overgrowth
- 13 May 2005 16:36
Retail Decisions are
market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They
produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally,
though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers
both in the UK and US.
They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be
a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this
"forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout
2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and
Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of
millions of shares in RTD !
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Shares Magazine had
a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is
about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution".
It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.
Here's what Shares
had to say:
"Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing
credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit
and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but
also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in
your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions.
Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime.
Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump
is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities
seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains
concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already
has fantastic experience and technology.
The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that
it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer,
T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner
of Macy's and Bloomingdales.
Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business
in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low
single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."
Retail Decisions have
continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz.
fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices
and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams
from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through.
In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over
their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company
is doing.
The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software
is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success
in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is
being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real
gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.
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Douggie
- 21 Oct 2005 16:50
- 390 of 1009
?????????????????...wish I knew what to do held up to 37p and
d
o
w
n again ;-/ so ?????????????? suspect I will hold if only as punishment for not sellling as I was suposed to do to pay for new car ..whic at that time would have been free.............was witing for the predicted 40p+ Ha.................
what about you Fred ?
Fred1new
- 21 Oct 2005 18:06
- 391 of 1009
IVC suggests it reasonable to take rights offfer, with the thought that they did a similar buy out successfully in Australia.
Would expect the price to drop a penny or so for a week. I still think its overall outlook is good. But hoped and expected that it would be in the early 40s now.
I will take up some and wait 6-8 weeks to see.
Overall RTD has been good to me.
robstuff
- 26 Oct 2005 14:25
- 392 of 1009
i'm surprised that the price has not fallen more with the current amount of selling and no-one buying. Any ideas what the Barclays transaction was all about, they seemed to buy and then sell, maybe for someone else, i.e.held in nomines for short while? or a bad investment decision?
Fundamentalist
- 26 Oct 2005 15:02
- 393 of 1009
Rob
only a guess but my view would be that they were offered to participate in the fund raising but werent overly impressed by the deal so decided to sell out. They appear to be selling down quite a lot of smaller co equity positions lately so there may be a more general market based strategy behind the decision (ie moving into more blue chip/defensive stocks)
Fundamentalist
- 26 Oct 2005 15:03
- 394 of 1009
Also, not at all surprised that the price has been pegged at the open offer price - the institutions buying in at 21p are likely to be keeping the price at or above that certainly in the short term
robstuff
- 26 Oct 2005 15:18
- 395 of 1009
thanks - good point.
Flackwell Vialli
- 26 Oct 2005 18:45
- 396 of 1009
Fundy - Why would they want to keep the offer at 21p - are you suggesting that they wish to take up o/o shares not taken up by shareholders ?
robstuff
- 27 Oct 2005 15:22
- 397 of 1009
I can't see why it's holding, it will fall below the 21 after the issue if not before
capetown
- 27 Oct 2005 15:35
- 398 of 1009
I agree,far too many sells for the ps to stay where it is
Fred1new
- 31 Oct 2005 12:06
- 399 of 1009
Strange Pricing by MMS.
I think they are holding up the Buy price, but quite happy to suck up any sells.
B/S ratio is in their favour, but also seems they are expecting price to rise once offer is over.
Volumes are very small, I would expect them to rise with the price after EGM.
Could be wrong.
Stan, is suggesting 22/11/2005 for next meeting at the Anchor.
I am happy with that date but not yet sure if I will be away or not.
Shall we say yes and see.
Douggie
- 04 Nov 2005 12:56
- 400 of 1009
Today........so far ............ :o)
skyhigh
- 04 Nov 2005 13:21
- 401 of 1009
Yep... looking better... perhaps it's now passed it's dodgy phase and the sp can now recover towards it's high...40p by new yr ?
Douggie
- 10 Nov 2005 10:13
- 402 of 1009
:o))
skyhigh
- 10 Nov 2005 10:17
- 403 of 1009
Good news today... 40p by new yr looks even more achievable now, I would have thought. (imho) ?
Douggie
- 17 Nov 2005 10:56
- 404 of 1009
Is this another abandoned RTD site..........true not a lot to be said... ;-/
skyhigh
- 17 Nov 2005 11:03
- 405 of 1009
you said all there is to say Douggie
daves dazzlers
- 17 Nov 2005 11:45
- 406 of 1009
Nope still in & happy to be here.
Fred1new
- 17 Nov 2005 13:52
- 407 of 1009
I think the problem with the share price of RTD at the moment is due to the overhang due to the placements made due to insufficient take up of the offers.
I think there has been some institutional buying at a depressed price. The deals which interest me is the following :-
""""
Retail Decisions signs PRISM licence agreement with LG Card, KoreaAFX
LONDON (AFX) - Retail Decisions PLC, a fuel card operator whose services include card fraud prevention, said it has signed an agreement to licence its PRISM fraud detection software to LG Card, the largest credit card company in Korea.The company has teamed up with Unisys Corp, the worldwide information technology services and solutions company, to install the PRISM software into LG Card's IT system.
"""
This ties in with previous agreement in USA. I am not sure what effects this will have on EPS but would expect it to be very positive. I still expect SP of 40-45 +.
When I am not sure. But did take up share offers and expect to be a long term holder.
Fred1new
- 18 Nov 2005 12:08
- 408 of 1009
Retail Decision Directors Buying of shares on 9/11/05
Reasonable size buys by 6 directors Total buy of 401923 shares at 21p.
optomistic
- 18 Nov 2005 12:11
- 409 of 1009
About 14k each on average, not massive but good to see Fred1. thanks for the info.