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Retail Decisions - The only decision you need to make is when to buy! (RTD)     

overgrowth - 13 May 2005 16:36

Retail Decisions are market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally, though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers both in the UK and US. They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this "forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout 2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of millions of shares in RTD !

Shares Magazine had a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution". It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.

Here's what Shares had to say: "Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions. Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime. Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already has fantastic experience and technology. The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer, T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner of Macy's and Bloomingdales. Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."

Retail Decisions have continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz. fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through. In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company is doing. The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=RTD&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RTD&Si

capetown - 01 Oct 2005 11:32 - 348 of 1009

OPTIMISTIC,
How are you,
Its a great buying opportunity,But do you think the price will fall further?Will it go to 17 pence as it has gone down lower than other lows and could be heading to test its previous breakout>?,what do you think?,i am keen to add.
Keep well

optomistic - 01 Oct 2005 11:52 - 349 of 1009

capetown, if you use ADVFN I recommend you to read the RTD thread there, an excellent article has just been posted by scburbs. Well worth the effort to have a look.
My own view is positive, took the opportunity to add Friday, price may not be at the bottom but it should be near. Looking at the figures looks a good buy IMO.

capetown - 01 Oct 2005 13:01 - 350 of 1009

I agree with you optimistic,
But we all know how the market get wreck the price of a share even if breifly for no reason,
It looks like its on a downward trend and i will take a chance and add if it falls further,
More than happy to hold the stock i bought @ 29p and 27.50,
CHEERS and thanks for the info

overgrowth - 04 Oct 2005 12:18 - 351 of 1009

opto - I believe there's a lot of technical selling been going on (there are quite a few longer term swing traders into RTD - particularly Elliot Wave enthusiasts).

If history is about to repeat itself, then the longer term chart indicates that we should see some upside again very soon:

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RTD&Si

optomistic - 04 Oct 2005 12:34 - 352 of 1009

overgrowth, thanks for the info on EW enthusiasts following RTD. I'm not very clued up on Elliot Wave theories but I can see that if the next wave is an upwave then the target would be around 48p....seems a long way off! Perhaps some EW specialist would confirm (or dispute) my reading off this?

daves dazzlers - 04 Oct 2005 14:46 - 353 of 1009

Back in just under 22.50 for my sins.

optomistic - 04 Oct 2005 14:58 - 354 of 1009

Afternoon Dave, it's you that's pushing the price up....keep buying :-)

daves dazzlers - 04 Oct 2005 15:19 - 355 of 1009

I wish.

Fred1new - 04 Oct 2005 17:16 - 356 of 1009

Bought a few more this am out of the petty cash. I think it looks like rising again.

55011 - 04 Oct 2005 22:54 - 357 of 1009

Hi there Fred. Watching and waiting on this. Surprised at the sharp fall for no stated cause. A bit perturbed at the solid mass of blue yesterday and today, in the afternoon, that didn't generate a price move. Something iffy could be going on behind the scenes.

Having a pleasant, gentle ride with ADVFN at the moment, rather subdued, but has proved worthwhile (so far). Also a Split Cap Trust wound up last week, releasing a useful bit of cash from a certificated holding.

Pondering on the effect this evening's fall off in the Dow might have in the morning.

Shall watch and wait a bit longer.

Good luck in your endeavour.

pjstanton - 05 Oct 2005 07:49 - 358 of 1009

Retail Decisions in acquisition talks
AFX


LONDON (AFX) - Retail Decisions PLC, the fuel card operator, has confirmed market rumours that it is in talks that may or may not lead to the acquisition of a business 'whose key activities are complementary'.

The company said details of the acquisition and funding are being finalised, but it is expected that the transaction would be funded partly through issuing new equity.

bam



COPYRIGHT



Copyright AFX News Limited 2005. All rights reserved.


pachandl - 05 Oct 2005 10:59 - 359 of 1009

I wonder whether "issuing new equity" involves a rights issue, or assimilating this "target" company by increasing the number of shares in circulation (in order to buy out the existing holders of the target company)?

55011 - 05 Oct 2005 12:03 - 360 of 1009

The release is worded in such a way that it leaves too many questions unanswered.

Key points are

1. What is being aquired.
2. On what terms.
3. How exactly it will be paid for - cash, shares.
4. Will it will require a placing or a right issue.

If RTD is really in the "final stages" then we will know soon enough.

A shame that the board could'nt get this out when the price was above 30p, and at an earlier stage in the negotiations. They may have thus destroyed much of their potential "firepower". At a hefty cost to the shareholders - large and small.

55011 - 05 Oct 2005 12:04 - 361 of 1009

The release is worded in such a way that it leaves too many questions unanswered.

Key points are

1. What is being aquired.
2. On what terms.
3. How exactly it will be paid for - cash, shares.
4. Will it will require a placing or a right issue.

If RTD is really in the "final stages" then we will know soon enough.

A shame that the board could'nt get this out when the price was above 30p, and at an earlier stage in the negotiations. They may have thus destroyed much of their potential "firepower". At a hefty cost to the shareholders - large and small.

devmewsman - 05 Oct 2005 13:53 - 362 of 1009

The RNS below suggests existing shareholders will be included in any fund raising!

Retail Decisions PLC
05 October 2005

Date: Immediate, Wednesday 5 October 2005

Contacts: Carl Clump, Chief Executive
Richard Amos, Finance Director
Retail Decisions plc
Tel: 01483 728 700
Website:
www.redplc.com


Alistair Mackinnon-Musson
Philip Dennis
Hudson Sandler
Tel: 020 7796 4133
Email:
red@hspr.co.uk


Retail Decisions plc

Potential Acquisition

The Board of Retail Decisions ('ReD'), the fuel card operator and a world leader
in card fraud prevention and payment processing, confirms on the back of market
rumour it is in discussions that may or may not lead to the acquisition of a
business whose key activities are complementary to those of ReD. Details of the
acquisition and funding are being finalised, but it is anticipated that the
transaction would be funded partly through issuing new equity to be raised from
existing and new shareholders.

A further announcement will be made as soon as possible.

- Ends -


This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

Fred1new - 05 Oct 2005 14:46 - 363 of 1009

551

E-mail presently out of commision


Just cleared up.

Having traded RTD over RTD on and of for up, seem to plod on carefully. Expect price to rise slowly over coming weeks.

mg - 05 Oct 2005 15:36 - 364 of 1009

The issuing of equity to raise funds looks as if it explains the recent slump in share price IMHO. Those wishing to avoid dilution have been getting out - aren't they the lucky ones - aware of the information in advance of the majority of shareholders - couldn't have been leaked of course ;)

optomistic - 05 Oct 2005 15:52 - 365 of 1009

No mg, that could never have happened :-)

bristlelad - 05 Oct 2005 20:26 - 366 of 1009

leaks to those in the right place at the right time /NO that does happen ////

PapalPower - 06 Oct 2005 06:52 - 367 of 1009

Could UNG be the target ? RTD could be interested in the HTEC side of UNG, and there was talk of possible RTD interest in August by a poster at AFN (around the same time UNG sold off First Remit and there is inclination of UNG selling of Masterchange leaving them with just HTEC which could make them a takeover target for someone).
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