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Traders Thread & Thoughts - Monday 1st December (BARC)     

Crocodile - 30 Nov 2003 13:39

Premarket Futures FTSE +20 DAX +30 DOW +37 S&P +4 Nasdaq +8.5

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day - UK News

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FTSE 250

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FTSE Small Cap

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FTSE TechMark

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day  Futures  US News

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Nasdaq 100

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S&P 500

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S&P Futures

DAX / CAC    Euro News

Nikkei +302   Hang Seng +134  Asia News

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10 Year Bond

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UK/US charts have 1,2 or 5 day views. and now FT NEWS & Price link to UK, US & Asian markets. The Dax/CAC and Nikkei/Hang Seng are now switchable
News: Sorry Your browser is not java capable  

Manchester United A mystery buyer has snapped up a chunk of shares in a deal brokered by Germany's Commerzbank, reigniting takeover talk. Also MNU said it had won a new sponsorship deal from Vodafone worth 36 million pounds over four years.

Alfred McAlpine construction and support services said it was in talks with the UK's Ministry of Defence to become a preferred bidder for contract worth over 100 million pounds to the firm. A successful outcome of the talks would lead to a seven-year contract for capital and maintenance works on 120 Ministry of Defence properties in the south-west

Wolseley the world's largest supplier of plumbing and heating materials, said on Monday it had bought Swiss-based air conditioning and heating wholesaler Tobler for 52 million pounds.

Communisis <warning> direct marketing firm said it was trading below its expectations because of pricing pressures in its non-contractual personalised products and document services businesses.BTG technology development firm said its biggest new drug hope, Varisolve for varicose veins, faced a "significant delay" in the United States as it posted a slightly narrower first-half loss. The firm, whose shares plunged last month when it said U.S. regulators had suspended a Phase II clinical trial for Varisolve, said it expected to have to conduct additional clinical and preclinical studies in the United States. They posted a loss before tax of 13.4 million pounds in the six months to September 30, compared with a loss of 13.6 million in the same period of 2002.

Qantas Airways Australia's biggest airline and a key Boeing customer, said it would buy 23 new Airbus EADS.PA EAD.DE planes worth about $1.15 billion for its new low-cost carrier, Jetstar. The deal gives Airbus a firmer foothold in a fleet dominated by Boeing Co BA.N and strengthens its presence in the fast-growing and profitable Asian market, where Singapore Airlines, China Airlines and Malaysian Airlines use its aircraft.

ukf.gif Calendar: United Kingdom
usf.gif United States (GMT)
euro.gif Europe & World (GMT

 Acal (I), Belhaven Group (I), BSS Group (I), BTG (I), Christian Salvesen (I), Dawson Holdings (F), Helphire Group (I), iSoft (I), Lawrence (I), MyTravel (F), Richmond Foods (F), VP Plc (I)

09.30 Oct Final M4 Money Supply y/y 7.4% exp. 09.30 Oct Net Consumer Credit 1.6bm exp. 09.30 Nov Preliminary M0 Money Supply y/y 7.8% exp. 09.30 Nov CIPS manufacturing PMI 54.5 exp.

McData

15.00 Oct Construction Spending m/m 0.6% exp. 15.00 Nov ISM Manufacturing 58.0 exp.

08.55 Nov German BME PMI 52.3 exp.09.00 Nov BME PMI 52.5 exp.

Croc@SnappyTrader.com  WWW.SnappyTrader.com

Bloomberg TV

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little woman - 30 Nov 2003 15:57 - 4 of 18

Afternoon all,

Be back after market open

ThePlayboy - 30 Nov 2003 19:47 - 5 of 18

Updated 11/28 for Monday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 12/1
UP Above 9,805
DN Below 9,700

Holding...
Dow holds within wide trading range, watch 9,800 Monday.

From prior commentary, "...The index continues to hold its ground at the highs in a trading range, which could lead to a continuation move higher. An upside break through 9,800 could push the index higher to its next major resistance level at 9,900..."
The Dow held within the wide trading range that has formed over the past several trading sessions, seen in the 15 Minute Chart. The range spans from 9,700 to 9,800, which will be the key ranges to watch for Monday's market.

The index continues to make its way higher toward the next major resisatnce level at 9,900, which is likely the next stop for the Dow. If the index can break through and hold above 9,800, look for the Dow to head higher toward this resistance level.

Otherwise, a break below 9,870 will likely push the Dow back toward the last support level of 9,700. Look for the Dow to remain within the range boundaries until a solid break occurs.

