Another newcomer to the main market...anybody any idea what the production figures are ?

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the chart says it all, but even with the gas find rns it suddenly has'nt become a bad company overnight.

that was also my thought, but the market seems to believe otherwise
i've posted the 5 year chart below, and for what it's worth, one would surely think that a bounce is seriously o'due - but are we/you brave enough?

that is the $64000 question.

It takes a brave man to catch a falling knife.
In fact, I'm tempted to short it looking at the graph.

there is a minor bounce on at the moment.

it's suddenly recovering very fast so shorting might prove much more dangerous than the knife trick

bought in at 3.42 then again at 2.93.

what to do?

293 can't be all wrong i think .... assuming equal quantities then b/e = 3.18 which isn't to terrifying ..... once it recovers to that, it becomes very much your choice as to what to do

thanks

I thought it was all down them spending shed loads of money in Kurdistan on the basis of finding oil, but recently admitting they have only found gas?

can't remember exactly where this gas find is, but apparently it is seriously HUGE, though yes indeed they (and the punters) were hoping for oil .... checking back, it seems that most of the brokers subsequently downgraded the stock, but i wonder if they're entirely right in this instance

there is a rumour says, the guardian newspaper off a 450p bid from whoever.

this might have caused the spike.

The rumour has been squashed today.

::Comment

Buy Heritage at 295p
Says Lucien Miers, the Bard of the Boleyn

The markets preference for oil over gas was demonstrated forcefully the other day at Heritage Oil (HOIL 295p) The stock was trading around 460p awaiting drilling results at its Miran prospect in Kurdistan Iraq. On 26th Jan the company announced that it had made a major gas discovery, equivalent to 744mn barrels of Oil (6.8 to 9.1 trillion cubic feet) After a knee jerk rise on this news the market spanked the stock and it has fallen steadily since then to a recent low of 280p.

The reason for the fall is that a 170km gas pipeline would need to be built to transport the gas which could cost around $1bn. Also production is not expected until 2015. But chiefly it is because the market wanted oil and it got gas.

I think the fall is overdone as I am told that on the basis of what majors have paid recently for similar assets a gas find of this size could be worth $3bn. Even after the cost of the pipline and allowing for the five year wait till production you could be talking a value for the gas alone at around 320p per share.

Given that HOIL has 135p in cash following the sale of its Ugandan assets to Tullow Oil, (in a deal which demonstrated its expertise at finding value in exotic places) and that it also has other projects in Africa, Pakistan and Malta as well as a small producing asset in Russia (an average rate of 580 barrels a day: small but must it pay a few bills) it can be argued that the falls have been overdone even taking into account the discount currently being accorded to anything with a middle eastern bias.

I am sure that Heritage would rather be involved in oil rather than gas but I feel confident it will extract maximum value for this significant discovery, and feel that at 295p the fall has been overdone. I have bought around these levels with a target of 400p plus in the next 12 months.

Posted by ShareCrazy on Feb 18, 05:42 PM in Comment

Nice to see Stock On Loan data (shorters) falling away in recent days.



Data Explorers

It's a good company....but is this the bottom ?.....not sure...might just be perking up before a further drop....

TA looks pretty impressive and bullish for HOIL at the moment....

Moving up nicely this morning.

Up over 7% and going like the clappers.... Nice.