Sharesmagazine
 Home   Log In   Register   Our Services   My Account   Contact   Help 
 Stockwatch   Level 2   Portfolio   Charts   Share Price   Awards   Market Scan   Videos   Broker Notes   Director Deals   Traders' Room 
 Funds   Trades   Terminal   Alerts   Heatmaps   News   Indices   Forward Diary   Forex Prices   Shares Magazine   Investors' Room 
 CFDs   Shares   SIPPs   ISAs   Forex   ETFs   Comparison Tables   Spread Betting 
You are NOT currently logged in
 
Register now or login to post to this thread.

Retail Decisions - The only decision you need to make is when to buy! (RTD)     

overgrowth - 13 May 2005 16:36

Retail Decisions are market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally, though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers both in the UK and US. They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this "forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout 2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of millions of shares in RTD !

Shares Magazine had a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution". It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.

Here's what Shares had to say: "Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions. Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime. Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already has fantastic experience and technology. The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer, T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner of Macy's and Bloomingdales. Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."

Retail Decisions have continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz. fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through. In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company is doing. The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=RTD&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RTD&Si

Douggie - 21 Oct 2005 16:50 - 390 of 1009

?????????????????...wish I knew what to do held up to 37p and
d
o
w
n again ;-/ so ?????????????? suspect I will hold if only as punishment for not sellling as I was suposed to do to pay for new car ..whic at that time would have been free.............was witing for the predicted 40p+ Ha.................

what about you Fred ?

Fred1new - 21 Oct 2005 18:06 - 391 of 1009

IVC suggests it reasonable to take rights offfer, with the thought that they did a similar buy out successfully in Australia.
Would expect the price to drop a penny or so for a week. I still think its overall outlook is good. But hoped and expected that it would be in the early 40s now.

I will take up some and wait 6-8 weeks to see.

Overall RTD has been good to me.

robstuff - 26 Oct 2005 14:25 - 392 of 1009

i'm surprised that the price has not fallen more with the current amount of selling and no-one buying. Any ideas what the Barclays transaction was all about, they seemed to buy and then sell, maybe for someone else, i.e.held in nomines for short while? or a bad investment decision?

Fundamentalist - 26 Oct 2005 15:02 - 393 of 1009

Rob

only a guess but my view would be that they were offered to participate in the fund raising but werent overly impressed by the deal so decided to sell out. They appear to be selling down quite a lot of smaller co equity positions lately so there may be a more general market based strategy behind the decision (ie moving into more blue chip/defensive stocks)

Fundamentalist - 26 Oct 2005 15:03 - 394 of 1009

Also, not at all surprised that the price has been pegged at the open offer price - the institutions buying in at 21p are likely to be keeping the price at or above that certainly in the short term

robstuff - 26 Oct 2005 15:18 - 395 of 1009

thanks - good point.

Flackwell Vialli - 26 Oct 2005 18:45 - 396 of 1009

Fundy - Why would they want to keep the offer at 21p - are you suggesting that they wish to take up o/o shares not taken up by shareholders ?

robstuff - 27 Oct 2005 15:22 - 397 of 1009

I can't see why it's holding, it will fall below the 21 after the issue if not before

capetown - 27 Oct 2005 15:35 - 398 of 1009

I agree,far too many sells for the ps to stay where it is

Fred1new - 31 Oct 2005 12:06 - 399 of 1009

Strange Pricing by MMS.

I think they are holding up the Buy price, but quite happy to suck up any sells.
B/S ratio is in their favour, but also seems they are expecting price to rise once offer is over.

Volumes are very small, I would expect them to rise with the price after EGM.
Could be wrong.

Stan, is suggesting 22/11/2005 for next meeting at the Anchor.

I am happy with that date but not yet sure if I will be away or not.

Shall we say yes and see.


Douggie - 04 Nov 2005 12:56 - 400 of 1009

Today........so far ............ :o)

skyhigh - 04 Nov 2005 13:21 - 401 of 1009

Yep... looking better... perhaps it's now passed it's dodgy phase and the sp can now recover towards it's high...40p by new yr ?

Douggie - 10 Nov 2005 10:13 - 402 of 1009

:o))

skyhigh - 10 Nov 2005 10:17 - 403 of 1009

Good news today... 40p by new yr looks even more achievable now, I would have thought. (imho) ?

Douggie - 17 Nov 2005 10:56 - 404 of 1009

Is this another abandoned RTD site..........true not a lot to be said... ;-/

skyhigh - 17 Nov 2005 11:03 - 405 of 1009

you said all there is to say Douggie

daves dazzlers - 17 Nov 2005 11:45 - 406 of 1009

Nope still in & happy to be here.

Fred1new - 17 Nov 2005 13:52 - 407 of 1009

I think the problem with the share price of RTD at the moment is due to the overhang due to the placements made due to insufficient take up of the offers.

I think there has been some institutional buying at a depressed price. The deals which interest me is the following :-
""""
Retail Decisions signs PRISM licence agreement with LG Card, KoreaAFX
LONDON (AFX) - Retail Decisions PLC, a fuel card operator whose services include card fraud prevention, said it has signed an agreement to licence its PRISM fraud detection software to LG Card, the largest credit card company in Korea.The company has teamed up with Unisys Corp, the worldwide information technology services and solutions company, to install the PRISM software into LG Card's IT system.
"""

This ties in with previous agreement in USA. I am not sure what effects this will have on EPS but would expect it to be very positive. I still expect SP of 40-45 +.

When I am not sure. But did take up share offers and expect to be a long term holder.

Fred1new - 18 Nov 2005 12:08 - 408 of 1009

Retail Decision Directors Buying of shares on 9/11/05

Reasonable size buys by 6 directors Total buy of 401923 shares at 21p.

optomistic - 18 Nov 2005 12:11 - 409 of 1009

About 14k each on average, not massive but good to see Fred1. thanks for the info.
Register now or login to post to this thread.