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Retail Decisions - The only decision you need to make is when to buy! (RTD)     

overgrowth - 13 May 2005 16:36

Retail Decisions are market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally, though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers both in the UK and US. They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this "forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout 2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of millions of shares in RTD !

Shares Magazine had a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution". It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.

Here's what Shares had to say: "Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions. Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime. Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already has fantastic experience and technology. The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer, T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner of Macy's and Bloomingdales. Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."

Retail Decisions have continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz. fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through. In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company is doing. The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=RTD&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RTD&Si

Flackwell Vialli - 26 Oct 2005 18:45 - 396 of 1009

Fundy - Why would they want to keep the offer at 21p - are you suggesting that they wish to take up o/o shares not taken up by shareholders ?

robstuff - 27 Oct 2005 15:22 - 397 of 1009

I can't see why it's holding, it will fall below the 21 after the issue if not before

capetown - 27 Oct 2005 15:35 - 398 of 1009

I agree,far too many sells for the ps to stay where it is

Fred1new - 31 Oct 2005 12:06 - 399 of 1009

Strange Pricing by MMS.

I think they are holding up the Buy price, but quite happy to suck up any sells.
B/S ratio is in their favour, but also seems they are expecting price to rise once offer is over.

Volumes are very small, I would expect them to rise with the price after EGM.
Could be wrong.

Stan, is suggesting 22/11/2005 for next meeting at the Anchor.

I am happy with that date but not yet sure if I will be away or not.

Shall we say yes and see.


Douggie - 04 Nov 2005 12:56 - 400 of 1009

Today........so far ............ :o)

skyhigh - 04 Nov 2005 13:21 - 401 of 1009

Yep... looking better... perhaps it's now passed it's dodgy phase and the sp can now recover towards it's high...40p by new yr ?

Douggie - 10 Nov 2005 10:13 - 402 of 1009

:o))

skyhigh - 10 Nov 2005 10:17 - 403 of 1009

Good news today... 40p by new yr looks even more achievable now, I would have thought. (imho) ?

Douggie - 17 Nov 2005 10:56 - 404 of 1009

Is this another abandoned RTD site..........true not a lot to be said... ;-/

skyhigh - 17 Nov 2005 11:03 - 405 of 1009

you said all there is to say Douggie

daves dazzlers - 17 Nov 2005 11:45 - 406 of 1009

Nope still in & happy to be here.

Fred1new - 17 Nov 2005 13:52 - 407 of 1009

I think the problem with the share price of RTD at the moment is due to the overhang due to the placements made due to insufficient take up of the offers.

I think there has been some institutional buying at a depressed price. The deals which interest me is the following :-
""""
Retail Decisions signs PRISM licence agreement with LG Card, KoreaAFX
LONDON (AFX) - Retail Decisions PLC, a fuel card operator whose services include card fraud prevention, said it has signed an agreement to licence its PRISM fraud detection software to LG Card, the largest credit card company in Korea.The company has teamed up with Unisys Corp, the worldwide information technology services and solutions company, to install the PRISM software into LG Card's IT system.
"""

This ties in with previous agreement in USA. I am not sure what effects this will have on EPS but would expect it to be very positive. I still expect SP of 40-45 +.

When I am not sure. But did take up share offers and expect to be a long term holder.

Fred1new - 18 Nov 2005 12:08 - 408 of 1009

Retail Decision Directors Buying of shares on 9/11/05

Reasonable size buys by 6 directors Total buy of 401923 shares at 21p.

optomistic - 18 Nov 2005 12:11 - 409 of 1009

About 14k each on average, not massive but good to see Fred1. thanks for the info.

Douggie - 25 Nov 2005 09:05 - 410 of 1009

:o)) .......... mornin all ;o\

pachandl - 25 Nov 2005 15:11 - 411 of 1009

Someone had to leave eventually:

Retail Decisions PLC
25 November 2005


Retail Decisions plc (the 'Company')

Holding in Company


The Company has today been informed that, as at 22 November 2005, Gartmore
Investment Limited no longer has a notifiable interest in the Company's Ordinary
Shares of 1p each.


Enquiries


Richard Amos - Group Finance Director

T. 01483 728700

Douggie - 25 Nov 2005 16:35 - 412 of 1009

Not quite so blue now tho. .... ;-/

Fred1new - 25 Nov 2005 17:12 - 413 of 1009

They have been paid for the taking up the placement and added about 85000 from the drop of the shares. Not a bad days work. Price should stand still for another couple of weeks.

It should have a good future.

55011 - 25 Nov 2005 18:48 - 414 of 1009

It may or may not be relevant to note that Messrs Gartmore have had a little difficulty elsewhere recently. That may have forced their hand.

RTD today was good two way trading, and the price has broadly held its recent gains.

paperbag - 28 Nov 2005 10:34 - 415 of 1009

Does anyone know what is going on with retail decisions price movement today?
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