LEEWINK
- 28 Mar 2004 15:45
NML is due its interrim results now, last year it was the 28th of this month.
They are setting up a new site to explore/research/analyse and all the equipment to do this should be on site now, and drilling should start soon, all this extra news should be covered in the interims.
does anyone have any further positive views on this company ??
Dynamite
- 07 Apr 2005 13:18
- 358 of 1909
A Good post from the other side;
'Economy - Development
Angola to double diamond production in 2006
afrol News, 14 March - Angola's national diamond company Endiama has announced that it expects to double its production capacity in 2006. Endiama's current capacity is about 6 million carats of diamonds per year. If the state company reaches its target, Angola will surpass South Africa and become Africa's third largest diamond producer, after Botswana and Congo Kinshasa (DRC). The industry however still faces many problems.
According to information released by the Angolan government's Agcia Nacional para o Investimento Privado (ANIP), the national diamond mining sector is experiencing a boom-like revival. During the last decade, diamond production has been around 3 to 5 million carats annually, recovering to an estimated 6.5 million carats currently, following the end of the civil war.
Angola's diamond production is mostly controlled by the state-owned Empresa Nacional de Diamantes de Angola (Endiama). Endiama's current capacity is about 6 million carats of diamonds per year, but the company has now announced plans to double its production capacity during the next year. By end-2006, Endiama thus plans to produce 12 million carats annually.
The production increase was due to the start-up of the parastatal's new exploration and production arm (Endiama-EP) and expected new production from six diamond projects coming on line. In the Camanjanja area of Lunda-Norte province, Endiama-EP will begin mining diamonds independent of any other company. This will be the first time the company has operated independently.
Endiama-EP expects to produce around 7,000 carats of diamonds per year from this project alone, according to ANIP. Endiama further plans to use the additional revenue to build a new diamond cutting plant and improve local infrastructure in areas where it is operating.
The production increase announced by Endiama would significantly increase Angola's share of the world's diamond trade. Measured in carats, Angola in 2003 was the world's seventh largest producer and measured in value, the country came fifth world-wide. Australia produced most diamonds counted in carats in 2003, while Botswana by far was the world's greatest producer in value.
If Endiama's plans are realised, Angola's annual diamond production in 2007 may reach around 13 million carats annually, worth an estimated US$ 2.2 billion, if the same quality is maintained. Angola's diamond production could thus surpass those of Canada and South Africa, making the country the world's fifth largest producer. In Africa, only Botswana and Congo Kinshasa (DRC) would then be producing more diamonds.
I imagine NML is one of the 6 new projects coming on line.......'
stockdog
- 07 Apr 2005 16:28
- 359 of 1909
I hope Endiama - being the regulator - does not now also become an agrressive competitor. The bribes alone will detract from the bottom line of any independent operators.
Also their plan to become a cutter as well concerns me - will they demand a monopoly on purchase from all operators. How will they develop the skill base needed to cut 7k carats of diamonds from nothing at a high enough standard to compete internationally? Will they end up lowering the perceived value of Angolan diamonds w/wide?
This and your previous report smack of a new social order in a recently stabilised regime effectively nationalising its main export and thereby stifling its necessary entrepreneurial skill/value development.
I always make the analogy of theatres which, seeing the nice profits made by franchisees, take over direct management of the catering function, only to make a thumping loss - it's a different business requiring different skills from producing plays.
Should government be directly managing 50%+ of its own natural resources? Discuss. You can imagine the profitability of Brownstones recovered from Downing Street Blairite, not.
SD
aldwickk
- 07 Apr 2005 16:46
- 360 of 1909
Dyna/dog,
Dia,I am not calling you a dog, its you and stockdog am posting to, will you be posting any photo's from the traders day on here ?
stockdog
- 07 Apr 2005 17:03
- 361 of 1909
It depends what you're willing to pay, aldwickk! lol :-)
aldwickk
- 07 Apr 2005 17:09
- 362 of 1909
It depends on our far you are willing to go, LOL .
aldwickk
- 07 Apr 2005 17:14
- 363 of 1909
That was a silly question, your going as far as London.
Andy
- 07 Apr 2005 23:21
- 365 of 1909
I see the volume dipped today, and the large seller(s) are still there.
