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FTSE + FTSE 250 - consider trading (FTSE)     

cynic - 20 Oct 2007 12:12

rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.

for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ

for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance

cynic - 25 Nov 2008 08:36 - 3537 of 21973

DOW
my own eye was on 8500, and though had i been playing, i am sure i would have got it wrong (fright/greed!), it is noticeable that it failed to hold it, quite spectacularly.

imo, the rise had no justification and hence its fragility.
whether or not the inderx will now plummet just nefore the T'giving hol, remains to be seen

Strawbs - 25 Nov 2008 08:52 - 3538 of 21973

I suspect the next time the DOW hits support it'll plunge straight through and head towards 6500. Unless it can break out of this range to the upside, I think it's only a matter of time now before it takes the path of least resistance and breaks to the downside instead. The FTSE I suspect will follow a similar route, and given the state of our economy/finances (relative to other major markets) it may even be far worse .....

In my opinion.

Strawbs.

cynic - 25 Nov 2008 08:57 - 3539 of 21973

i am not quite so pessimistic, and would look for 7800 as a reasonable base

Strawbs - 25 Nov 2008 09:08 - 3540 of 21973

That's my optimistic view Cynic....if you want pessimistic, then ultimatley (and assuming a 30's scale depression) we could see DOW 1400 (yep, that's 2 zeros not 3).... ;-)

In my opinion.

Strawbs.

cynic - 25 Nov 2008 13:33 - 3541 of 21973

i see Fed is chucking another VLCC of funds at the market .... fine in some ways, but how on earth is the plumber going to pay for it all?

Strawbs - 25 Nov 2008 13:58 - 3542 of 21973

He isn't. Eventually he'll just print more money and devalue the currency....
Still. I dare say we'll be doing the same, so that's OK then.

Strawbs.

Falcothou - 25 Nov 2008 15:25 - 3543 of 21973

It's tempting to start exporting second hand Aston Martins to the Japanese,or perhaps a nice Malt like Tallisker. The yen has gone into hyper space and the Japenese are the only ones to have put anything in the piggy bank over the last decade, despite being in recession and reliant on exports.Might even be worth working out there for a time and sending the money home like everyone has been doing in the UK in recent years, though not anymore!

cynic - 25 Nov 2008 15:42 - 3544 of 21973

Dow looks as though it is struggling ...... it has been up to 8600 again, which some reckon as a resistance/support, and has now fallen just below 8500, again a resistance/support

halifax - 25 Nov 2008 17:01 - 3545 of 21973

Falcothou surely all the recent immigrants to England have been sending our money home especially the plumbers from Poland.

cynic - 25 Nov 2008 21:00 - 3546 of 21973

how interesting .... Dow has certainly failed to break 8600 and is closing a little below 8500 ..... though up on the day, it does not (to me) inspire confidence in a further upward surge

cynic - 26 Nov 2008 19:21 - 3547 of 21973

wonder if Dow will finally manage to push through that 8600 barrier this evening ..... has certainly challenged it a few times in recent days

cynic - 26 Nov 2008 20:33 - 3548 of 21973

the answer is strongly affirmative unless there is another late sell off

cynic - 26 Nov 2008 21:08 - 3549 of 21973

who prints the bank notes nowadays? ..... they must be working overtime!!

Falcothou - 26 Nov 2008 21:13 - 3550 of 21973

Buy bank note manufacturers!

HARRYCAT - 26 Nov 2008 22:33 - 3551 of 21973

De La Rue not doing so well at the moment. Paper & ink costs too high!

cynic - 27 Nov 2008 15:54 - 3552 of 21973

had a look at volumes on a few stocks today, and they are very low indeed, so price movements are almost certainly distorted because of that ...... the interesting thing will be how US T'giving sales pan out .... as those start late tonight, there may well be some reaction by the time london opens in the morning

HARRYCAT - 01 Dec 2008 15:15 - 3553 of 21973

Lots of stocks being hit today, which I am hoping is the possible bad news being factored in to share prices if the interest rate cut later in the week is less than is hoped for. Assuming the cut is 1% (or more) then buying in the next 24 hours would hopefully see plenty of blue thurs & fri. Anyone see a flaw in my plan?

cynic - 01 Dec 2008 15:19 - 3554 of 21973

yes ..... the flaw is that the banks may just pocket the rate cut just as they have on the last 2 occasions

blackdown - 01 Dec 2008 15:22 - 3555 of 21973

Yes - sentiment.

Strawbs - 01 Dec 2008 15:29 - 3556 of 21973

If last weeks rises were caused by low volume buying over thanks giving, then high volume selling this week could easily see a serious collapse in equity markets.

In my opinion.

Strawbs.
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