Short Term Dow

Short term, the Dow has broken a clear lower trend line at 9,790, seen in the 5 Minute Chart. Watch for short term weakness Monday morning.

Medium Term Dow

In the medium term, we entered the market Long at 9,800 today and are still in the position. We will continue to hold stops at 9,780 and will stay Long above 9,805. We will look to enter Shorts below 9,700, with 20 point stops.

NASDAQ & S&P

The S&P traded sideways the entires session, while the NASDAQ edged slightly higher. Each continue to hold within their respective ranges, which we will watch for Monday's market. *

Summary

The Dow continues to hold right at the upper boundary of the trading range at 9,800. An upside break through this level will likely push the index back toward major resistance at 9,900, while a break below 9,780 will spark further range movement.


ThePlayboy - 30 Nov 2003 19:49 - 6 of 18

MONDAY FTSE PP

R2 4399
R1 4371
PP 4352
S1 4324
S2 4305
Close was below Fri s1 after gaining 5.1 pts in the auction!

WEEKLY FTSE PP

R2 4467
R1 4405
PP 4362
S1 4300
S2 4257

Close was above the weekly pp!

2 day ftse chart seems to be targeting the longer term uptrend at 4320 with the real test at 4280! A brk up out of the 2 day at 53, more bullish above 60
though!

Crocodile - 01 Dec 2003 07:45 - 7 of 18

Thanks TP
Morning all

Douggie - 01 Dec 2003 07:57 - 8 of 18

mornin all

Druid2 - 01 Dec 2003 08:21 - 9 of 18

Morning all. Thanks Croc & TP.

little woman - 01 Dec 2003 08:48 - 10 of 18

Morning all,

Thanks Croc & TP - I'm running late this morning, but pleased to see LLOY & PSN up this morning. Looks like BT.A finally has the support its been missing since the results came out.

Melnibone - 01 Dec 2003 08:53 - 11 of 18

Morning all,

Those US futures look good. If they can follow
through on the open we could have an assault on
the 1070/9900 areas respectively.

That would take the FTSE over 4400 and attacking
4450. Fingers crossed.

Melnibone

little woman - 01 Dec 2003 11:37 - 12 of 18

Just put a stop loss (to lock in profits) on PSN @ 4.65 for day as I have to go out soon for the rest of the day and was surprised to see it's still going up!

little woman - 01 Dec 2003 11:55 - 13 of 18

Just up'd the stop loss to 4.70

stockbunny - 01 Dec 2003 16:36 - 14 of 18

Looks generally positive today - MKS firming up, HBOS now looking
better than it has share-price-wise for a while and even LLOY
starting to battle its way upwards. MKS and LLOY still look a
little shaky -would like to see both put on another 10p or so
to get them away from the current unstable price area.

SCTN tomorrow is the news I'm now waiting for - let's hope all
the hot weather caused a great deal of beer drinking in the Summer!!

Melnibone - 01 Dec 2003 17:16 - 15 of 18

Well annoyed today.

Managed one scalp on MKS and then kept losing my D4F
connection. It went down completely this afternoon.

It always seems to do this when they do weekend software
maintenance.
I wish people would stop trying to fix things when they
aren't broke and stop tinkering.
I missed some good moves today, but there's no way I'll
trade if I'm unlikely to be able to close a losing position.

Before anyone mentions using the telephone, no, I don't
like spending my time in a queue listening to 'Elevator Music'
whilst a price continues to move against me. :-)
Been there, done that, no real urge for a repeat experience.

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 01 Dec 2003 17:28 - 16 of 18

I think this is the first close above 4400 for the FTSE.

If the US stays positive and keeps attacking 1070/9900
this could prove interesting.

An index short at the top of the trading channel will no
longer be a one way bet. Bears will be worried about a
breakout and a trend acceleration.

There will be stops above this trend channel, that if triggered
will fuel a short squeeze to the upside.

Don't want to appear too Bullish, just be aware of the possibility
before opening any fresh shorts. There is a possibility
of getting your fur burnt here.
There will be plenty of time to short if the breakout fails
because that would mean that we really were at the top of a
still intact trend channel with plenty of downside.

Melnibone

ajren - 01 Dec 2003 18:23 - 17 of 18

The reviews of FTSE indices will occur between Dec 1 and Dec 17
info@ftse.com rgds aj

ajren - 01 Dec 2003 18:36 - 18 of 18

Ref MANCHESTER UNITED above :-

Malcolm I Glazer family ltd partnership holds :-

37,357,942 shares = 14.31 per cent of company
...........................
Directors purchase - small amount - @ 245.5 per share
...........................
Company shares issued = 261,068,040
rgds aj
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