ainsoph
- 10 Feb 2003 14:25
bought a few of these a week or two ahead of their Interims - have moved up ever since :-)) but believe there is still some way to go yet - currently 31/33p they go xd on the 26th feb.
I see capital group are still adding - another 2.7 million shares - making 20 million in total or 6.15%
ains
Pugugly
- 13 Mar 2003 15:08
- 34 of 129
"In the light of the trading situation, and prior to any restatement of the
accounts that may be required following conclusion of the accounting
investigation, profits in the current year are likely to be well below market
expectations.
Note profits will be well below expectations BEFORE this exceptional".
That is if I have read the rns of yesterday correctly - but dyor etc
As posted in the other place yesterday this is looking more and more likely to be a job for Carey Street imo.
ainsoph
- 13 Mar 2003 15:18
- 35 of 129
Must admit at the time I put a different spin on it and still not sure what is meant ...... with no one answering the phones - guess we wait
Tempted to have a small punt at some time - maybe 100K or so
ains
goodfella
- 13 Mar 2003 21:50
- 36 of 129
Ainsoph is getting a lot better at this game
Usually his stock picks take a few months to lose 90% of their value.
He managed this one in just a few weeks.
That was from his latest average down buy price and of course as per usual he was buying from a lot lot higher,
goodfella - 12 Mar'03 - 19:32 - 28 of 34 edit
Ainsoph
Are you bankrupt yet..........you have not answered the question.
ainsoph - 07 Jan'03 - 22:01 - 119 of 255
Why would I sell out - you goodfellas are such losers ..... lol
I think there are some t trades in there dart
Yes he is a class act.
ainsoph
- 13 Mar 2003 23:03
- 37 of 129
You have a real problem goodfellas ..... if I recall - you laughed because I bought at 20p or so and was upset when I sold a few before the interims and a few afterwards at good profits.
Never mind ..... I kept some and I lost money a day or so ago - it happens and has happened .... now I move on. I didn't like taking a hit but it was one share amongst over 40 and I had taken a few profits .... that's life. Move on
ainsoph
PS .... BTW when are OOM going to be worthless? ..... it's been a while now and still get over 40p for them
biffa18
- 14 Mar 2003 08:01
- 38 of 129
some brokers now saying not as bad as first appeared what a suprise some people are going to make a fortune out of this if the shares recover hope so i have bought a large wedge , bankers dont appear in any hurry to sort things out if their not meeting to next week
ainsoph
- 14 Mar 2003 08:10
- 39 of 129
I wasn't going to say anything but the bankers are not upset about the interest thingy and talk is of the problem being less rather than more ..... we will see
biffa18
- 14 Mar 2003 08:28
- 40 of 129
bought 250000 this morning this is going to be easy money
ainsoph
- 14 Mar 2003 08:46
- 41 of 129
there are risks but if it comes off it will a multi bagger
SAll down to the bankers next week and also whether they find less or more probs than reported
ains
ainsoph
- 14 Mar 2003 09:29
- 44 of 129
up 60% ..... where are the goodfellas when you want to have a laugh :-))
moneyman
- 14 Mar 2003 09:38
- 46 of 129
Knew this was a winner at 2.5p
goodfella
- 14 Mar 2003 10:17
- 48 of 129
Thats great Ainsoph
It inly has to go up 1000% to get you back to break even.............LOL you muppet
ainsoph
- 14 Mar 2003 10:30
- 49 of 129
you are the muppet goodfella .... fancy knocking a share minutes ahead of it virtually doubling .....
I had to switch my alerts off this morning on the blue side .... couldn't keep up with the gains - my portfolio software was running nearly 30 secs behind :-))
biffa18
- 14 Mar 2003 15:07
- 51 of 129
my 350000 plus at 2.75 are looking very good at this time thanks
moneyman
- 14 Mar 2003 18:26
- 52 of 129
Ashtead slides after default on bank covenants
By Sophy Buckley and Aline van Duyn
Published: March 13 2003 10:19 | Last Updated: March 13 2003 10:19
Ashtead, the plant hire group, on Thursday defaulted on a $200m loan and suspended interest payments, causing a 67 per cent fall in the value of its shares.
The slump follows heavy falls this week - they started the week at 28p and closed on Thursday at 2p - after the group on Monday revealed balance sheet problems at Sunbelt, its US subsidiary, and warned that trading had deteriorated sharply and the whole company would fail to meet full-year expectations.
The company, which had total debt of 644m ($1bn) in October 31, said on Thursday the default stemmed from the problems with the US accounts.
"The company is unable to provide definitively the usual representations and warranties required in connection with the rollover of advances under its senior bank facility," it said.
