cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
cynic
- 31 Oct 2008 07:51
- 3412 of 21973
was in and out of Dow short a few times yesterday, all modestly profitable, for which great thanks .....opened another short o'night on Dow with limit, which was hit ..... still have shorts running on WPP and CSR which may leave to run for some time yet (all relative!)
Falcothou
- 31 Oct 2008 08:06
- 3413 of 21973
Japan down 4% Australia up cable down, bit of mixed picture and it's Friday!
Falcothou
- 31 Oct 2008 08:10
- 3414 of 21973
4350 or thereabout seems to be resistance so I'll try and short from there
spitfire43
- 02 Nov 2008 15:18
- 3415 of 21973
Off thread but it's worth looking at link below, very funny and I'm sure we have all been there.
Taken from a posing on a RBS bb......
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_rWY3qGfe6gc/SKPsAMRaFGI/AAAAAAAAA7U/TaxKNJmUJ-Q/s1600-h/Picture+9.png
jkd
- 02 Nov 2008 16:31
- 3416 of 21973
well i refrained from taking any new positions this week. just a defensive week for me being stopped out of most of my short positions at small profit/small loss/ breakeven.i just dont want to get caught on the wrong side of the market.
maybe were going to see that end of year quarterly bull run? i did get caught though.
caught between braving it out or running. it was a choice between what i considered 'safe' and good technical resistance stops and 'money management' stops.the latter was the one i opted for.live to fight another day.
the trend is still down so i'm not buying anything until it turns up,(even if it means i miss buying at or near the bottom)
although i'm still looking to go short again. patience is now required. just my opinion.
regards to all
jkd
Falcothou
- 02 Nov 2008 18:10
- 3417 of 21973
Yes, a week not to fall in love with the downside. Lots of scary stuff in the pipeline though no doubt! 40% Ftse derived from dollar earnings according to FT so strengthening is positive for pharms, miners and bad for retailers as the products they buy in become more expensive.
cynic
- 05 Nov 2008 17:29
- 3418 of 21973
wish i was always this good at reading Dow ...... had a good week at this, so am bound to come a cropper soon!
HARRYCAT
- 05 Nov 2008 23:21
- 3419 of 21973
Lucky chap. DOW down 486 & if you rode the chart down all that way, then you can take a break for a day or two!
cynic
- 06 Nov 2008 07:39
- 3420 of 21973
just part of the way, so am happy enough ..... thought it was quite an easy call
would also expect a bounce on FTSE from current 4400 either with or just ahead of the BoE rate cut
cynic
- 06 Nov 2008 12:03
- 3421 of 21973
Cut is 1.5%!!!
HARRYCAT
- 06 Nov 2008 12:09
- 3422 of 21973
Closed all your shorts?
Strawbs
- 06 Nov 2008 12:09
- 3423 of 21973
0.5% probably wouldn't be passed on by the banks. I guess they're thinking a big cut like this will at least mean some of it gets passed on. Suppose it could also be viewed as a panic measure though.
In my opinion.
Strawbs.
HARRYCAT
- 06 Nov 2008 12:11
- 3424 of 21973
You must be dusting off your savings account books & getting ready for a plunge back in to the equities market soon Strawbs?
cynic
- 06 Nov 2008 12:12
- 3425 of 21973
no .... am quite certain that WPP has much further to fall in the coming months ..... not quite so sure about CSR, but shall stay put there for the mo
Strawbs
- 06 Nov 2008 12:14
- 3426 of 21973
Maybe only on the short side Harry. ;-)
Strawbs.
cynic
- 06 Nov 2008 16:36
- 3427 of 21973
called indices wrong today, that's for sure, but shall just hold longs on both FTSE and Dow (just opened) at least for the time being ..... i could fool myself by proudly announcing that (for 2 minutes only!) there was a 50 point gain on FTSE just after the cut, and actually recovered to opening level about 15:00 before falling away again
Strawbs
- 06 Nov 2008 17:23
- 3428 of 21973
Hmmm. Volatility's back. I thought the rally might last until Christmas before tanking towards 3000. Not so sure now. Worth keeping an eye on the DOWs close. Most of the extreme moves seem to be in the last hour. Think I might consider some ETF (index) based shorts if things manage to bounce back next week.
In my opinion.
Strawbs.
HARRYCAT
- 06 Nov 2008 20:32
- 3429 of 21973
I would have thought there would have been a positive kneejerk reaction to the BoE rate reduction. How wrong can one be?
Strawbs
- 06 Nov 2008 20:57
- 3430 of 21973
I thought there was....for an hour or so! It's a fine line between positive move and panic move!
Problem is, you don't need much of an excuse to take profits with markets like these. Self feeding volatility maybe. Capital preservation still the key unless you like to gamble......
In my opinion.
Strawbs.
jkd
- 06 Nov 2008 22:22
- 3431 of 21973
edit my post3416
have added my additional comments shown in brackets,
good luck to all
regards
jkd