I feel some really good news is needed to breakout from the current trading range, I am waiting for them to declare they have obtained the mining permit, and the grades they are obtaining before making a decision.
stockdog
- 08 Apr 2005 09:17
- 366 of 1909
Andy
Suggest you get in with half your money now before those two bits of news after which you will have missed the first rise. Then put the secon dhalf in with more confidence. You can always ditch first half
on lack of news without too much disgrace.
DYOR as ever
SD
aldwickk
- 11 Apr 2005 13:11
- 369 of 1909
Bought my last lot of NML today at 4.88p, would like to hear from Andy regards the RNS and if this what he is waiting for to buy in again.
Jimbob GR
- 11 Apr 2005 13:47
- 370 of 1909
Check out Eureka mining thread 10x by christmas!
Andy
- 11 Apr 2005 13:59
- 371 of 1909
Di,
That post by anomolous is INCORRECT, they are not declaring thay have the 5000 carats!
In this RNS, They are applying for a KIMBERLITE licence, whereas the 5000 carat parcel refers to the ALLUVIAL one!
I suspect this is a prelude to a placing, we shall see.
Andy
- 11 Apr 2005 14:03
- 372 of 1909
aldwick,
Not on this RNS I'm afraid, as I have thought since last November they will do another placing, and as I said above, this MAY be a softener for it.
If I'm right, the price will dip, if I'm wrong I'll miss the first few points of any rise, but if NML really are going to some of the price targets that are mooted from time to time, there will still be an opportunity for me to make a decent albeit reduced profit, but at a reduced risk.
Andy
- 11 Apr 2005 14:04
- 373 of 1909
Stockdog,
Not a bad suggestion, and I always build into positions, but I would have to sell another stock to buy, and that would be a tough decision today to b honest.
I know I could T trade it, but the spread is too great IMHO.
stockdog
- 11 Apr 2005 14:36
- 374 of 1909
Andy
The spread is outrageous! I also think the RNS is mixed, but they do seem to say that there is definitely kiberlite within their licensed area - not sure how many diamonds in it though. Anyway, being nearer to the source (probably Catoca), let's hope they dig up some bigger diamonds.
Not sure they need to raise funds for the kimberlite exploration, by the time the licence comes through from clubby old Endiama, they should be generating revenues from the alluvial mining operation.
On balance it's positive, being another prospect run from the same overhead and processing base.
However, the SP seems to have bowed its head with respect for this news.
SD
EWRobson
- 11 Apr 2005 15:23
- 375 of 1909
First things first; we have had no reprot back from di and sd about Traders day, their meeting and whether they found a diamond deposit. Do they still have stars, sorry diamonds, in their eyes?
I've been away playing golf plus watching the Masters so just catching up. All seems good news. But lets keep our feet on the ground. First, Shares give NML credit for putting in th4e roads and bridges infrastructure. Second, the deposits in the initial production site are proven: production will commence at 10000 carats per month and rise to 20,000 carats per month within 'the next 12 months'. US$18.2m profit for year to June 2006 (RNS 16 November). The measured resource is 235,000 carats (report by geologists on website).
Since production has already started and should be at 10000 carats per month pretty well straight away, the implication is that no additional funding will be required. Profits could well be lower as they will be ploughing money back into exploration. It seems reasonable though to value NML on a 5m pa profit. At a pe of 10 that is a cap. of 50m against the current cap. of 6m. So we are looking to an sp of 40p.
What is the downside? sd is concerned with political risk. For better or worse, Endiama appear to be both partner and licensing authority; the plus is that the government is effectively picking up 51% of the revenue. Second, Healy and team do not seem to be rated in the city; I suspect this is why the current sp is so low which actually means its an opportunity. OK, he and otehrs on the team are Australian but we know they are good at grapes, so why not diamonds. From the above, Australia is top volume producer of diamonds.
Like others I just don't have the uncommitted funds to increase the stake. SEO remains top dog, with CFP, ASC (for recovery - just starting to move), NLR and YOO. Unfortunately can't use CFDs or I would apply some of the SEO margin to increase the holding.
Eric
stockdog
- 11 Apr 2005 15:45
- 376 of 1909
Eric
The big difference between grapes and diamonds is that the one are all uvial and the other are alluvial.
LOL
SD
EWRobson
- 11 Apr 2005 15:51
- 377 of 1909
That dog is very clever! I wouldn't call it humour but it is clever. Still doesn't say what he got up to with di however! Wasn't she nice to you? Is it because she reckoned you weren't a thoroughbred; not good enough for an Essex girl? Do you agree my evaluation projections? I think they are in line with di's figures, if not figure!
Eric