LEEWINK
- 28 Mar 2004 15:45
NML is due its interrim results now, last year it was the 28th of this month.
They are setting up a new site to explore/research/analyse and all the equipment to do this should be on site now, and drilling should start soon, all this extra news should be covered in the interims.
does anyone have any further positive views on this company ??
Andy
- 07 Apr 2005 23:21
- 365 of 1909
I see the volume dipped today, and the large seller(s) are still there.
I feel some really good news is needed to breakout from the current trading range, I am waiting for them to declare they have obtained the mining permit, and the grades they are obtaining before making a decision.
stockdog
- 08 Apr 2005 09:17
- 366 of 1909
Andy
Suggest you get in with half your money now before those two bits of news after which you will have missed the first rise. Then put the secon dhalf in with more confidence. You can always ditch first half
on lack of news without too much disgrace.
DYOR as ever
SD
aldwickk
- 11 Apr 2005 13:11
- 369 of 1909
Bought my last lot of NML today at 4.88p, would like to hear from Andy regards the RNS and if this what he is waiting for to buy in again.
Jimbob GR
- 11 Apr 2005 13:47
- 370 of 1909
Check out Eureka mining thread 10x by christmas!
Andy
- 11 Apr 2005 13:59
- 371 of 1909
Di,
That post by anomolous is INCORRECT, they are not declaring thay have the 5000 carats!
In this RNS, They are applying for a KIMBERLITE licence, whereas the 5000 carat parcel refers to the ALLUVIAL one!
I suspect this is a prelude to a placing, we shall see.
Andy
- 11 Apr 2005 14:03
- 372 of 1909
aldwick,
Not on this RNS I'm afraid, as I have thought since last November they will do another placing, and as I said above, this MAY be a softener for it.
If I'm right, the price will dip, if I'm wrong I'll miss the first few points of any rise, but if NML really are going to some of the price targets that are mooted from time to time, there will still be an opportunity for me to make a decent albeit reduced profit, but at a reduced risk.
Andy
- 11 Apr 2005 14:04
- 373 of 1909
Stockdog,
Not a bad suggestion, and I always build into positions, but I would have to sell another stock to buy, and that would be a tough decision today to b honest.
I know I could T trade it, but the spread is too great IMHO.
stockdog
- 11 Apr 2005 14:36
- 374 of 1909
Andy
The spread is outrageous! I also think the RNS is mixed, but they do seem to say that there is definitely kiberlite within their licensed area - not sure how many diamonds in it though. Anyway, being nearer to the source (probably Catoca), let's hope they dig up some bigger diamonds.
Not sure they need to raise funds for the kimberlite exploration, by the time the licence comes through from clubby old Endiama, they should be generating revenues from the alluvial mining operation.
On balance it's positive, being another prospect run from the same overhead and processing base.
However, the SP seems to have bowed its head with respect for this news.
SD
EWRobson
- 11 Apr 2005 15:23
- 375 of 1909
First things first; we have had no reprot back from di and sd about Traders day, their meeting and whether they found a diamond deposit. Do they still have stars, sorry diamonds, in their eyes?
I've been away playing golf plus watching the Masters so just catching up. All seems good news. But lets keep our feet on the ground. First, Shares give NML credit for putting in th4e roads and bridges infrastructure. Second, the deposits in the initial production site are proven: production will commence at 10000 carats per month and rise to 20,000 carats per month within 'the next 12 months'. US$18.2m profit for year to June 2006 (RNS 16 November). The measured resource is 235,000 carats (report by geologists on website).
Since production has already started and should be at 10000 carats per month pretty well straight away, the implication is that no additional funding will be required. Profits could well be lower as they will be ploughing money back into exploration. It seems reasonable though to value NML on a 5m pa profit. At a pe of 10 that is a cap. of 50m against the current cap. of 6m. So we are looking to an sp of 40p.
What is the downside? sd is concerned with political risk. For better or worse, Endiama appear to be both partner and licensing authority; the plus is that the government is effectively picking up 51% of the revenue. Second, Healy and team do not seem to be rated in the city; I suspect this is why the current sp is so low which actually means its an opportunity. OK, he and otehrs on the team are Australian but we know they are good at grapes, so why not diamonds. From the above, Australia is top volume producer of diamonds.
Like others I just don't have the uncommitted funds to increase the stake. SEO remains top dog, with CFP, ASC (for recovery - just starting to move), NLR and YOO. Unfortunately can't use CFDs or I would apply some of the SEO margin to increase the holding.
Eric
stockdog
- 11 Apr 2005 15:45
- 376 of 1909
Eric
The big difference between grapes and diamonds is that the one are all uvial and the other are alluvial.
LOL
SD
EWRobson
- 11 Apr 2005 15:51
- 377 of 1909
That dog is very clever! I wouldn't call it humour but it is clever. Still doesn't say what he got up to with di however! Wasn't she nice to you? Is it because she reckoned you weren't a thoroughbred; not good enough for an Essex girl? Do you agree my evaluation projections? I think they are in line with di's figures, if not figure!
Eric
FILTHY POOR
- 11 Apr 2005 16:06
- 378 of 1909
Eric
Production will not be 10000 carats straight away, but will be ramped up
over the first three months.
I concur with your PE of 10 and a market cap. of approx. 50m.
As to a placing, I'm not sure, but would suspect that the chances of this are
very high. We do not know how near to the first 5000 carat parcel NML are and
how quickly these can be realised as income.
Andy
- 11 Apr 2005 16:13
- 379 of 1909
Stockdog,
very good!
LOL!
Andy
- 11 Apr 2005 16:14
- 380 of 1909
Eric, Filty poor,
The recent RNS mentioned production by June, hence my thoughts re the placement.
I do not expect them to announce they have obtained the mining permit until the end of May.
FILTHY POOR
- 11 Apr 2005 16:25
- 381 of 1909
Andy
Suspect they meant, Full Production (10000 carat) by June. This would tally
with the following RNS.
They should have the initial 5000 carat parcel long before June.
Don't know if they can sell these before the permit is granted, and anyway,
this would be cutting things a bit fine.
Therfore, a placing is likely.
Would prefer a rights issue, but an expensive and drawn-out procedure.
EWRobson
- 11 Apr 2005 18:27
- 382 of 1909
Andy
That RNS was overtaken by the announcement that production had commenced in teh RNS of 4th April. Today's RNS refers to the 'successful prgress to full production. The relationship with Endiama looks 'hand in glove', and I suspect the 5000 carats is a historical commitment. Compared with 10,000 carats a month of proven deposits its hardly a major hurdle. I am with di (virtually not physically!) in treating this as up and running and away into a blue horizon. Now, filthypoor is neither filthy or poor otherwise he wouldn't call himself that, so he must be clean as a whistle and rich beyond our imaginations which means, in turn, that his opinions are sound and worth acting upon!
Eric
Andy
- 11 Apr 2005 18:57
- 383 of 1909
Filthy,
NML's RNS announcements seem to raise more questions than they answer IMHO.
That is one of the reasons I am still uneasy about buying NML again.