markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
robstuff
- 10 Mar 2010 11:46
- 3892 of 6492
Can't believe these are still around the 1 level, with possibly just days/hrs until news. If they strike on this first well I would expect nothing lower than 2.50 immediately. What do your think Markymar?
HARRYCAT
- 10 Mar 2010 12:04
- 3893 of 6492
According to what seems to be a reasonably reliable source, 5-7 days seems to be the consensus based on drilling knowledge.
EDIT : A summary of technical opinion from various other sources (no plagiarism intended):
"If the 9-5/8" has been run and they are now drilling 8-1/4" then they will be sampling the cuttings coming back and gaining info from that.
Once they reach TD they would have to pull out and then do dedicated logging runs.
That would not be until Sunday /Monday going by the time required to drill to TD and pull out, make up logging tools etc.
The crucial piece of information seems to be whether they have run the 9-58" casing. Answer, unknown.
However, people will know when 9 5/8" left Stanley because it will be obvious, it'll weigh hundreds of tons, but that pipe will have probably sat on deck (as early as possible) while its tallied and rabbited."
They will still have to drill the 8-1/2" section after setting 9-5/8" casing. The well should be logged while drilling this section and probably wireline logged after TD.
With the 9-5/8" casing run and cemented the next few days means drilling 8-1/4" into the Liz and Beth reservoir sections and will be the point of getting information back to surface to indicate if hydrocarbons are present."
markymar
- 10 Mar 2010 12:37
- 3894 of 6492
Hi Rob....am as gob smacked as you!!!!
Well i have all shares online now and have gone to level 2 and ready to start trading in and out in the coming months.
Today looks like there has been a seller in the market and looks to be finished and we could see a bounce me hopes.
Some of the rig crew are on the way back to UK after swap over and we my hear something in the near future.
bring it on pugwash!!! 3v1
hlyeo98
- 10 Mar 2010 13:18
- 3896 of 6492
It's all due to Hilary the traitor. UK should just withdraw from Iraq and Afghanistan and leave it to the US.
robstuff
- 10 Mar 2010 14:34
- 3897 of 6492
Marky - very dangerous if you start trading it now, you've waited so long, I'd stay put. In and out very rarely works.
cynic
- 11 Mar 2010 08:18
- 3900 of 6492
you mean like no oil? :-))
HARRYCAT
- 11 Mar 2010 08:47
- 3902 of 6492
"Calm down dear, it's only a graph!"
Should now be logging & then well testing to come:
"Well testing involves bringing out a facsimile prod unit, choke manifold, portable seperator, surface tree and associated hoses, piping etc, to allow the well to flow to the flare boom on the rig. There would be a clean-up flow for perhaps 12 hours to clean up the well and get rid of anything that could impede the flow. After allowing the well to re-pressurize back to where it was, they would then begin the well test. This is then burned off for perhaps a 12/24/48 hour period to determine how much flow and productivity the well would produce through a set orifice, or on various sizes of orifice (choke size). The well is then closed in and pressures allowed to build back. This gives an idea of the size and quantity of the reservoir being tested"
cynic
- 11 Mar 2010 08:53
- 3903 of 6492
+/-100 is a pretty good support level (in normal circumstances) ..... should this well be a dud, then expect a prompt fall to +/-60, at which point, it arguably becomes a buy again
of course, should at least a respectable amount amount of oil be found, then expect the acrid smell a burnt bear fur
cynic
- 11 Mar 2010 11:21
- 3904 of 6492
i'm not frightfully good at interpreting L2 numbers, so i would appreciate someone else's input
my reading of the position is that the selling (offers) at realistic prices has now nearly dried up, and that buys (bid) at similarly realistic prices pretty much match numerically, or even outweigh
if that interpretation is correct, then the brave may fancy at a punt at this level
Balerboy
- 11 Mar 2010 12:24
- 3905 of 6492
need a very long pole.........very deep round the faulklands.....don't fall off cynic.
cynic
- 11 Mar 2010 12:26
- 3906 of 6492
i use it for dancing, though HSE now insists that this falls under the "working at heights directive" so it is mandatory to wear a full safety harness, hard hat and steel-capped boots
Balerboy
- 11 Mar 2010 12:29
- 3907 of 6492
you in a leather thong and kinky boots........
Balerboy
- 11 Mar 2010 12:36
- 3909 of 6492
think I'm more right with my spelling than you are with your predicktions on DES. lol
kimoldfield
- 11 Mar 2010 12:36
- 3910 of 6492
That's the posh end of Port Stanley. :o)
cynic
- 11 Mar 2010 12:38
- 3911 of 6492
BB - not telling you; it would be bad for your health