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IRAN - is invasion (aka war) inevitable? - discuss     

cynic - 04 Mar 2007 07:55

European news says that UN (USA, Russia, UK, France, Germany et al) are trying to find a formula for further trade sanctions etc against Iran .... have heard that before somewhere!

Al Jazeera, as mouth piece of the (militant) Arab world, reckons war is pretty imminent.

What do "friends" think?

What was the effect on the markets when hostilities atrted in Iraq?

Will US either covertly or even overtly give permission for Israeli to make pre-emptive bombing strikes against Iranian nuclear installations?

If so, within what sort of time-frame?

G D Potts - 16 Apr 2007 17:33 - 33 of 55

If iran has refused power, as you say navajo, from Russia etc (I think the US also gave them a few reactors of some kind), then its quite clear that the technology will be used for other purposes. E.g trying to send a nuke to israel and then UK + US. The good thing here is though that we/more importantly the US will absolubltely demolish them before they've launched more than one missle.
But the US is building this huge network of missle defence systems around the world and in the uk which protect . . . . the USA. Which could suggest they've planned or are anticipating some more competitive wars in the not to distant future.

G D Potts - 16 Apr 2007 17:34 - 34 of 55

also just to note - cynic i think you've been beaten here by navajo etc.

cynic - 16 Apr 2007 17:51 - 35 of 55

possibly but not sure! ..... just to nail my colours clearly to the mast again ..... i fear that war or similar is inevitable, though suspect the timing is unlikely to be before late 2008 ..... too much manoeuvring to carry out first, political and otherwise.

Fred1new - 17 Apr 2007 10:28 - 36 of 55

I think what Iraq, Iran and Afghanistan is showing, is that America and little Britain have overstretched themselves.

America may have been World dominant, but as with previous powers when internal strife develops and the economy begins to fail the largest empires begin to fail.

They have no friends and it isn't smashing a country into submission which counts but it is governing it. They don't have the resources to do this.

I think we are seeing the new emperors developing, but their power although involving military power will concentrate on economic power.

Annihilating Iran's nuclear development will do little to prevent the slow but ongoing demise of Americas political influence and due to the recent policies of the British government make Britain even less important.

cynic - 17 Apr 2007 10:38 - 37 of 55

Britain was once the World's Policeman and it can never be a popular role, but you are certainly right about the governing bit.

Britain, and the Romans in earlier times, put in place workable and generally acceptable legal and governmental practices. Though some (Zimbabwe!) have chosen to throw out these systems, with some pretty dire effects on their nations, others (India) have kept them pretty much unchanged to general overall benefit.

Unfortunately, America does not have the benefit of a long history, for it is a slow process, to understand how these things come to be. I am sorry to say that her attempts to stamp her authority and mores on various nations, from Vietnam through to Iraq look to have failed almost without exception. Arguably Mexico and one or two of the South American or similar countries have moved forward peacefully following "intervention".


Fred1new - 17 Apr 2007 15:16 - 38 of 55

I think the word Plunderer would be more appropriate than policeman.

America for the last 50 years has attempted the same approach by protecting its own narrow self interest and not interests in general.

Gross inequality leads to abuse and resentment and the application of self righteous justice at the expense of others.

An example of this can be seen in that the death tolls of Americans, Britain and its "allies" in Iraq and Afghanistan being known to the last detail, while that of the civilian populations killed during the ongoing conflicts are not recorded for public consumption.

It reminds me of the conflicts in the South of America and the apartheid in South Africa. ie. the oppressed not being valued. It is easy to see how terrorism results and thrives.

cynic - 17 Apr 2007 15:31 - 39 of 55

i think categorising Victorian Britain as plunderers is a bit harsh given the mores of the time ..... for sure it was not (entirely!) altruistic, but I certainly believe the thinking of the time was that they were also doing the "benighted natives" a considerable service.

Belgium's actions in the Congo were certainly much more brutal and rapacious ..... read (factual) King Leopold's Ghost (or of course, Lucky Jim)

Fred1new - 17 Apr 2007 16:04 - 40 of 55

I think it is reasonable to consider the "mores" of the time when judging an action. However, I don't think that changes or excuses the actions which took place. Neither does it change the motivation for those actions.

I am a little bit P. off by politician of today saying "it is time to move on", especially when they don't admit the culpability of their actions or apologise for their ill chosen actions.

Perhaps, it is because I am older and have made more mistakes than they have that I have learnt the value of saying "sorry" and I was wrong.






Not too often though!

cynic - 17 Apr 2007 16:17 - 41 of 55

it is one thing to apologise for one's own actions, but as one retreats further and further into history, the "obligation", as some would have it, to apologise for one's ancestors' actions becomes less and less ....... I certainly think all this current breast beating about slavery is a load of nonsense, for many many reasons ..... bringing it forward 50 years or so, while we should never forget the Holocaust, i think it ridiculous to keep beating today's German (relative) youth about it ..... and yes i am jewish

Fred1new - 17 Apr 2007 17:44 - 42 of 55

Cynic, somebody I agree with at last. I don't hold it against the English that they stole my country a few centuries ago. Only thing I think now that they have played with my ball long enough. Can I have it back and can they all go home? 8-)

I have never understood how one can apologise for somebodies action if you are not in a position of responsibility at the time. That does not mean such actions should be forgotten or not analysed.

I claim my nationality only on Rugby International days or when abroad and somebody is rude enough to suggests I am English.

As you have probably guessed, my heritage is Welsh, but I feel European.

cynic - 17 Apr 2007 17:48 - 43 of 55

how can a proud Celt claim to be European? .... Even you must admit that the connection with the Bretons is tenuous at best!

that said, surely in today's atmosphere of PC correctness, you should be demanding apologies and reparations from anyone at all by the name of Edward; after all, such a person would be celebrating being named after Edward I

Fred1new - 17 Apr 2007 17:59 - 44 of 55

I like their wine, women and the way they play rugby. Good enough reasons.

I almost said love, but in the presence of my wife that is probably going to far.

bristlelad - 17 Apr 2007 20:07 - 45 of 55

AT LAST////I NOW KNOW(FredInew) IS WELSH///////THAT EXPLAIN IT ALL /

G D Potts - 17 Apr 2007 21:13 - 46 of 55

Cynic - Buy some ArmorGroup shares and you ll win either way.

Drew Peacock - 17 Apr 2007 22:26 - 47 of 55

I wish we could beat the Germans ;-) maybe we stand a chance at cricket? we cant beat anyone else at it

mnamreh - 25 Jan 2012 07:24 - 48 of 55

.

mnamreh - 25 Jan 2012 07:40 - 50 of 55

.

Stan - 25 Jan 2012 07:46 - 51 of 55

Have any "other Countries" been invited to rethink "their" nuclear programme in that link Skinny?

skinny - 25 Jan 2012 07:49 - 52 of 55

Stan - the clue is in the link title :-)
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