overgrowth
- 13 May 2005 16:36
Retail Decisions are
market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They
produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally,
though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers
both in the UK and US.
They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be
a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this
"forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout
2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and
Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of
millions of shares in RTD !
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Shares Magazine had
a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is
about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution".
It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.
Here's what Shares
had to say:
"Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing
credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit
and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but
also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in
your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions.
Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime.
Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump
is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities
seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains
concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already
has fantastic experience and technology.
The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that
it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer,
T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner
of Macy's and Bloomingdales.
Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business
in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low
single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."
Retail Decisions have
continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz.
fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices
and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams
from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through.
In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over
their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company
is doing.
The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software
is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success
in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is
being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real
gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.
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Fred1new
- 30 Sep 2005 12:31
- 341 of 1009
I have the same sentiments about SEO of which the potential I think is far greater as a cash earner.
Fred1new
- 30 Sep 2005 12:31
- 342 of 1009
I have the same sentiments about SEO of which the potential I think is far greater as a cash earner.
capetown
- 30 Sep 2005 15:18
- 343 of 1009
SHE on the slide again!!
I got a feeling this one will fall much further before bouncing back,but bounce back it WILL
Douggie
- 30 Sep 2005 18:55
- 344 of 1009
:-[[
Fred1new
- 30 Sep 2005 19:18
- 345 of 1009
Cheer up Douggie, You have got the weekend and next week should show an improvement. About 3Million shares bought late afternoon in large sizes. b/s 6/5.
zscrooge
- 30 Sep 2005 22:41
- 346 of 1009
For goodness sake! Cybersource?! Just nervous investors worried about retail sales up to xmas. But that's in the high street not online. Instis thought it was a good buy at 32, brokers say buy up to 35. Maybe some longtermers locking in profit.
36p by March.
optomistic
- 01 Oct 2005 11:24
- 347 of 1009
Retail Decisions PLC interim pretax profit for the six months to June 30 is up 17 pct to 3.5 mln stg compared with 3 mln stg last year
on group revenue of 14.7 mln stg and in line with market expectations.
The fuel card operator and card fraud prevention company operating
profit is 3.7 mln stg up from last year's 3.2 mln while group adjusted operating
margin increased to 25 pct from 22 pct.
Fuel Cards division
profits up 18 pct on a 9 pct increase in revenues.
Not results that warrant a 33% share price reduction in days!
On these figures IMO the share price is likely to stage a quick recovery. The big Q is who was doing the selling to push the price down and why.
capetown
- 01 Oct 2005 11:32
- 348 of 1009
OPTIMISTIC,
How are you,
Its a great buying opportunity,But do you think the price will fall further?Will it go to 17 pence as it has gone down lower than other lows and could be heading to test its previous breakout>?,what do you think?,i am keen to add.
Keep well
optomistic
- 01 Oct 2005 11:52
- 349 of 1009
capetown, if you use ADVFN I recommend you to read the RTD thread there, an excellent article has just been posted by scburbs. Well worth the effort to have a look.
My own view is positive, took the opportunity to add Friday, price may not be at the bottom but it should be near. Looking at the figures looks a good buy IMO.
capetown
- 01 Oct 2005 13:01
- 350 of 1009
I agree with you optimistic,
But we all know how the market get wreck the price of a share even if breifly for no reason,
It looks like its on a downward trend and i will take a chance and add if it falls further,
More than happy to hold the stock i bought @ 29p and 27.50,
CHEERS and thanks for the info
optomistic
- 04 Oct 2005 12:34
- 352 of 1009
overgrowth, thanks for the info on EW enthusiasts following RTD. I'm not very clued up on Elliot Wave theories but I can see that if the next wave is an upwave then the target would be around 48p....seems a long way off! Perhaps some EW specialist would confirm (or dispute) my reading off this?
daves dazzlers
- 04 Oct 2005 14:46
- 353 of 1009
Back in just under 22.50 for my sins.
optomistic
- 04 Oct 2005 14:58
- 354 of 1009
Afternoon Dave, it's you that's pushing the price up....keep buying :-)
daves dazzlers
- 04 Oct 2005 15:19
- 355 of 1009
I wish.
Fred1new
- 04 Oct 2005 17:16
- 356 of 1009
Bought a few more this am out of the petty cash. I think it looks like rising again.
55011
- 04 Oct 2005 22:54
- 357 of 1009
Hi there Fred. Watching and waiting on this. Surprised at the sharp fall for no stated cause. A bit perturbed at the solid mass of blue yesterday and today, in the afternoon, that didn't generate a price move. Something iffy could be going on behind the scenes.
Having a pleasant, gentle ride with ADVFN at the moment, rather subdued, but has proved worthwhile (so far). Also a Split Cap Trust wound up last week, releasing a useful bit of cash from a certificated holding.
Pondering on the effect this evening's fall off in the Dow might have in the morning.
Shall watch and wait a bit longer.
Good luck in your endeavour.
pjstanton
- 05 Oct 2005 07:49
- 358 of 1009
Retail Decisions in acquisition talks
AFX
LONDON (AFX) - Retail Decisions PLC, the fuel card operator, has confirmed market rumours that it is in talks that may or may not lead to the acquisition of a business 'whose key activities are complementary'.
The company said details of the acquisition and funding are being finalised, but it is expected that the transaction would be funded partly through issuing new equity.
bam
COPYRIGHT
Copyright AFX News Limited 2005. All rights reserved.
pachandl
- 05 Oct 2005 10:59
- 359 of 1009
I wonder whether "issuing new equity" involves a rights issue, or assimilating this "target" company by increasing the number of shares in circulation (in order to buy out the existing holders of the target company)?
55011
- 05 Oct 2005 12:03
- 360 of 1009
The release is worded in such a way that it leaves too many questions unanswered.
Key points are
1. What is being aquired.
2. On what terms.
3. How exactly it will be paid for - cash, shares.
4. Will it will require a placing or a right issue.
If RTD is really in the "final stages" then we will know soon enough.
A shame that the board could'nt get this out when the price was above 30p, and at an earlier stage in the negotiations. They may have thus destroyed much of their potential "firepower". At a hefty cost to the shareholders - large and small.