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stanelco .......a new thread (SEO)     

bosley - 20 Feb 2004 09:34

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SEO&SiChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SEO&Si

for more information about stanelco click on the links.

driver's research page link
http://www.moneyam.com/InvestorsRoom/posts.php?tid=7681#lastread
website link
http://www.stanelco.co.uk/index.htm


aldwickk - 24 Apr 2005 13:19 - 3366 of 27111

Fred,
Are you trying to say something, LOL

Fred1new - 24 Apr 2005 17:21 - 3367 of 27111

Yes but it is not repeatable.



8-)

EWRobson - 24 Apr 2005 20:31 - 3368 of 27111

Well! How will the market be for SEO tomorrow and this week. May have another week before the ASDA deal is finally confirmed. Wall Street is jittery and there is a lot of talk around about Eliot Waves and another bear market (or we are still in the last one!). SEO charts look good to me and I particularly like the momentum. So, if there is a mark down with the market tomorrow, SEO is likely to recover to at least hold its position on the day and perhaps progress a tad during the week. Doubt whether Evil will try to short again although he might continue to snipe - that's almost a compliment. Very relevant is the comment that there is not a large free market in SEO shares: suggested that just 300million shares are not tied up; compare that to 23million shares traded on Friday and that volume has been beated six times in the last month. That suggests that the MMs (which includes Evolution) will tend to soak up shares rather than drop the price. Perhaps unlikely to be a significant push ahead until we see a major US deal, perhaps Walmart, possibly within the next month.

Not content with soaking up SEO and CFP, stockdog is now soaking up gold! What does he know, that the rest of us don't. Perhaps his frantic digging for bones has revealed a gold locket. Suggest he is better off with diamonds and NML!

Eric

pension271 - 24 Apr 2005 20:54 - 3369 of 27111

Stockdog /3361 post
as it appears in smallcapshares May 2005 recd sat am by post.

Stanelco, the movie, may be worth 170m, but Stanelco, the company is not. The co., has now finalised arrangements for Asda to adopt its tray -lidding technology. and it quickly thereafter appointed two US companies to commence installing it in the USA. These developments sent the shares up to 21p and the market capitalisation to nearly 180m.

Comment :
Momentum may take the shares further, but at some point punters may pause to consider that although the revenue arising from the Asda deal will be "significantly in excess of 5m in the first year" it will only be the tiniest fraction of 180m. And the total company inclome to which this project will be added was just 1.3m in the 12 months to last October.

Stanelco has several other intriguing development projects, but none of them in our opinion come anywhere close to underwriting the current share price.

Stanelco came very close to being our first 10-bagger ( generating 1000pc profit). We first bought it at 2.4p in OCt 2002. but we got a bit wobbly about it just before Christmas when it was drubbed in a patent infringement suit just after the chief executive sold 41m shares at 4p ( collecting 1.6m and thereby forgoing a further 7m he could have pocketed by hanging on for a few months - hindsight is a wonderful thing). These developments led us to dump Stanelco at 4p ( we allowed generously for the spread in this penny share ). However, one angst-ridden month later, the Asda project and a couple of other positive factors having emerged, we did a u-turn and bought them again at 5.5p . Which puts us 260pc to the good in four months. You need one of those every now and again. Neat work. Lets hope this is too. :SELL

Above as it appears in the mag, I have been in and out of this share for a long time now and still hold a substantial figure - about 14% of my total outlay in shares.
Please post your thoughts.Thanks p-271

Sharesure - 24 Apr 2005 21:06 - 3370 of 27111

Although smallcap shares has a point if only the Asda deal is factored in, that misses the point about how fast the US and Mexico roll out can be accelerated with the training of out-sourced operatives in other companies. Once discussions with major North American customers, ie not just Walmart, start resulting in sign ups the share price starts to look very cheap very fast.

Chiva20 - 24 Apr 2005 21:33 - 3371 of 27111

Agreed Sharesure I think smallcap shares give a very shortsighted opinion on SEO, in their own words I think they're 'getting a bit wobbly' as they did before Christmas on their stake. Every indication points to significant upside, the Walmart deal is almost a foregone conclusion and it will only be a matter of time before other supermarkets etc. step in. And this is all before considering the potential of the rest of SEO's portfolio, frogpack etc. Barring utter disaster, the only obstacle preventing a progressive climb in the following months would be short bursts of profit taking and jitters in the overall economic climate, each of which will pass and pave the way for new SEO fan club membership. I don't even think EK would have a stab after his last pitiful effort, and if he does, bring it on! Opportunity to top up for the umpteenth time

Erics prophecy of an average of 4 points a month sounds about accurate for me, I can happily live with that.

Chiva

EWRobson - 24 Apr 2005 21:33 - 3372 of 27111

pension

Interesting post. I tend to get suspicious when only a selective part of a story is published: you can see the journalists trying to find some sells to notionally take profits and not doing their homework properly. I have been complainign recently about such action with sells recommended, or implied, fro YOO, ASC and SEO. So what justifies the cuurent price and, indeed, provides a strong basis for short-term growth?

(1) The Evolution forecast of 3.3p per share in 2007 based on a cumulative delivery of 2600 units. This is, in fact, a very small share of the potential market, perhaps some 5%. The forecast was made prior to the annouincements of the liaisons with Premier and Advanced as foirerunners of an attack on the US market, with Walmart obviously a prime target.

(2) The key factor which is easily missed is the royalty aspect of the payment structure so that the revenue and profits rise exponentially once the volume builds up.

