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Chaco Resources(CHP)- new oil play (CHP)     

grevis2 - 21 Oct 2004 12:55


LONDON (AFX) - Chaco Resources PLC said it is proposing the reverse takeover
of two Paraguayan companies -- Amerisur SA and Bohemia SA -- from Candey SA and
Daniel Sztern in exchange for 27,322,404 new ordinary shares in the company.
It also plans to raise up to 750,000 stg before expenses in a placing of
36,585,365 new ordinary shares.
The company's shares were suspended on Sept 3 and it said it expects this to
be lifted today. It has called an EGM for Nov 15 to approve the acquisition and
placing plans.
Amerisur holds two oil and gas prospecting permits in Paraguay and is the
registered applicant for exploration and exploitation concession contracts over
the same permit areas. Bohemia holds registered applications for an oil and gas
prospecting permit in Paraguay and for an exploration and exploitation
concession contract over the same area.
The exploration areas covered by these three applications comprise a total of
approximately 48,000 square kilometres of the Curypayty and Parana Basins.
Chaco said these basins extend respectively into Bolivia and Brazil, where
commercial oil and gas production has been established for many years from
similar geological sections.


doughboy66 - 26 Sep 2005 16:37 - 394 of 2227

I hopes so Sharesure! if it does the first round is on me!
DB66

andysmith - 26 Sep 2005 18:10 - 395 of 2227

Been away for a couple of weeks and didn't get time to make a decision before I went when sp required 9p to buy. Fallen whilst you wait but not by much.
Is it a given that a deal has been done and if so why is sp not higher?
Are you still convinced that placement won't be at a discount?
Only playing devils advocate for thoughts whilst I get my decision sorted.

stockdog - 26 Sep 2005 18:49 - 396 of 2227

andysmith, I'm still watching from the side lines. I can't see the "certainty" that a deal is just about to be announced as any more than a 50/50 chance, with greatest respect to sharesure and other posters on here. If it was so certain, the SP would be higher; if not certain, then it's not certain, which makes me not certain.

Assuming the deal is there, my second problem is that I don't believe CHP will be able to buy into a JV that is so far down the line towards production as has been assumed here - much more like an exploration phase turning into a development phase at best - so plenty more cash to be raised, gives plenty more, less risky opportunities to enter than currently (even if higher SP, the risk/reward would be better balanced IMHO).

I am no basher, as you know from other threads, but even if I am totally wrong, and the SP rockets skywards on an RNS tomorrow, I will have been true to my own analysis, which is just as important as doing ones own research in this game. My oppposing view is what makes a market, after all.

Interested as ever to hear what you decide.

good luck to all holders

sd

dibbles - 26 Sep 2005 19:07 - 397 of 2227

Stockdog, well said, stick to your own strategy/comfort zone.

andysmith - 26 Sep 2005 21:13 - 398 of 2227

Appreciate those thoughts SD as I do those of Sharesure and others enthused about CHP. Struggling to get my head around why if the deal is done is the sp not already >10p and on the way to 20p and why would placement be at a premium to todays price?

andysmith - 26 Sep 2005 21:21 - 399 of 2227

SD, also agree with sticking by your own analysis although my own current analysis on SEO has upset a few as it did when I ejected from MMG at 270p.
Hope I'm not proved right on SEO but another 4% gone today and 15p soon IMO.
With CHP I'm very tempted but the nagging question above is keeping me out.
Good luck to those in who believe in CHP and hope you make loads of dosh even if I dally around and miss it.

ptholden - 26 Sep 2005 21:30 - 400 of 2227

andy

Two possible answers to those questions

Although we all know that the market is a sieve and most deals are known about days before official release, perhaps on this occasion the news is being kept tight. It may well be of course because the deal isn't yet in the bag, or bacause the deal is being signed overseas that the rumour telegraph is having trouble picking up confirmation.

As far as the funding is concerned, who is to say that the cash will be raised in this country, again it could be overseas which would cause difficulties for the rumour brigade - possibly. There are precedents for raising capital at a premium, so it isn't unusual. Despite what sd says, my research indicates that the oil fields have already been surveyed and much of the infrastructure is already in place, hence the oil should flow a lot quicker than many might expect. That may be why the cash could be raised at a premium, very quick return on capital.

