks mg and mos - quite happy with the "tics" thinking - done enough of that with stocks so comfortable there. Yep, I'll have a go at 1 pp. Have been getting up early (6am ish over the last couple of weeks ready to watch and see - making paper trades) but still not confident enough - cmc charts - need I say more!!!

jeffmack - 03 Feb 2005 07:21 - 3267 of 11056

SC, no advice I can give you, bit of a beginner at FX myself.

Long USD/CHF 1.1956

Off to work, have a good day

mg - 03 Feb 2005 07:53 - 3268 of 11056

Placed a cable buy position in @ 18780 and a sell @ 18860.

Still running my open 18880 short (stop @ 18860) - with a limit sell @ 18780.

mg - 03 Feb 2005 08:02 - 3269 of 11056

Pulled the short on that bounce - out for +40 though - so no pain no gain ;)

mg - 03 Feb 2005 08:08 - 3270 of 11056

Long from 18830
[EDIT - Mr. Whippy time - probably should be sitting on my hands - think it might be MOTU effect - must make sure I don't stay in much longer]

HelenW - 03 Feb 2005 08:58 - 3271 of 11056

Morning. Closed cable long for +10 last night (thank God) Still small stakes, but feel I'm getting the feel for it.
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