cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
spitfire43
- 30 Nov 2007 11:33
- 338 of 21973
As you say Friday sell off looking unlikely, but I have protected my position with a generous stop/loss. So hopefully in play for this afternoon.
spitfire43
- 30 Nov 2007 14:20
- 339 of 21973
Closed long position for a 40 point gain at 6427. Pleased with that.
I believe FTSE could go a little higher, but I will sit today out now, and look to Monday. Good luck to any traders out there today.
spitfire43
- 30 Nov 2007 14:29
- 340 of 21973
FTSE up 95 now to 6445, looking a little toppy to me with DOW futures only 138 up, but not brave enough to short today, the trend would be against me. And I dont want to give the profits today straight back.
HARRYCAT
- 30 Nov 2007 14:45
- 341 of 21973
Just as a matter of interest, spitfire (or anyone), what %age profit would you expect to make on an average week spreadbetting or CFDs? Don't reveal your stake.
I am just interested how much people make going long or short on stocks or indices, as I only trade stocks conventionally, but as things get more tricky then may have to look to other means.
Generally, over the last 3 years I make approx 25% p.a. on my equities, but is that realistic trading CFDs or spreadbetting?
spitfire43
- 30 Nov 2007 16:14
- 342 of 21973
I'm new to spread betting, I have been trading for only about 6 weeks on very small sums. small amount down but hopefully learning as I go along, and making less mistakes than at first. The biggest lesson I have leant is don't go against the trend, I tried to be to smart in first few trades and it didn't work.
Funny enough my return on equites would be about the same as yours, I still trade equities but have gone to a large cash position at moment.
Good luck if you decide to go down this route.
cynic
- 30 Nov 2007 17:21
- 343 of 21973
Harry ..... geared derivative trading is very scary and requires constant vigilance ..... all i will tell you is that my CFD trading in the current fiscal year is currently +24%, but only about 10 days ago, when the world caved in, it was down a similar amount
HARRYCAT
- 30 Nov 2007 17:36
- 344 of 21973
Thanks guys. So in a given year it should be possible to make 20-25% profit no matter which trading system you use. That's got to be better than +/- 6% gross at the building society & more interesting too.
cynic
- 30 Nov 2007 17:44
- 345 of 21973
as it is geared, the % gain or loss is significantly magnified .... with CFDs, and i think SBs are similar, the margin required is usually only 10% of the underlying stock .... thus, if you have 50k, you could theoretically buy 500k of stock
HARRYCAT
- 30 Nov 2007 17:48
- 346 of 21973
Of course, but you need to be ready for the dreaded margin call if things go badly wrong??? Don't worry, I will do plenty of research before committing & try the trial trading platform first.
Nice to see both the FTSE & the DOW finishing in the blue on a friday.
cynic
- 30 Nov 2007 17:54
- 347 of 21973
i am not convinced Dow will keep its head above water, but then i did not expect to see it +134 at opening either!
spitfire43
- 30 Nov 2007 18:32
- 348 of 21973
Hi Harrycat
Hopefully you shouldn't ever receive a margin call if you use sensible stop/losses, and only place trades where the most you could lose would be no more than 10% of the money depositd with your provider.
Have a look at www.iii.co.uk/investment/detail?display=discussion&code=cotn:UKX.L&it=li
this is a thread like this one for the FTSE, and have a look back at some threads, I have learnt alot from here.
PS...... someone posts using the name BONGOMAN he seems very switched on.
Good luck.........
spitfire43
- 03 Dec 2007 08:47
- 349 of 21973
No trading for me today, the sun is out so I'm off to play Golf.
Would expect FTSE to mainly be up today, I can't see it giving up gains below 6400, with 6500 a resistance level. I think the markets are just ignoring all the negatives at the moment, but would only expect this to last upto the 11th Dec for the feds interest announcement.
Good luck folk's..........
cynic
- 03 Dec 2007 09:27
- 350 of 21973
hope your golf is better than your prognostication .... looking quite to very likley that both indices will be down, perrhaps quite sharply
spitfire43
- 03 Dec 2007 14:06
- 351 of 21973
Fair point
Golf was better thankfully for three holes then the heaven's opened and we walked off.
Just as well I wasn't in trading, but looking at the chart I definitely maybe wouldn't have taken a position.
cynic
- 03 Dec 2007 14:08
- 352 of 21973
wimp!
spitfire43
- 03 Dec 2007 14:21
- 353 of 21973
I admit it, only a fair weather Golfer. Forecast better Tuesday and Wednesday.
cynic
- 04 Dec 2007 11:05
- 354 of 21973
market is looking very uncomfortable, with Dow indicating to open below the psychologically important 13000 level.
on the other hand, it is beginning to look once more as if BoE just might cut interest rates next time around (when is that due?)
yet Dow has arguably already factored in a Fed cut of 0.5% on 11th December ...... such a cut would be both good and bad news
BigTed
- 04 Dec 2007 11:13
- 355 of 21973
My portfolio now ahead of where it was before the credit crunch problems came to light, and when the market was pushing 6800
cynic
- 04 Dec 2007 11:19
- 356 of 21973
as a precaution, i am currently (moderately) short Dow
Hotei
- 04 Dec 2007 11:27
- 357 of 21973
cynic - below 13000 ? 13280 on the spreadbetters at present.