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AFREN (AFR) Is this the next TULLOW??? (AFR)     

niceonecyril - 04 Apr 2009 08:30

< "> Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=AFR&Siedit this post http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc-%28afr%29/rns/trading-statement-and-operations-update/201301210700069619
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/2012-full-year-results/201303250700107200A/

In an attempt to cut down the header page,i've transferred some of the older news to Page1 post No.3.

http://www.oil-price.net/index.php?lang=en
http://www.ft.com/home/uk

http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201111020700081674R
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201111150700250723S
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201112010705051251T
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201201170700146472V
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201201230701479690V
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4323758
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201204170700164488B
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201205140700212304D
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201205210700407032D
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4430164
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc-%28afr%29/rns/significant-new-seychelles-3d-seismic-programme/201212120700052973T/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/2013-half-yearly-results/201308230700063334M/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/ogo-drilling-and-resources-update/201311190700083404T/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/trading-statement-and-operations-update/201401280700096280Y/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/interim-management-statement/201405200700135209H/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/interim-management-statement/201410300700116483V/
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4942625
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4943375

cynic - 20 Feb 2015 13:07 - 3458 of 3666

#2
i think i may have got that number from a morgan stanley analysis about extraction costs across the world
it was several weeks ago but may have a bash at finding it

cynic - 20 Feb 2015 13:20 - 3459 of 3666

i lied :-)
below is an adequate article, though it is dated

go to http://uk.businessinsider.com/crude-oil-cost-of-production-2014-5
you'll find a table and more there but it won't c+p



Think Global More: Oil Think Global
The Middle East Has A Huge Advantage In The Global Oil Market


MAY 13, 2014, 4:41 PM 2,826
The unconventional technology that enables us to extract oil from shale has triggered a boom in American energy.

While North American energy production has exploded, this doesn't necessarily put the the region on a level playing field as the mega-exporters in the Middle East.

One reason why the Middle East continues to be in a relatively comfortable spot is because cost of production is so low.

Morgan Stanley analysts recently included this chart of crude production costs. Onshore Middle East oil sites are much cheaper to tap than North American shale, which costs about $65 per barrel to extract. Horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing isn't cheap.

This is a huge advantage, especially as fluctuating prices often make production unprofitable for higher cost sources.



jimmy b - 20 Feb 2015 13:41 - 3460 of 3666

What amount is hedged for this year rekirkham ,i can't find it now .

2517GEORGE - 20 Feb 2015 13:47 - 3461 of 3666

jimmy b------For memory I think it is 75% @ 90$, but wouldn't put money on it.
2517

jimmy b - 20 Feb 2015 14:13 - 3462 of 3666

Thanks George ,i thought it was 90's but didn't know how much .

rekirkham - 20 Feb 2015 14:33 - 3463 of 3666

jimmy - sorry I do not know -

2517GEORGE - 20 Feb 2015 14:59 - 3464 of 3666

From niceonecyril-------- A third of production (30-35k bopd) is hedged at $90 until December 2015 I believe.

So not 75% as I stated, just 33%
2517

niceonecyril - 22 Feb 2015 21:27 - 3465 of 3666

Just came across this??

-------------------------------------------------------------
The Feb 2015 DEFINITIVE list of AIM casino/LSE oil and gas shares that are about to go BUST.
extensive research has gone into this.


Afren
Bahamas
Borders&Southern
Falkland O+G
Forte
Inspirit
Independent Res
KEA
Mosman
Max Pet
New World
Northern Pet
Tangiers
Tower
Trap
UK O+G

All the above are basket cases. They either have no commercial hydrocarbons, no money or have massive debts. Stay well clear.

jimmy b - 23 Feb 2015 08:11 - 3466 of 3666

And ??

cynic - 23 Feb 2015 08:43 - 3467 of 3666

cyril - looks more like someone's wish list from elsewhere :-) .....

that said, there must surely be a good chance of several of those minnow-minnow stocks turning to dust, with AFR being an interesting contender

required field - 23 Feb 2015 08:51 - 3468 of 3666

Forte has no oil because it a uranium exploration company......AFR might recover...the others don't look in good shape...

cp1 - 23 Feb 2015 11:06 - 3469 of 3666

But isn't there an obvious one missing re that list? Currently about 36p..

jimmy b - 25 Feb 2015 09:16 - 3470 of 3666


Date Broker New target Recomm.
25 Feb Citigroup 10.00 Neutral
--------------------

That's clever citigroup !!

HARRYCAT - 27 Feb 2015 08:38 - 3471 of 3666

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=AFR&Si

Might be worth another punt at around the 7p level.

rekirkham - 27 Feb 2015 11:01 - 3472 of 3666

I think they have to make a payment this month end, that they should have paid
last month end ?
It may be worth having a punt that they will make the bond payment ????

Monday may see relief or major issues

Am I right ??

rekirkham - 27 Feb 2015 11:03 - 3473 of 3666

I recon they are looking for a buyer for their Kurdistan interests ?

mentor - 27 Feb 2015 13:28 - 3474 of 3666

There was yesterday a rumour and as there is no news today it must have been

AFR
Details of $350m cash injection proposal are leaking. Source Bloomberg,

Ashmore, Pimco Said to Seek Control of Afren in Creditor Talks
By Julie Miecamp and Luca Casiraghi

(Bloomberg) -- Afren Plc’s bondholders are offering to inject as much as $350 million into the U.K. oil drilling company in exchange for control, according to a person familiar with the situation.

Ashmore Group Plc, JPMorgan Asset Management and Pacific Investment Management Co. are among creditors offering to provide Afren with the cash it needs to avoid a possible default as soon as Friday, said the person, who asked not to be identified because the talks are private.
Afren, which has $1.3 billion of debt, has to make a $50 million loan payment Friday and a $15 million bond coupon next week. The company said last month it needs new funds to meet its obligations and stay in business.
Representatives for Ashmore and JPMorgan declined to comment on the debt talks and the offer, while a spokeswoman for Pimco wasn’t immediately available. An external spokesman for Afren employed by Bell Pottinger declined to comment.
Afren said Feb. 13 that it’s in recapitalization talks with existing stakeholders and a third-party investor. Fitch Ratings cut the company’s credit grade on Jan. 27 to C, saying “that default is imminent.”
The group owes about $250 million on its 11.5 percent bonds due February 2016, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The notes were little changed at 40 pence on the pound, the data show.
http://boards.fool.co.uk/afrentermination-of-discussions-with-seplat-13165979.aspx?sort=whole#13173200

cynic - 27 Feb 2015 13:39 - 3475 of 3666

so mentor, what's your take on the immediate state of affairs?

to me, things look parlous indeed, but then i would say that wouldn't i

my guess is that somehow or other, today's $50m will be found, though i wouldn't want to bet my shirt on it

even then, and the question PIs really want answered, is will they be left with even 0.5p should some deal be cobbled together
again, my view is "no chance"

mentor - 27 Feb 2015 13:50 - 3476 of 3666

today's resolution

no exchanges with the " back atabber "has been copying my deals for far too long

what everyone thinks?

should I send the comission collector?

cynic - 27 Feb 2015 13:54 - 3477 of 3666

do stop being a total idiot and grow up, or is that really asking too much?
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