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Coffee Heaven - A heavenly share for penny punters ? (COH)     

overgrowth - 06 Oct 2003 22:47

underground01_2.jpgA busy day in the Warsaw Underground ! Not just another coffee shop chain - this one is a brand leader and is only trading in Eastern/Central Europe (i.e. the countries recently admitted to the EU destined for substantial business growth). The company is creating new outlets at a fair old pace and take a look at their website - these are quality stores in high-profile locations like major airports, railway stations etc. Website: http://www.coffeeheaven.eu.com

APRIL 2006 TRADING UPDATE!!! Total Gross Revenues for 12 months to 31st March up 66% to £6.3M (2005: £3.8M) Lots more info. on new markets and stores click here to read the full details. Stores: 43 (up from 32) stores currently trading (Poland: 30 (up from 23), Czech Republic: 6 (Up from 2), Latvia: 7 with a further 5 units under construction including Bulgaria and sites secured in Romania (subject contract). Bulgaria & Romania are seeking to join the EU from January 2007. Sites located in key high street, shopping malls or Airport locations. Company growth target: increase number of units by at least 20 units to some 63 units by 31 March 2007. Aim being to achieve this level of growth within present Cash resources.Cash balances at 31 March 2006 were approximately £2.9M (2005: £0.7M). Debt was nil (2005: £ 2.5M): Nil Debt! Positive EBITDA: For the year ending 31 March 2006, Group EBITDA expected to be firmly positive after charging UK and new market development costs but before exceptional costs relating to the cancellation of bonds (previous Debt). Forecasts: Based on present trading conditions and current exchange rates we anticipate indicative sales of £9.3M for the year to 31 March 2007. This includes indicative sales of £0.4M from Bulgaria, which will be reported but not consolidated. From Richard Worthington (Chairman and Chief Executive): ‘The new financial year has started well. There is no doubt that the significant economic improvement in our markets is feeding through to consumer confidence and spending. The strength of the coffeeheaven brand ensures we are ideally positioned to benefit from our customers' increasing prosperity.’

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=COH&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=COH&Si

AdieH - 28 Jan 2006 15:55 - 372 of 2037

Why would COH invest in UK company, they were set up in virgin territory in Eastern Europe... they were looking for opportunities abroad not UK market, I think your way off the mark here AJ but interesting thoughts... COH are going places but not in the UK... I attended the AGM in December and believe this company if defintely going in the right direction under excellent leadership (RW has a proven track record)...

zscrooge - 28 Jan 2006 20:43 - 373 of 2037

Augustman - you'll have to try harder than that. LOL. CFE = blue sky disaster in the south of england with pie in the sky ideas about franchising and delis. Could you tell us any more about the rumours? LOL. COH doesn't need it.

stockdog - 28 Jan 2006 21:10 - 374 of 2037

As I understand it the suggested tie up with Tesco is with its extensive E. European operations, not the UK bit. Tesco currently earns 20% (or did I read 32% somewhere earlier today?) of its revenues from its operations in Europe and Asia - something like that anyway.

So, maybe you're all a bit right (and an equal and opposite amount a bit wrong!).

My own instinct FWIW is that COH should stick to its last - I don't see tangling with Tesco resulting in increased gross margin or return on capital for a tiddler like COH.

sd

pmriess - 29 Jan 2006 20:09 - 375 of 2037

Agree with stockdog - Tesco always looks after itself - doesn't make any sense for it to tie in with COH. Have been to Warsaw recently and was pleasantly surprised - the people there, especially, those less than 45 are certainly wanting outlets like COH.
Off topic - can someone give me the web address for adfm?or adfvm?

AUGUSTMAN - 29 Jan 2006 20:19 - 376 of 2037

OK points well made - it was just a thought that I had given my interest in both these companies. Your replies make good sense. Thanks for responses - will await developments with interest. AG

Ultimate Cynic - 30 Jan 2006 16:54 - 377 of 2037

ramu - Yes, I have become a cynic since 2001. Thanks for the reply and glad to learn that my cynicism in this case was unfounded!
I hold 150,000 COH and holding for the 2 year tax break at least.
UC.

AdieH - 30 Jan 2006 17:01 - 378 of 2037

Good investment UC, I already hold after 2 years so looking for upward movement now...

drid123 - 30 Jan 2006 20:20 - 379 of 2037

Off topic - can someone give me the web address for adfm?or adfvm?
pmriess
Its www.advfn.com

sjtee - 09 Feb 2006 15:55 - 380 of 2037

Very positive write up in Shares magazine today page 30 (imho), headed Coffeeheaven's Strong Polish Brew. Seymour Pierce pencilled in break even next year 2007 based on profitability already achieved in Poland. They estimate like for like sales growing at 6%-7% across the group which is twice the growth achieved in the UK.

sjtee - 09 Feb 2006 16:18 - 381 of 2037

Noticed also made Shares promotional email in Aim section with heading Eastern Promise for Coffeeheaven

fancyfootwork - 17 Feb 2006 22:08 - 382 of 2037

Is it my imagination or does the spread seem pretty wide on COH? Maybe it's my frustration at the flat lining that is making me more observant, but it really doesn't make it a favourable buy with such a spread & no activity.

What has happened to this exciting little share?

stockdog - 18 Feb 2006 11:23 - 383 of 2037

ff - it seems to me the SP spiked overbought and has now settled back up with events. The spread has always been a killer on this one. I'm not buying more at this level, but am happy to hold what I have for a near future rise to 30p and beyond as half yearly results are announced.

On a 2-5 year view, if current early progress continues, there will be a step change when the business becomes profitable in all its arenas and/or when it starts to pay a dividend. It has to do something with postive cashflow.

I'm not sure of 2 in 5 years from here, but certainly hope for 1.18 in 4 years (I bought in mostly at equivalent of 11.8 in Feb '05 - making this a 10-fold return over 5 years forme) is possible - a nice steady return in a nicely spread geographical/economic region.

sd

Ultimate Cynic - 08 Mar 2006 16:09 - 384 of 2037

At 15:20 someone bought 1 share!
This of course is a signal to the market, I've seen it before but I don't know what it means, either BUY BUY or SELL SELL!, or WAIT there is news coming?
UC.

stockdog - 08 Mar 2006 20:28 - 385 of 2037

It's obviously the launch of COH on the local stockmarket in Slovakia - funds remainign after a nice cuppa mocha.

sd

AdieH - 09 Mar 2006 08:37 - 386 of 2037

Someone has said it could be a journalist or someone that wants to attend the next AGM... Not my view but it makes sense.... Waiting to hear when this 3 million is going to be spent....

Ultimate Cynic - 09 Mar 2006 17:20 - 387 of 2037

Adie, good point! I'd never thought of that. The transaction costs put down on his/her expenses?
UC.

silvermede - 20 Mar 2006 10:49 - 388 of 2037

Sp on the rise again at last, anyone know of any news or announcements in the offing and how COH is going to spend the 3m???

AdieH - 20 Mar 2006 15:42 - 389 of 2037

No news, various people have emailed RW but he says news isn't due until results in May... Rumours that EMPIK are increasing stake and there might be news in regard to them, it's a waiting game but things are looking very strong for COH this year... I would suggest that this latest rise is that MM's are short of stock, alot of shares held by 3 large investors so any sells being soaked straight up, also possible that a tip sheet has COH as a buy as the last couple of rises have been generated by tip sheets. IMHO...

silvermede - 20 Mar 2006 16:04 - 390 of 2037

Adie, Many thanks - long term hold! :-)

silvermede - 21 Mar 2006 14:29 - 391 of 2037

Rising nicely again today, onwards and upwards :-)
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