overgrowth
- 13 May 2005 16:36
Retail Decisions are
market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They
produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally,
though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers
both in the UK and US.
They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be
a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this
"forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout
2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and
Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of
millions of shares in RTD !
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Shares Magazine had
a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is
about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution".
It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.
Here's what Shares
had to say:
"Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing
credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit
and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but
also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in
your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions.
Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime.
Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump
is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities
seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains
concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already
has fantastic experience and technology.
The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that
it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer,
T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner
of Macy's and Bloomingdales.
Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business
in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low
single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."
Retail Decisions have
continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz.
fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices
and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams
from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through.
In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over
their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company
is doing.
The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software
is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success
in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is
being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real
gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.
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Fundamentalist
- 29 Sep 2005 15:14
- 332 of 1009
Fred
glad i sold higher up but the chart just doesnt convince me to re-enter currently. I cant see this being driven higher without contract news or a bullish trading statement (and the interims make the latter far less likely this yr)
skyhigh
- 30 Sep 2005 12:05
- 333 of 1009
I'm speechless ! what a load of rubbish this is turning out to be !
Same with most my other holdings... mostly red.... been a bad week.
Fundamentalist
- 30 Sep 2005 12:14
- 334 of 1009
Have to start wondering whether there is something going on here retail investors are not privy to or is it simply being shorted/walked down. Still watching for support to be found in the price
capetown
- 30 Sep 2005 12:17
- 335 of 1009
Hi FUNDY,do you thnk this will go down as far as 16p?
Fundamentalist
- 30 Sep 2005 12:21
- 336 of 1009
capetown
i have no idea where this will go to be honest. I think they have already dropped below fair value based on the knowledge that is publicly available. However, shares often overshoot in either direction (especially in BB hot shares). Remember last time this was around 16p was when the cybersource suit was the big worry - is there more news coming on this?
Douggie
- 30 Sep 2005 12:21
- 337 of 1009
bit late in the day......but ....
MOURNING ALL gutted but serves me right.......:o[[[[[[[[
capetown
- 30 Sep 2005 12:26
- 338 of 1009
Just wondering if that is where its heading and i am keen to get back in<
I would HOLD if i was still in the stock though,
Yesterday look how SEO went down for NO reason and nows its back up!!
capetown
- 30 Sep 2005 12:28
- 339 of 1009
Looks like the buyers are back @23
Fred1new
- 30 Sep 2005 12:28
- 340 of 1009
Looking at the buys and sells I think there must a lot of "shorters" pressure unless some Late or protected trades show up later to-day and early next week. My own "feelings" are the SP is to low, the company is in a better state of development than lsat year. I don't like waiting, but will.
If anybody has room on their park bench in Hyde Park please contact me at MM.
Fred1new
- 30 Sep 2005 12:31
- 341 of 1009
I have the same sentiments about SEO of which the potential I think is far greater as a cash earner.
Fred1new
- 30 Sep 2005 12:31
- 342 of 1009
I have the same sentiments about SEO of which the potential I think is far greater as a cash earner.
capetown
- 30 Sep 2005 15:18
- 343 of 1009
SHE on the slide again!!
I got a feeling this one will fall much further before bouncing back,but bounce back it WILL
Douggie
- 30 Sep 2005 18:55
- 344 of 1009
:-[[
Fred1new
- 30 Sep 2005 19:18
- 345 of 1009
Cheer up Douggie, You have got the weekend and next week should show an improvement. About 3Million shares bought late afternoon in large sizes. b/s 6/5.
zscrooge
- 30 Sep 2005 22:41
- 346 of 1009
For goodness sake! Cybersource?! Just nervous investors worried about retail sales up to xmas. But that's in the high street not online. Instis thought it was a good buy at 32, brokers say buy up to 35. Maybe some longtermers locking in profit.
36p by March.
optomistic
- 01 Oct 2005 11:24
- 347 of 1009
Retail Decisions PLC interim pretax profit for the six months to June 30 is up 17 pct to 3.5 mln stg compared with 3 mln stg last year
on group revenue of 14.7 mln stg and in line with market expectations.
The fuel card operator and card fraud prevention company operating
profit is 3.7 mln stg up from last year's 3.2 mln while group adjusted operating
margin increased to 25 pct from 22 pct.
Fuel Cards division
profits up 18 pct on a 9 pct increase in revenues.
Not results that warrant a 33% share price reduction in days!
On these figures IMO the share price is likely to stage a quick recovery. The big Q is who was doing the selling to push the price down and why.
capetown
- 01 Oct 2005 11:32
- 348 of 1009
OPTIMISTIC,
How are you,
Its a great buying opportunity,But do you think the price will fall further?Will it go to 17 pence as it has gone down lower than other lows and could be heading to test its previous breakout>?,what do you think?,i am keen to add.
Keep well
optomistic
- 01 Oct 2005 11:52
- 349 of 1009
capetown, if you use ADVFN I recommend you to read the RTD thread there, an excellent article has just been posted by scburbs. Well worth the effort to have a look.
My own view is positive, took the opportunity to add Friday, price may not be at the bottom but it should be near. Looking at the figures looks a good buy IMO.
capetown
- 01 Oct 2005 13:01
- 350 of 1009
I agree with you optimistic,
But we all know how the market get wreck the price of a share even if breifly for no reason,
It looks like its on a downward trend and i will take a chance and add if it falls further,
More than happy to hold the stock i bought @ 29p and 27.50,
CHEERS and thanks for the info