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Coffee Heaven - A heavenly share for penny punters ? (COH)     

overgrowth - 06 Oct 2003 22:47

underground01_2.jpgA busy day in the Warsaw Underground ! Not just another coffee shop chain - this one is a brand leader and is only trading in Eastern/Central Europe (i.e. the countries recently admitted to the EU destined for substantial business growth). The company is creating new outlets at a fair old pace and take a look at their website - these are quality stores in high-profile locations like major airports, railway stations etc. Website: http://www.coffeeheaven.eu.com

APRIL 2006 TRADING UPDATE!!! Total Gross Revenues for 12 months to 31st March up 66% to £6.3M (2005: £3.8M) Lots more info. on new markets and stores click here to read the full details. Stores: 43 (up from 32) stores currently trading (Poland: 30 (up from 23), Czech Republic: 6 (Up from 2), Latvia: 7 with a further 5 units under construction including Bulgaria and sites secured in Romania (subject contract). Bulgaria & Romania are seeking to join the EU from January 2007. Sites located in key high street, shopping malls or Airport locations. Company growth target: increase number of units by at least 20 units to some 63 units by 31 March 2007. Aim being to achieve this level of growth within present Cash resources.Cash balances at 31 March 2006 were approximately £2.9M (2005: £0.7M). Debt was nil (2005: £ 2.5M): Nil Debt! Positive EBITDA: For the year ending 31 March 2006, Group EBITDA expected to be firmly positive after charging UK and new market development costs but before exceptional costs relating to the cancellation of bonds (previous Debt). Forecasts: Based on present trading conditions and current exchange rates we anticipate indicative sales of £9.3M for the year to 31 March 2007. This includes indicative sales of £0.4M from Bulgaria, which will be reported but not consolidated. From Richard Worthington (Chairman and Chief Executive): ‘The new financial year has started well. There is no doubt that the significant economic improvement in our markets is feeding through to consumer confidence and spending. The strength of the coffeeheaven brand ensures we are ideally positioned to benefit from our customers' increasing prosperity.’

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=COH&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=COH&Si

kimboy12 - 08 Jan 2006 21:46 - 343 of 2037


hi- so this is where everyone hides!
One thing that I think would help everyone is if Seymour Pierce actually produced a report with some forecasts. I have contacted the chairman about this in the past but he said it was giving too many hostages to fortune.

I didn't really accept this as the newly acquired stores contribute very little to the figures generally so the following years figures should be fairly easily calculable.

I think this is important at the moment when what is in effect happening is that institutional investors are trying to get the shares out of PI hands for as little as possible.

I have no doubt that these institutional investors are in possession of more of the facts than we are and have some spotty analysts to produce their own projections.

If they make a particularly astute acquisition etc it would give opportunities for updates. Perhaps someone else might fancy having a go at Worthington. I have found him to be very responsive.

dclinton - 13 Jan 2006 22:33 - 344 of 2037

That's a nice looking chart. Things moving up quite nicely at last.

silvermede - 17 Jan 2006 16:25 - 345 of 2037

What a heavenly share thus far! Anyone know specifically why it's moving up today? Or is it just plain good value?

AdieH - 17 Jan 2006 16:48 - 346 of 2037

haven't got a clue, maybe rerating, news due regarding the 3 million burning a hole in their pocket... Possible stake building... Numerous reason but general concensus is this company should be compared to CFN and COH is in better position than CFN was at this stage... IMHO. Next lot of results due in 11 weeks and new store opens in bulgaria at begning of march, DYOR.

zscrooge - 17 Jan 2006 20:34 - 347 of 2037

Lovely. 1.2p, consolidation and this. Something would appear to be in the air (or coffee)

richie1saunders - 17 Jan 2006 20:45 - 348 of 2037

So I go away for a few days, come back and wow. COH luvverly jubbly!! Even after such a terrific couple of months I feel no inclination to sell even 1 share. This is a simple business, with quality management selling a top product to a growing market with little competition. Onwards and upwards. I believe this is a stockpickers dream.

sjtee - 18 Jan 2006 09:00 - 349 of 2037

Seems that there is a rumour of a link up between COH and Tescos store in regions, denied by Tescos though. Article in Times see link
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/newspaper/0,,2733-1991439,00.html

AdieH - 18 Jan 2006 10:05 - 350 of 2037

Here is the mention in The Times...

"Coffeeheaven International, the Eastern European coffee bar operator, leapt 3p to 22p on rumours that it is in talks with Tesco to open concessions in its stores in the region. Although there are informal links between the companies Bill Currie, Coffeeheavens largest shareholder and new non-executive, is an avid Evertonian, as is Sir Terry Leahy, Tescos chief executive that tale was said to be wide of the mark."

Here it is for those that cannot get the link, interesting, take a look on iii for kimboys calculations on amount of stores, RW also responded to email from one of the posters there and didn't dismiss this totally??? No smoke without fire iin my opinion...

ramu - 18 Jan 2006 17:51 - 351 of 2037

Some posters in ADV*N feel this will be a multibagger - its already doubled the placing price and I just have a good feeling about COH. Reminds me about ASC in 2004. Any thoughts?

stockdog - 18 Jan 2006 18:17 - 352 of 2037

E. Europe certainly has the potential for multi-baggers (cf BLP a fund investing in E. European banks etc - although tree-shaken today - also PGI a Russian property fund) and am very happy to see true value coming through with plenty further to go for patient 2-3 year view.

sd

AdieH - 18 Jan 2006 19:55 - 353 of 2037

poster on ample sees 50p in short term and should flow to 1.00 pds....

richie1saunders - 18 Jan 2006 20:04 - 354 of 2037

Another cracking day. Any predictions for where we might be in 6 months time?

ateeq180 - 18 Jan 2006 20:04 - 355 of 2037

WHERE WE COULD BE TOMORROW.

richie1saunders - 18 Jan 2006 20:19 - 356 of 2037

Good point - this is a real cracker.

AdieH - 19 Jan 2006 09:28 - 357 of 2037

Been advised the RHPS have put 32p short term target on this one..... What a share and what a start to 2006 for me....

sjtee - 19 Jan 2006 10:44 - 358 of 2037

Still looks like buying pressure. I only have access to Trades on here so can be a bit erratic but buys out weighing sells and some rather large buys coming through intermitently. Same happened yesterday late pm so may be a late reported purchase likely to appear. Couple of large T trades as well so MM may be short of stock. Look positive IMHO. Anyone else have a view?

sjtee - 19 Jan 2006 11:39 - 359 of 2037

Down 3.5 but buys still out weigh sells significantly. DYOR

ramu - 19 Jan 2006 12:00 - 360 of 2037

Back up again. I think it was a treeshake this morning.

AdieH - 19 Jan 2006 13:28 - 361 of 2037

Think this will finish level today, IMHO, have been in for couple of years and been waiting for this re-rating, emailed the CEO reference rumoured board meeting
next week to discuss something significant, will let you know if i hear...

ramu - 19 Jan 2006 13:31 - 362 of 2037

Investor sentiment is strong. I feel this has a long way to go and we'll see 50p in the next 3 to 6 months and 200p in two to five years. Could be a rocky ride to 50p but then nothing goes up in a straight line. Current management with Bill Currie will steer COH to profits and bigger market share.
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