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ASK a trading question! (ASK)     

Crocodile - 12 Sep 2003 23:06

We have lots of experienced traders on MoneyAM who would be glad to help if you have any trading questions.

little woman - 16 Mar 2004 12:57 - 372 of 460

Zarif -

I have received first a phone call from John Kottler who was worried that his company was being misrepresented by The Guild of Shareholders and Trendwatch. He insisted that he never said the company was a plc, and it was just trying to raise funds to start trading and didnt need to be a plc. He is asking 67p a share to new investors.

I then received a call from Trendwatch (Rob Cullum?) assuring me that the company was about to become a plc, and it is a great opportunity for investors to get in, as they propose to become AIM listed at the end of May or June.


zarif - 16 Mar 2004 13:44 - 373 of 460

Little woman thanks very much for all your info and hard work.
Philj -from GF thread replied and sent me an internal mail aswell -he has bought some and if u send me internal mail i will forward it to you to look at aswell.

rgds
zarif

little woman - 16 Mar 2004 14:14 - 374 of 460

zarif, I've e-mail my personal e-mail via the internal mail (I don't think if you reply from the internal mail I will get it!)

I tend to be very wary of these type of investments as they are incredibly high risk. I don't want to discourage investment, but having been involved in this type of thing is the past - it made me realise how easy they fail. I was took over as accountant of a company that had a lot of private investor money as start up and they lost everything because:

1. The directors underestimated the professional costs in setting up & running the business - which the complained was not thier fault!

2. The directors were poor managers & had no track record managing staff so off course it was not thier fault they had a high staff turn over and unreliable staff!

3. The directors had little experience - running a business and knew nothing about putting proceedures in place - so it was not thier fault they couldn't keep proper records and were ripped off by the staff.

3. The directors overestimated the sales and was unable to make a profit because it wasn't thier fault there was too much competition and thier costs were higher than expected.

4. The directors couldn't get credit because they didn't pay thier bills because they didn't have the cashflow which also was not thier fault.

I could go on - but in the end the directors sold the assets and cleaned out the bank account. By that time I had stopped working for them - too fustrated in trying to get them to act properly and of course - I knew I would not get paid. I believe the directors just walked away......... (I know this because I still had the company register and they never made any effort to collect them from me.) I think the company didn't even trade for a full year.

zarif - 16 Mar 2004 14:58 - 375 of 460

thanks LW;
sending u mail soon.

rgds
zarif

amberjane - 16 Mar 2004 21:27 - 376 of 460

Hi zarif

As I'm also interested could you please send me the e-mail as well? Many thanks.

aldwickk - 17 Mar 2004 22:24 - 377 of 460

what do the abbreviations on the streaming trade prices mean such as bc,o,n,l,at,wt,vw,ut.

little woman - 18 Mar 2004 09:12 - 378 of 460

aldwickk - if you click on "help" (top right corner of page) then under "user help" - "trades" there is a full explanation

little woman - 24 Mar 2004 15:37 - 379 of 460

Could someone answer a question for me?

Can anyone explain why the bid & offer price on CYH offered by brokers is below the mid price quoted? I know brokers can offer any price they want - but the difference between what you see quoted on L2 and actual quoted by brokers doesn't seem to bare any relation to each other! Anyone got an explanation, or can shed some light/speculate?

ajren - 24 Mar 2004 16:25 - 380 of 460

Good question.It is strange.
rgds aj

little woman - 25 Mar 2004 08:54 - 381 of 460

Any of the people "in the know" like to answer my question or are the brokers just ignoring the prices we see on L2!

longinvest - 25 Mar 2004 09:02 - 382 of 460

Fortune Oil - FTO

I have been monitoring the share volumes of Fortune Oil over the last 3 to 4 weeks and there is a three to one bias in favour of buyers on most days yet the shares tend to fall, why is this surely such positive demand should be pushing the price up? Can anyone explain what is happening?

little woman - 25 Mar 2004 09:51 - 383 of 460

longinvest - take a look at Crocs post no: 260 and my post No: 289.



Crocodile - 25 Mar 2004 12:53 - 384 of 460

EMail sent to me this morning with no reply address

"Hello, I read often your articles and it sounds like I can ask a question about trading: i am very new in trading but what mystify me is that some days they say shares are mainly a sell day and other days they say everybodey is buying- that does not make sense to me because if somebody sells somebody else buy which is the same? Cheers sconra"

Yes of course you are right! But it can give some indication to market pressure / sentiment.
D.

Legins - 25 Mar 2004 22:36 - 385 of 460

I found this on another BB. Very interesting but do not know who the author is. Explains alot!

MARKET MAKER SPEAKS OUT: Ways of a Market Maker

I was an OTC MM for about 10 years ending in the late 80's. Since then I have been strictly an investor. Since I have not been that up to date in MM rules I will only make statements that I feel fairly confident are still accurate regarding these activities. By and large most MM don't have a clue nor do they care to learn, about the fundamentals of the stocks they trade.

They just try to make orderly markets. When dealing with BB stocks it is very easy for a MM to get trapped into being short in dealing in a fast moving market. Reason being; most of the MM's in this stock are what are called "wholesalers" this means they don't have retail brokers "working" the stocks.

