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Dubious sell-off     

ellio - 15 May 2006 09:10

The market seems to be selling-off on the back of limited bad news imo, apart from the dollar that is.

If you can hold your nerve and apart from any short term requirements to offload poor performing stocks, I have a couple!!, my advice would be sit tight. This does not have the feel of the tech(mining!) bubble at all. Difference being there are a lot of good fundamentals, unlike in 2000 when there were a lot of over rated nothing companies.

hlyeo98 - 28 Feb 2007 12:45 - 366 of 1564

If you picked good shares with potential, I don't think u need to be worried. It is an opportunity, strawbs. GNG is a good one. And I'm looking at SPA now.

cynic - 28 Feb 2007 13:02 - 367 of 1564

the rest of the week is likely to be quite scary, especially Friday afternoon as positions are squared away

Falcothou - 28 Feb 2007 13:12 - 368 of 1564

I have to admit to taking a lot of profits yesterday and reducing the portfolio to batter the storm. The May 06 correction lasted for more than 2 days and this could too. There seems to be a lot of unnerving activity going on Iran, Afghanistan, US recession, the potential demise of the carry trade and the associated effects that has on private equity. I gather Hedge funds have supposedly taken a lot of long positions recently so things could go really pear shaped if this drop persists. Having said that fundamentals are not excessive for many big companies with record earnings.

s040371giles - 28 Feb 2007 14:10 - 369 of 1564

I will be looking for some confirmation in the indices (both here and in the US) that this is a brief correction, rather than something more serious, before I start putting my funds to use again.

Once that happens, there will be more than enough bargains available to go at.

IMO, I'd rather be a bit late in re-entering, than risk jumping in too soon.

Steve

cynic - 28 Feb 2007 14:12 - 370 of 1564

spot on, but before getting too enthusiastic, suggest wait until next Monday at the earliest

s040371giles - 28 Feb 2007 14:21 - 371 of 1564

My enthusiasm is limited to knowing that there will be bargains available down the line (whenever that may be).

Steve

HARRYCAT - 28 Feb 2007 16:36 - 372 of 1564

Rally thursday, sell off friday???
(Hope prevailing over reason!)
Any opinions?

Kivver - 01 Mar 2007 10:14 - 373 of 1564

so glad im a bull and not a bear!!!

cynic - 01 Mar 2007 10:32 - 374 of 1564

concur harry even though we can all hope that Friday is totally uneventful

Strawbs - 01 Mar 2007 10:49 - 375 of 1564

If nothing else the drop should serve as a warning.......when it goes, it goes quick. Not that anybody cares while they're making money. Assuming things don't drop again, I suppose it'll all be forgotten by the end of next week......

Strawbs.

HARRYCAT - 01 Mar 2007 12:22 - 376 of 1564

Strawbs you are becoming cynical!!! Accurate but cynical.:o)

hlyeo98 - 01 Mar 2007 12:45 - 377 of 1564

The fundamentals are still strong. I believe the US Fed will cut interest rates soon to counter any slowdown if needed. The sell-off in the market is irrational. This is just a much needed correction and it has created a good opportunity to buy. We expect the market to go higher after this correction. I'm still bullish and expect the market to rally towards year-end as interest rates will be cut soon. For investors who missed the previous entry points, this is the best time now to participate in this much anticipated bull market. Time to get in before it is too late.

Strawbs - 01 Mar 2007 12:57 - 378 of 1564

Markets aren't rational, nor do they really look at fundementals, just reasons to support there phsycology. The reason. People. People look to make money, and above all fear losing it. When greed exceeds fear, markets rise, when fear exceeds greed markets fall. Nothing really changed fundamentally on Tuesday, but something might've changed phsycologically.

ISM data out later in the US. Given the sudden swing on the FTSE and Dow futures, some aren't prepared to take the risk of a downside shock.

But hey. What do I know. In my "cynical" opinion........do your own research....

Strawbs

dikytree - 01 Mar 2007 12:59 - 379 of 1564


Dow Jones faced a flurry of lawsuits last night after the business information provider admitted that a computer glitch had misled investors about the value of its benchmark stock index and potentially exacerbated some institutions losses by millions of dollars.

The company, which publishes The Wall Street Journal, acknowledged that it miscalculated the Dow Jones industrial average index for 70 minutes on Tuesday. It added confusion to a market already reeling, helping US stocks to their biggest fall in four years. At 1.50pm in New York the Dow Jones computer system became overwhelmed by the heavy share trading triggered by plunging stock markets in China and growing economic uncertainty in America.

The data backlog meant that for the following 70 minutes the 400 live Dow Jones indices fell by less than they should have done before plunging disproportionately at 3pm, when the backup system was activated and the backlog was cleared.

The apparent 178-point plunge in the Dow Jones in less than a minute as the index caught up implied that US stocks were in far worse health than was the case and intensified panic among many already jittery traders.

Lawyers will say that many costly investment decisions were made during the 70 minutes when the Dow Jones was miscalculated in the aftermath of the plunge that occurred after the system caught up. Many derivative and index-linked mutual fund investments that are based on Dow Joness own index calculations as opposed to those conducted separately, based on individual stock prices will have suffered investment losses from the computer glitch, lawyers will argue.

Peter Brown, a partner at Thelen Ried Brown Raysman & Steiner in New York and a specialist in disputes arising from technology glitches, said: A credible plaintiff will have to show that they suffered a loss from an investment which was directly key to the Dow Jones industrial average.


hlyeo98 - 01 Mar 2007 13:10 - 380 of 1564

Calming comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and a wave of upbeat company results from European heavyweights are signs of good recovery. Fundamentals are still strong.

Strawbs - 01 Mar 2007 13:28 - 381 of 1564

How do you calm a fund manager with billions invested in the markets and an ever increasing margin call as they fall? These moves aren't the little guys. It's the big ones.

In my opinion......

Strawbs.

Big Al - 01 Mar 2007 13:37 - 382 of 1564

True.

All leveraged and financed by cheap lending.

s040371giles - 01 Mar 2007 13:41 - 383 of 1564

It might as well be May...Glad I'm out of it. Although I was naughty earlier and went short the FTSE :)

cynic - 01 Mar 2007 14:58 - 384 of 1564

smart chap!

s040371giles - 01 Mar 2007 15:13 - 385 of 1564

Old day-trading habits die hard...
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