markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
markymar
- 24 Jan 2010 21:47
- 3423 of 6492
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703699204575016672711190144.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
Back to the Falklands
Rising oil prices lure prospectors to area once deemed too expensive
By CAROLINE HENSHAW
LONDONTwelve years after the last prospectors left the Falkland Islands, British oil-exploration companies are returning, lured by rising oil prices and advances in deep-water drilling technology.
But exploration and production around the remote wind-swept islandsbest known as the location of a brief, bloody war 28 years agohave been handicapped by a harsh climate and dicey politics.
Analysts say that as much as 60 billion barrels of high-grade oil could be found in the 200-square-mile economic zone surrounding the islands. If estimates prove correct, this could make the Falklands one of the world's largest oil reserves, comparable with the North Sea, which so far has produced about 40 billion barrels.
Next month, Desire Petroleum PLC and Rockhopper Exploration PLC will begin exploring a region of the North Basin, 22 miles from the islands, where they have shared and separate prospects.
They are drilling in the same area where a consortium of large oil companies, including Royal Dutch Shell PLC, led the first wave of drilling in 1998. Only six wells were drilled in an area half the size of Texas. Although oil was found, prices around $10 a barrel made the prospects commercially unviable and further development was abandoned.
But improved technology and higher prices are prompting oil companies to return, and the appetite for investment risk in London is growing. The four companies that are leading the campaign, all listed on the Alternative Investment Market, raised a total 327 million ($527 million) in share placements in a single month. Desire's shares have nearly doubled during the past three months.
"Exploration and risk are back in vogue," says Howard Obee, chief executive of Borders & Southern Petroleum PLC, which has prospects to the south. Borders & Southern raised 113 million in rights placements, more than its market capitalization.
Geologists believe the uncharted waters of the south could hold the largest finds.
Tim Bushell, chief executive of Falklands Oil & Gas Ltd., holds four prospects in the south in partnership with BHP Billiton. He compares the geology with that found near off Argentina's coast, where six billion barrels have been found. Other plays show characteristics similar to exploration hot spots in West Africa and Brazil, he says.
If a company finds oil, it could be viable as long as oil fetches $25 a barrel, less than a third of current market prices, Mr. Bushell says. Crude oil closed Friday at $74.54 on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The Falklands government only takes a 26% share of oil earnings in addition to a 9% royalty on each barrel of oil sold, making it one of the most favorable areas in the world for exploration.
Still, the hurdles to exploration are vast. The South Basin reaches depths approaching 10,000 feet. Temperatures in the basin, one of the southernmost prospects in the world, average a low around 36 degrees Fahrenheit in winter, and the average rainfall can be as high as 2.4 inches a day. While this environment is similar to the established oil fields of the North Sea, the costs of operating a rig run to around $1 million a day, meaning losses are high if drilling stops during storms.
Political tensions surrounding drilling are also high. After the 1982 Falklands War, the islands remained a U.K. overseas territory. But Argentina has done its best to isolate the Falklands and pressured neighboring countries, such as Chile, to do the same.
Tensions in the region have been growing in recent weeks, after Argentina's Congress passed a law on Dec. 9 identifying the Falklands, as well as part of the Antarctic shelf, as belonging to Argentina. Britain says it "firmly rejects" the claim, but Argentina continues to agitate in diplomatic forums to have its sovereignty recognized.
The political complications make it difficult to know who would be willing to purchase or operate any finds in the Falklands, says Malcolm Graham-Wood, an analyst with Westhouse Securities. None of the majors with operations in Argentina, including Spain's Repsol YPF SA, the U.K.'s BP PLC and Brazil's Petroleo Brasileiro SA, which are drilling in the nearby Cuenca Malvinas, have ventured into the islands.
"If this was a huge success in somewhere like Uganda, you would have all the usual suspects lined up to take over," Mr. Graham-Wood says. "You can rule out quite a lot of potential bidders just because of the dispute with Argentina."
But despite the politics, the Falklands will remain the next frontier in oil exploration. "Geology doesn't stop at political borders," says Mr. Obee, of Borders & Southern. "There are complications. But if it were that easy, everyone would be in exploration."
justyi
- 26 Jan 2010 13:20
- 3425 of 6492
There has been a significant drop in the Falklands Oil shares today...What has happened???
HARRYCAT
- 26 Jan 2010 13:36
- 3426 of 6492
Significant drop in most shares over the last few days, profit taking, oil down to $74 p/b, Falkland oil exploration companies thought to be overvalued & possibly slight nervousness concerning Argentine interest.
greekman
- 26 Jan 2010 16:27
- 3427 of 6492
Agree with Harrycat. There have been multiple news items re the Argentinians getting out of their tree again.
required field
- 26 Jan 2010 17:01
- 3428 of 6492
If the Argies sink the rig on the way to the Falklands : I will go down there myself to sort them out !.
hlyeo98
- 26 Jan 2010 17:25
- 3429 of 6492
It would be better for the Argies to capture the crews on the rig and enslave them to dig for oil.
required field
- 26 Jan 2010 17:48
- 3430 of 6492
More likely that would like to participate in the drilling and setting up maintenance facilities along with refineries on the mainland.
HARRYCAT
- 26 Jan 2010 21:20
- 3431 of 6492
One minor detail; I thought Argentina was broke? (I seem to remember they had the biggest ever Sovereign wealth fund default). In which case they are not likely to upfront the enormous costs of drilling in a joint venture.
Either, best to let someone else do the hard, expensive work & then occupy the sites, claiming sovereignty, or think very hard as to how the U.K are going to export the oil, if found. South America is the easiest land mass through which to route this crude.
Rf, you might be needed yet to go & defend our honour!!! Suggest you brush up on your language & military skills, pdq!!! ;o)
cynic
- 27 Jan 2010 04:01
- 3432 of 6492
that would likely lead to yet another mfu
hlyeo98
- 27 Jan 2010 08:38
- 3433 of 6492
DES is getting weaker by the day...aargh.
HARRYCAT
- 27 Jan 2010 08:43
- 3434 of 6492
Good support at 90p! Don't tell me you got caught up in the hype, hlyeo?
Balerboy
- 27 Jan 2010 09:04
- 3435 of 6492
hate to say "i told you so"......
bpoole23
- 27 Jan 2010 10:20
- 3436 of 6492
If the sp breaks the 105 support the next one is 90p
HARRYCAT
- 27 Jan 2010 10:45
- 3438 of 6492
"People getting their certificates"...........? I don't think so!
HARRYCAT
- 27 Jan 2010 12:18
- 3440 of 6492
I think the majority of people who are active investors, trade on-line & therefore do not receive certificates.
hlyeo98
- 27 Jan 2010 21:54
- 3441 of 6492
Phew! It stabilise end of day...but for how long???