cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
HARRYCAT
- 06 Jan 2009 08:55
- 3762 of 21973
Am I correct in saying that it will soon be possible to short the banks again?
BARC, HBOS, HSBC, LLOY, & RBS are all constituents of the FTSE 100, which means if the hedge funds all gang up together again, the index is in for a difficult time.
dealerdear
- 06 Jan 2009 08:59
- 3763 of 21973
Yes you are right. RNS after market shut yesterday. They probably won't be in trouble because most hedge funds don't appear to be in the market anymore.
cynic
- 07 Jan 2009 15:39
- 3764 of 21973
OIL
Sorry to have to admit that i foolishly gave back a big slice of the profits i had accumulated trading nymex, but sure am glad i cut when i did ..... nymex currently dropping like a stone ahead of US crude stock report later
dealerdear
- 07 Jan 2009 15:41
- 3765 of 21973
Came out at 3pm ish I think. Much bigger stockpiles than thought.
Falcothou
- 07 Jan 2009 15:49
- 3766 of 21973
Likely to drop with Ukraine/Gaza resolution too.
cynic
- 07 Jan 2009 15:51
- 3767 of 21973
DD .... you're right
halifax
- 07 Jan 2009 17:37
- 3768 of 21973
cynic are we looking at oil falling to $25-30 over the next 3 months?
cynic
- 07 Jan 2009 17:58
- 3769 of 21973
personally i do not think so, but then i would not have expected MKS to be up on the day either!
Strawbs
- 07 Jan 2009 19:58
- 3770 of 21973
As I said over Christmas.... low volumes have a habit of exaggerating price moves in many markets, and this week may be a better guide to the true market direction. The MKS chart suggested a rise was possible, but my guess is it'll be heading back down again soon.
In my opinion.
Strawbs.
goldfinger
- 08 Jan 2009 08:07
- 3771 of 21973
HARRYCAT
- 11 Jan 2009 18:10
- 3772 of 21973
Huge amount of data out next week (w/c 12th jan) from the U.S. including retail sales & crude inventories. Will be interesting to see if that gets us close to the bottom of the bear cycle. I can't imagine any of the figures will be good, just depends on whether they are worse than anticipated.
dealerdear
- 12 Jan 2009 10:19
- 3773 of 21973
Don't think it is my imagination, but liquidity in the market definately appears to have improved over the last few days. Share price spreads are slowly returning to normal. Also, the recent profit warnings have not resulted in huge drops which tends to suggest all the bad news is already in the market. Therefore, this could be a bottoming process unless the economy takes another major turn for the worse.
spitfire43
- 12 Jan 2009 11:08
- 3774 of 21973
The market seems to have settled down recently, dare I say a little dull even. As well as prices not seeing huge drops on bad news, last week we had a number of positive trading update, even on the high street, so maybe not as gloomy as we had anticipated.
deb,dnlm,grg,dom,sbry and jd. all had positive updates last week.
dealerdear
- 12 Jan 2009 14:35
- 3775 of 21973
MKS and MPI certainly didn't!
In fact MPI has come out with two poor trading updates and the sp has remained stable.
HARRYCAT
- 14 Jan 2009 10:05
- 3776 of 21973
With so much data coming out of the U.S. today, including US Core Retail Sales m/m, US Retail Sales m/m, US Import Prices m/m, US Business Inventories m/m, US Crude Oil Inventories, US Beige Book, I am surprised DOW futures are only currently showing -29. Presumably that shows that they don't really know what's coming & will react once the figures are known?
dealerdear
- 14 Jan 2009 12:27
- 3777 of 21973
Not sure I like the look of todays drop.
Hopefully I will be proved wrong but on a day when the market may well have rose, this drop certainly has the look of a SM that knows the economy has just taken another step for the worse.
Went into Leicester last night and was shocked at the total lack of people. It was like a ghost city. It was so quiet that I thought something must have occurred during the day.
Falcothou
- 14 Jan 2009 12:31
- 3778 of 21973
8370 is major support for Dow supposedly
HARRYCAT
- 14 Jan 2009 12:58
- 3779 of 21973
DOW futures now -60.
Not sure why 8370 is critical? I would have expect support to be higher than that now.
cynic
- 14 Jan 2009 13:10
- 3780 of 21973
depends on how the charts are formulated - i.e. the "system" preferred
Strawbs
- 14 Jan 2009 13:18
- 3781 of 21973
Think 8370 is the lowest point in the last few weeks on the candestick chart. My guess is that markets will continue lower. I suspect they'll want to give G.W. a fitting send off. They'll probably give the new president a welcome bounce, but with continued economic misery I doubt it'll be long before we retest last years lows again.
In my opinion.....
Strawbs.