It is meeting its bankers, a syndicate of 40 led by Bank of America, Lloyds and Citibank, at the end of next week. One investor said the timing of the meeting suggested the bankers were not too concerned.
Indeed, a banker involved called the timing of the rollover bad luck and predicted that assuming nothing bigger was uncovered in the accounts they would be able to refinance the debt.
But on Thursday, investors traded 60m shares, pushing the value down to an all-time low amid criticism of the company's past accountancy practices, including its treatment of depreciation and old plant disposals.
"I am beginning to question everything I see [in the accounts]. I wonder whether analysts have been misled," said one analyst.
After Monday's announcement, WestLB Panmure, the house broker, cut its full-year estimates from 23.5m to 14m and its free cash flow by 9m to 35m.
The company said on Thursday it was still profitable and generating free cash flow. It said the bankers had not requested an earlier meeting and it expected to make the interest payment in days.
Ashtead is understood to have called in Close Brothers to advise it on a new capital structure. Meanwhile, it is using an overdraft facility from Bank of America and Lloyds for short-term finance.
Ashtead: a final straw?
Sophy Buckley and Andrea Felsted
Published: March 13 2003 20:22 | Last Updated: March 13 2003 20:22
George Burnett and his fellow directors at Ashtead have spent more than 430m ($693.5m) on acquisitions since 1990, yet on Thursday the shares fell to 2p, valuing the plant hire group at 8m.
The group, whose books came under scrutiny a few years ago after observers questioned some of its accounting practices, spent the cash building market share in the UK and US and in the process built up a mountain of debt - 644m on October 31.
Such high levels of debt, combined with Monday's fresh accounting problems, this time at a US subsidiary, and a warning about current trading, had put the market into a bit of a tailspin. But Thursday's news that it had defaulted - albeit technically - and decided not to pay interest for the time being was the final straw.
The company says the decision not to pay the interest is based on practical reasons and not related to its ability to pay.
Analysts accept the reason for the default, caused directly by the mis-statement of costs on its US balance sheets, but they want to know more about why the company decided to suspend interest payments, as it sends such a bad signal.
Their concerns seem to stem from Ashtead's past accounting problems, when the company would use plant for perhaps a year before paying for it. In 1999, the issue was raised and it was pointed out that, in good times, this boosts profits but that the practice could cause problems if demand fell.
There were also concerns that the company did not adequately depreciate its capital.
Last year, after a review instituted by Ian Robson, the finance director who arrived in 2000, the company adopted FRS 18 accounting rules for its accounts from April 2001. This went a long way towards allaying observers' concerns, particularly when it took a 44.4m charge for exceptional costs and goodwill write-downs in the year to April 2002, tipping it 15.5m into the red.
"It seemed like they could start again with a clean slate," says one analysts. "But perhaps that is not the case. I am starting to question everything I see. I wonder whether analysts have been misled."
If the analysts are wondering whether they can believe their eyes, so must investors.
They have seen the shares fall from a peak in May 1998 of 284p, valuing the group at 861m, to Thursday's nominal value. They have also had to listen as the board tried to explain why it rejected bid approaches on three occasions without informing them. The last time, in April 2002, the company received an indicative approach of between 60p and 75p a share from two US private equity groups.
With the shares so low and the company's broker estimating net asset value excluding goodwill of 75m, or 22p per share, a bid could be back on the agenda.
Shareholders can also take comfort from several other factors.
One investor pointed out that Ashtead was not meeting its bankers until next week.
"If it was awful they would meet sooner," he said.
There is also a strong chairman, Henry Staunton, who Samuel Johar, chairman of headhunter Buchanan Harvey & Co, says has all the right skills to manage the crisis.
However, investors and bankers may wonder how the chairman, a former senior partner at Price Waterhouse, and finance director of Granada, let things get to this sorry state.
"He's a man of pretty sound judgment," says Mr Johar.
"Therefore in a crisis he is more likely to make the right decisions rather than the wrong ones. He can be a bit of a stabilising force."
Long-suffering shareholders will be hoping he is right.
yf23_1
- 15 Mar 2003 01:33
- 53 of 129
how's old Ashtead doing then me old mucker,
me old lying bullshitter
how much did you lose on that one then ?
I see the tadpole thread here is a 'trading' one.
Wazza matter no buy and hold now ?
Given up on the long term story after losing 80% of your money ?
Let's face it ainsoph - you really have no f*cking clue other than to pick something that's dropped by a mile and go bottom fishing.
A 2nd rate loser picking 2nd rate losers on a 2nd rate BB.
Sort of sums it up really