Mostly conjecture Andy, risky play, but could have a significant return.

all the best

pth

stockdog - 26 Sep 2005 21:42 - 401 of 2227

I admit to not having the benefit of any research on the state of the oil fields and infrastructure. Should I rely on fellow posters or should I know it for myself, before acting on it - the normal rule is the latter?

In terms of allocation, I am happy with very nearly 20% of my portfiolio in oils, including a modest holding in EEN which gives me a pure Colombian play. So I guess I am not looking to increase exposure. I'm more intrigued by CHP as a short term punt - hence my concern not to incur a short term loss through greed or bad timing.

Admitting I don't know what to do is just wet, so, not being sure, I have to take the stance of not buying.

As pth admits, risky play. I guess my apetite for risk is currently sated. Happy to watch this one - hope you all succeed.

sd

ptholden - 26 Sep 2005 21:52 - 402 of 2227

sd

When not sure on something, it cannot be a bad decision to take a waiting position.

pth

cleverclogs - 27 Sep 2005 07:45 - 403 of 2227

with regards to the funding, my info on this is that the institutions will have been given the full details of the deal. If the deal is what I and many others believe then I would buy at 10p or what ever the premium is set at. Once the institutions have been given this info they are classed as insiders and can not buy at the normal rates.
i appreciate it is difficult to believe anything on bb's as most people have an agenda but I bought in a few months ago at 3p so sharedog the sp has risen by some margin on the back of rumour mill. I am not here to convince people to buy sell or hold. I am a long term holder and happy to be.

bhunt1910 - 27 Sep 2005 07:55 - 404 of 2227

Chaco mentioned in the Times "Rumour of the day" column. That should get things moving!!

Baza

M_P_H - 27 Sep 2005 07:56 - 405 of 2227

September 27, 2005

The Times

Chaco Resources, the Latin American oil and gas explorer that emerged from Gold Mines of Sardinia, eased 0.1p to 8.30p on AIM despite word that it is close to taking on a clutch of concessions in Colombia held by Spains Repsol. Chaco is due to hold its annual meeting next week.

Times article

Sharesure - 27 Sep 2005 09:05 - 406 of 2227

MPH, the reference to reference to Repsol ties in with what I heard some while back; they had declared that they were scaling down their Sth. American operations so were probably an easy target. (For me this is reminiscent of Cairn and Shell in the Far East).
The location of where all the parties to this deal have congregated seems to be a close secret - to hide the identity of the development partner until they are ready to announce?

stewart3250 - 27 Sep 2005 09:19 - 407 of 2227

I have just read The Times article and it comes across very well, looks very good I would say. I am surprised that we have not had a SP increase or more buys this morning on the back of that article.

M_P_H - 27 Sep 2005 09:24 - 408 of 2227

Stewart, the buys are just starting to tick through now. WINS can't have much more stock to sell @ 8.5 and when he's gone JEFF will follow as I've not seen him deal hardly anything in Chaco.
That will give us 8.2-8.7.
WDBM might then tick up a touch to capture any sellers.

That's my script anyhow, lets see!!!

bodeng - 27 Sep 2005 09:57 - 409 of 2227

MPH
Thanks for posting the Times article.

bhunt1910 - 27 Sep 2005 11:20 - 410 of 2227

Perhaps the rumours are already priced in ??

I would have expected more volume and more impact on the sp if the rumours were credible - dont you think?
Baza

wisemove - 27 Sep 2005 11:30 - 411 of 2227

baza....a rumour is just that....a rumour......its credibility can only be proven when the real facts are known.....for now, take your pick!

Sharesure - 27 Sep 2005 11:32 - 412 of 2227

Baza, the information I had which led to my much earlier post some weeks ago about this going to 25p-30p/share on the announcement and then on towards 90p-100p/share as production becomes a reality in say 6-8months has remained unchanged. That was based on Colombia only. Paraguay, and any oil finds there, are not factored in to that sp estimate.
The only part of the information which has changed has been the timescale to put the deals in place. I think the problem has been one of logistics only and it will be overcome by the current meeting taking place in SA. All opinion of course and interested if anyone else is getting a different message.

M_P_H - 27 Sep 2005 11:58 - 413 of 2227

WINS shifted from a seller to a buyer.
He's joined WDBM and SCAP at high bid.

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