So they have to rely on what's known as the "call" from larger retail houses. If a "Big" retail firm like an E-trade calls up a market maker to purchase say 5,000 shares of a stock, they expect to get an "execution" from that market maker. If he turns them down, or only gives a partial then the "Big" firm will go to another MM.

If this second MM "fills the order" then that "Big" firm has a moral obligation to continue to give future "business" in that stock to that MM who performed (his life blood). This will go on until he "fails" to perform and so on.

Contrary to popular opinion the "Big" firms Do NOT neccessarily go to the "Low Offer" to fill a buy order (Or high bid for a sell). They "Go" to who they think will perform to fill the order and expect that MM to "match" the "low offer" in the case of a buy (bid in the case of a sell). Even though this MM might in fact be the "high bid" and not really want to sell any more.

As a wholesaler he must perform or he will get a reputation as a "non-performer" with the "Big" houses and will cease getting "calls" which means he will soon go out of business. I mentioned above that this activity is very significant to BB stocks. I say this because most of the trades in these BB stocks are "unsolicited" and are done through discount houses.

With the above groundwork laid, let me try to explain how market makers get short even if they like the Company; Lets say that a stock (shell) has been lying quietly at $.25 bid $.50 offered. A limit order comes into one of the MM's to Buy at $.50 for a thousand shares. Prior to this trade that MM may be "flat" (neither long or short any shares). He fills the order and is now short 1,000 shares. He may raise his bid hoping to find a seller to "flatten" out his position. But before he realizes it a wave of buyers have come in and cleared out all the $.50 offers. Now the stock is $.50 bid .75 offered. Here comes that "Big" firm he just sold the 1,000 shares to at .50 with another bid for 1000 at .75. He makes this print. Now he is short 2,000 at an average of .625. The market keeps moving and now its .75 bid 1.00 offered. Now he has to make a decision.

Just like investors, MM Hate to take a loss. So 9 times out of 10 he will now sell 2000 at 1.00 making him short 4000 but with an average .81. At this time he would love to see a seller at .75 so he can cover his short and make a few bucks.

But instead the market keeps moving up. Now it is 1.00 to 1.25 and here comes the buyer again at 1.25. He doesn't want to lose the call so now he needs to sell 4,000 at 1.25 to keep his break even point above the bid. Now he is short 8,000. Market moves up to 1.25 bid 1.50 offer here comes the buyer now he feels he must sell 8000 here because "stocks don't go up forever".

Now he is short 16,000. And so on and so on. If the stock keeps moving up, before he realizes it he could be short 50k or 100k shares (depending how big his bank is).

Finally the market closes for the day and on paper he may look all right in that his "break even" price may be around the closing price. But now he has to figure out how to entice sellers so he can cover this short. It is important to note that if this happened to one MM it has probably happened to most all of them.

Some ways MM's entice sellers; Run the stock up with a "tight spread" in a fast market, then "open" up the spread to slow down the buying interest. After it has "cooled off" for a little while lower the offer below the last trade right after a small piece trades on the offer then tighten the spread so that the sellers feel they can take a "quick profit" by "hitting the bid" on the tight spread.

Once the selling starts the MM's will walk it down quickly by only making small prints on the way down with the tight spread. Another way is by running the stock up in the morning, averaging up their short then use the above technique to walk it down in the afternoon.

Hopefully after doing this for several days, it will demoralize the buyers. The volume will dry up and the sellers will materialize thinking that the game is over.

Contrary to popular opinion, MM usually Do Not Cover in Fast moving markets either Up or Down if they are short. They Short More. They usually try to cover after the frenzy is out of the market. There are many other techniques they use but the above are the most popular.

This technique works about 9 times out of 10 particularly in a BB market. However that is because 9 out of 10 BB stocks are BS. Remember what I said above. Most MM's don't have a clue as to the value of a Company until they get trapped. If the Company has solid fundementals and a bright future. Then the stock will do very well. And the activity that caused the situation will prove to even help the future stock activity because it created an audience."

gallick - 27 Mar 2004 00:55 - 386 of 460

Croc

Can you give us one or two pointers on how trading in the daily auction works. Are there any good articles or references that you have seen? Is it true that you make most of your gains in the auction? I understand that you may not want to give away your secrets to all and sundry!

Regards
gk

Crocodile - 27 Mar 2004 09:58 - 387 of 460

Good post leggins!

Gallick
There is very little information around on using auctions. I was about to put an article together for SnappyTrader on so leave it with me and I will post it ASAP
D.

seawatcher - 27 Mar 2004 22:48 - 388 of 460

Hi,
Where can I find the Nikkei Index futures? Thanks to whoever replies.
sw

jeffmack - 27 Mar 2004 23:44 - 389 of 460

I think you can get them on www.futuresource.com

Tellon - 29 Mar 2004 15:55 - 390 of 460

Croc,

You mention your articles above, Where are they located?

Thanks

little woman - 29 Mar 2004 16:29 - 391 of 460

Theres a link to crocs page on the traders thread.
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