cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
HARRYCAT
- 04 Mar 2009 19:57
- 3982 of 21973
An opinion from Jon Piper of UK Analyst. It depends how you read the FTSE waves:
"Dear UK-Analyst reader,
Everywhere I look people are telling me that the low is close, it will all be over soon and prosperity will be coming back once again. I am always uncomfortable when there are too many people calling for the same thing but I guess there are two major differences. First I do not think the low is in yet and I believe the downside has one more shock left in it before the low really is in. Second I do not think prosperity will be back, but simply that we will see a multi-month rally that will in turn fail. So I still expect the majority to be confounded as I usual. If we do see such a rally it may be a final chance to liquidate assets.
In London FTSE this afternoon was at 3607 up 94 points. The rally has continued and this still counts as wave 4 of FIVE."
cynic
- 04 Mar 2009 20:02
- 3983 of 21973
we will see a multi-month rally that will in turn fail .... what a good politician's statement!
cynic
- 04 Mar 2009 21:59
- 3984 of 21973
just possibly a sustainable resurgence in the price of crude is starting ..... i haven't taken a position, as it's just a gut feeling
halifax
- 04 Mar 2009 22:26
- 3985 of 21973
Opec production cut coming soon expect a rise to $55/60.
goldfinger
- 05 Mar 2009 05:23
- 3986 of 21973
Looks that way halifax.
by the way where abouts do you live in halifax?????????
or is your username derived from the lord or the airplane?.
Gibbet street mate, brings back happy memories.
goldfinger
- 05 Mar 2009 05:26
- 3987 of 21973
Cyners, where have you been all day, miffed off with the site being down?.
Cant blame you it always happens on a up day instead of the poxy down days we have had of late.
Must remind myself to set up a back up site.
Money am used to be the best easily by a long chalk, but its getting to the point where you start to question charts, quotes , volumes etc, and that to me is gambling.
cynic
- 05 Mar 2009 07:51
- 3988 of 21973
i was playing golf followed by lunch .... was back in the office about 3, but had quite a lot to catch up on.
OIL
whether the price rises beccause of opec's cuts or because the cycle is beginning to change or the perception that the economies are close to bottoming out, is irrelevant, but the result the same
Falcothou
- 05 Mar 2009 08:30
- 3989 of 21973
I can't afford not to have exposure to oil,because when the hyper inflation kicks in ...
cynic
- 05 Mar 2009 08:39
- 3990 of 21973
you won't see serious inflation threat for at least a couple of years .... however, you will assuredly see oil consumption and/or crude price increases a long time before that .... more certain than for gold!
cynic
- 05 Mar 2009 12:28
- 3991 of 21973
so that rate cut was a big damp squib, with the markets pretty much ignoring it and even weakening a bit more .... mind you, with the banks being so damned greedy, it makes not an iota of difference to Joe Bloggs when the banks either won't lend at all or demand usurious rates which have no bearing at all on base rate
cynic
- 05 Mar 2009 13:23
- 3992 of 21973
Wal-Mart reports that February same-store sales were up 5.1% - far surpassing analysts' estimates.
surprisingly, Dow indicators are still down 120 .... very curious
cynic
- 05 Mar 2009 14:18
- 3993 of 21973
Number of people filing first-time unemployment benefits fell 31,000 last week to 639,000, U.S. says. Continuing claims also fell.
and still NY indicators keep tumbling .... how perverse
HARRYCAT
- 05 Mar 2009 14:34
- 3994 of 21973
Maybe just the unemployment figures dragging down the DOW. Sentiment rather than actual stats being the driving force.
Stan
- 05 Mar 2009 15:14
- 3995 of 21973
Anyone remember what UK time non farm numbers are out tomorrow?..1.30 rings a bell.
HARRYCAT
- 05 Mar 2009 15:16
- 3996 of 21973
USA
1:30pm US Non-Farm Employment Change
1:30pm US Unemployment Rate
1:30pm US Average Hourly Earnings m/m
4:15pm US FOMC Member Dudley Speaks
8:00pm US Consumer Credit m/m
Stan
- 05 Mar 2009 15:17
- 3997 of 21973
Thanks H.
HARRYCAT
- 05 Mar 2009 15:18
- 3998 of 21973
Is that crucial in the grand scheme of things?
Stan
- 05 Mar 2009 15:23
- 3999 of 21973
Used to be, but noticed not so lately as bad news probably already priced in these days... personally I always like to get the figures out of the way though -):
HARRYCAT
- 05 Mar 2009 21:34
- 4000 of 21973
This seems to be what finally sent the DOW reeling:
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- "General Motors Corp. said in a government filing Thursday that its accounting firm has found there is "substantial doubt" about the automaker's ability to survive.
The embattled automaker made the disclosure in a 480-page filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission.
The filing's grim tone is not a surprise. GM has sustained large and continuing losses that have now reached $82 billion over the last four years. It had previously said it needed additional federal loans, coupled with improved sales, to remain in business.
GM said in a separate statement that it is confident it will be able to turn around the business if it gets the federal help it is seeking and when consumer demand for autos returns."
Tim3
- 05 Mar 2009 23:17
- 4001 of 21973
Well went long ftse just after the us close.
In at 3503 stop now at 3497 will see what happens low risk trade plenty of upside potential imo