(3) The pay-off to the users are dramatic in terms of reduced costs and other benefits, of which increased shelf life is particularly dramatic. Thus, it reasonably appears inevitable that Tesco and the rest will follow so that ASDAs advantage is restricted to the one year benefit. With Walmart, the product is timed brilliantly with a movement to out-sourcing products in palce of in-store butcheries.

smallcapshares appear to have made the same mistake as Simon Cawkwell, making a judgement on a quick appraisal of one aspect of the finances - perhaps noggidynog (alias II) works for them!

Eric

jimmy b - 24 Apr 2005 22:00 - 3373 of 27111

Agree with your posts chaps,, and we don't talk about that insider guy , any way he's on holiday ,,lets hope its raining and he's got Turkey tummy..JB..

pension271 - 24 Apr 2005 22:04 - 3374 of 27111

I agree with you all - and am staying put - and if at all drops for ANY reason will add in future. p/271
Eric -who is this -noggidynog (alias II) ?

andysmith - 24 Apr 2005 22:32 - 3375 of 27111

Good post Pension271 and the right kind of "negative post". Not necessarily your own thoughts but an opposite opinion to ours to make us look over our reasoning again. Take Eric's Evolution forecast figure of EPS 3.3p, PEx10 = 33p at least. My earlier maths re-quoted, 10% hit on worldwide meat-pack market could generate 10p EPS, x PE10 = 100p. Doesn't take much to see the potential.
Add to that Frogpack, Biodegradable, water soluble and Ingel.
Yes >20p is a long way from 5.5p on Jan 3rd but there should still be a long way to go. There will be dips along the way and clever traders could buy and sell into profit or larger holdings. I will hold and buy on dips. I believe the magazine that you have quoted is very short-sighted, people pay silly money for exploration companies and bio-chems which are totally speculative. Whilst SEO is classed as a small share now, this magazine won't be able to offer advice in 2-3years time, SEO will be too big when this all comes to fruition. Just my opinion but see no reason to change that right now. Tony Ruane of ASDA remains confident and see's other opportunities for RF within the packaging of its products and I have to agree with him.

EWRobson - 24 Apr 2005 22:41 - 3376 of 27111

andysmith: agree 100% (as I usually do!)
pension: noggidynog is sd's name for the chap mentioned by jimmy b who we don't mention! When is a penny share no longer a penny share. Shares ran an article on penny shares including HCEG which had billions of the blessed things. Then thay do a 1 for 50 consolidation (I think) and they are no longer a penny share! lol! I suspect that advising on penny shares means that you don't need to do your homework so thoroughly as buyers have their tongues lolling out, like stockdog when he is thirsty or left in a car that is too hot!

Eric

andysmith - 24 Apr 2005 22:44 - 3377 of 27111

Eric, I personally don't mind these people under-estimating SEO, keeps it low enough for a while until I have more dosh hopefully in mid-June!!
Quite happy with 20-25p until then.

stockdog - 25 Apr 2005 07:11 - 3378 of 27111

Pension271 - thanks for the post and the ensuing response it engendered. Just to complete the story eric started. Nogginsider the Nog (to give him his full name) is married to Queen Shortharda and they both tend to lose their shirts when shorting in a new stockmarket gambit known now as "shirting". There pet German dachsdragon Daxula is forced to avert his eyes at this unedifying sight. It's all Oliver Postgate thing.

Welcome to the wacky world of Stan THE Company, known by his Mexican friends as Stanelco. You can tell when he's been your way, because you will find a large S carved by an RF beam on the all the tray lids in your freezer!

:)

SD

pension271 - 25 Apr 2005 07:57 - 3379 of 27111

Andysmith - your post 3376 -"I personally don't mind these people under-estimating SEO" > i hope you are not implying that i am trying to do so. In fact if you notice my end comment on my post you will see:
"I have been in and out of this share for a long time now and still hold a substantial figure - about 14% of my total outlay in shares."

I posted the article as it appeared in the mag - just for us all SEO supporting family - i would like to think that i am part of this family as i passionately believe in the company.

A long time ago i was involved in packaging and know the implication of what SEO has.
Best wishes
p/271

Dynamite - 25 Apr 2005 08:00 - 3380 of 27111

OK so SEO's revenue does not match the market cap at the mo. So what! it is the potential here that is so huge plus the fact that revenue is already rolling with high profile Asda as the first main customer. PDX, as I have said before has virtually zero revenue rolling so far but again a big market cap. It is the passion behind the belief that they are both longer term superstars that drives the price of the share. In my mind now SEO is actually better than PDX because SEO has 5m revenue from Asda in the first year alone and PDX has none yet. Both are going to be superstars and remember when SEO was 4p and I said it was going to be the next PDX...maybe now PDX is going to be the next SEO as I think SEO will make it big time first now!!!
Di

andysmith - 25 Apr 2005 08:11 - 3381 of 27111

Pension271, No definitely not, I am referring to the magazine article which no doubt those who don't research themselves and take the advice will also under-estimate the potential of SEO but its up to them.

driver - 25 Apr 2005 09:21 - 3382 of 27111

Just topped up (No 11) I was going to top up at 0815 at 21p but because it is raining I had to take the nipper to school in the car, so I will take that couple of hundred quid out of his pocket money he cost me (don't you just luv um)

jimmy b - 25 Apr 2005 09:45 - 3383 of 27111

Would of been cheaper to get a taxi !plus you shouln'nt take that Ferrari out in the rain driver..JB..

bosley - 25 Apr 2005 09:52 - 3384 of 27111

morning all. here we go again, back on the roller coaster!!!
driver, you should charge interest as well. it will be a good life lesson for the boy!!

bhunt1910 - 25 Apr 2005 10:30 - 3385 of 27111

Morning Driver - I had a similar problem with management - had to go and have breakfast with my Wife - when I got back the price had gone back up. I guess you win some - and you lose some.

Baza
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