ptholden
- 09 Jul 2007 23:14
I often find all manner of reference to Technical Analysis whilst reading threads, questioning certain elements, asking for advice on indicators and also requesting advice on a stock and whether it's a good time to buy, sell, hold or remain indifferent. I am the first to admit that my own TA is still in its infancy, but I do spend time on expanding my knowledge (hopefully in the right direction!).
Rather than having to ask a TA question on a particular thread, perhaps this thread could be used as a forum for TA queries and become a knowledge base. Just a thought, if there is little or no interest, the thread will sink without trace and that will be the end of that. I will personally add a few snippets to help those with less knowledge (if that's possible) to keep things rolling. There is a danger that the thread will receive countless requests for opinions on a variety of stocks and there is only so much I can do alone, therefore I would more than welcome input from other posters, no matter how rudimentary they believe their own knowledge to be, hopefully some real experts will take the time to contribute.
greekman
- 03 Aug 2007 08:47
- 333 of 504
PT,
Just getting into TA, so thanks for the thread (all the hard work).
And it's great to see a thread that is compiled and contributed to by grown-ups.
Requires a lot of study, but getting there.
Cheers to all.
Greek.
maddoctor
- 03 Aug 2007 08:49
- 334 of 504
"grown ups" ???????????
cynic
- 03 Aug 2007 08:50
- 335 of 504
put another way .... rarely slagging on this thread, except between D and myself for a short evening!
maddoctor
- 03 Aug 2007 08:54
- 336 of 504
B wave on the dow anybody?
cynic
- 03 Aug 2007 09:12
- 337 of 504
what does that mean? ....... my gut feel about Dow today is that it will be down >100 by close tonight as people take some rather unexpected profits from the week and as a precaution against yet more sub-prime lenders going belly up
maddoctor
- 03 Aug 2007 09:15
- 338 of 504
cynic , falls generally go , down A , up B(but not as much as the fall) , then C down (greater than A fall)
hope that helps
goldfinger
- 03 Aug 2007 10:58
- 339 of 504
Your thoughts on this one PTH Cynic please?.
Nb, trading on a low forward multiple of just over 9 times to end of sept 2007 PEG 0.6
chocolat
- 03 Aug 2007 12:49
- 340 of 504
Put another way, cynic, you're really just a pussy cat ;)
Maddoctor, it hasn't escaped my notice that you're into EW stuff :)
Me, well I never got past page 3 of the Prechter bible, but if you're interested in any of the prognostications by various EWers that are regularly sent to me, pm me.
maddoctor
- 03 Aug 2007 12:51
- 341 of 504
choccy , just keep a look in on the site since they often have interesting articles.
lost faith bigtime when they kept calling a bear market for 3 years from 2003 . cost me bigtime! wrong side of the market!
they did however call the subprime market 1 year before anybody else
cynic
- 03 Aug 2007 13:03
- 342 of 504
choccy .... please don't start talking about pussy .... it'll get me overexcited!
chocolat
- 03 Aug 2007 13:07
- 343 of 504
Well this stuff isn't from the site - it's from people like Robert McHugh - who always remembers to put PhD after his name :) and Bill Adlard - who rather refreshingly isn't American.
I also recall TomH calling the bear market, following his mentor Wilder's wild musings.
Nah - everyone's been calling the subprime thingie :)
chocolat
- 03 Aug 2007 13:24
- 344 of 504
Blimey, cynic - I thought it was just culinary delights that tickled your extremities ;)
cynic
- 03 Aug 2007 15:01
- 345 of 504
many things oral have great appeal!
meanwhile, my little Dow short is heading in the right direction and may even increase it
btw, CTH (see thread) gets curiouser and curiouser, as said Alice
maggiebt4
- 03 Aug 2007 17:17
- 346 of 504
Thanks for advice Dy have made a note and even understand Thought I might get a blue dot today but sp took a nose dive when yanks opened. I live in hope!!!
ptholden
- 03 Aug 2007 20:32
- 347 of 504
maggie, whilst I do not use bar reversals and I'm not knocking the concept, in fact I do agree with Dynamix, don't hang your hat on one particular concept of TA. Like everything, it works until it doesn't work anymore. All methods and indicators have their place in time, deciding when to use each is crucial to success. If any combination of system were anywhere near infallible we would all be doing the same thing and millionaires. There's a lot more to a system than just a blue dot.
pth
maddoctor
- 03 Aug 2007 21:00
- 348 of 504
bloody
dynamix
- 03 Aug 2007 21:09
- 349 of 504
pth - price action is what makes the indicators turn. theres many other price indicators on offer (like 123's etc) but if you use it WITH a lagging indicator it gives it more weight. like you said, theres more to a system than blue dots, thats why in the same picture I posted an MACD which was above zero and a trend line to follow.
The beauty of price action entry signals, they give you a stop loss, or in other words a point at which you know the trade is wrong and time to get out.
With a lagging indicator, by time the indicator turns, the price could have crashed far further than where you wanted to exit
cynic
- 03 Aug 2007 21:17
- 350 of 504
sorry chaps, but right call on Dow even if i did set my limit a bit high
ptholden
- 03 Aug 2007 21:34
- 351 of 504
dynamix, I agree entirely with your comments, the point I was making to maggie (and you also agree) is not to rely on just one 'system'. When I first started studying TA I got hung up on MACD bullish / bearish divergence nearly to the exclsuion of everything else, it didn't take me long to realise it wasn't a good system! (Incidentally, I still have an awful lot of TA to study). Finding your posts very useful btw, as I am sure are others :)
pth
PS Well done Mr Cynic.
cynic
- 03 Aug 2007 22:49
- 352 of 504
I must guard against hubris, for last 4 calls i have made on Dow have proved profitable ..... confess i fear for Monday though after hours, index looks to have recovered above 13205 which is potentially quite critical, even though i had set my limit 60 points higher where there was a lesser support - non-existent it would seem!