I bought in for the first time the other day, at 0.89 and 0.93p.
Some of my thinking, FWIW:
- Recovery story, starting to bear fruit, market should start to take note soon, initial post-downtrend spike having faded significantly. I like the 'picks and shovels' approach to the high oil price - stands good chance of working out well over the next couple of years or more.
- The rises on the chart at endJul and endSep saw a +ve divergence on MACD (and the falling resistance in MACD was broken upwards). That is, although the stock price peaks were successively lower, the MACD peaks were higher. No system is perfect, but that is something I look for to help spot a reversal of a downtrend to an uptrend.
- MOI "expects to announce more contract wins before December", according to a research report from GCI.
Also,
- HMY got a buy tip in IC today. I consider HMY to be in the same 'picks and shovels' ballpark as MOI, though perhaps more diversified. But HMY is plodding along nicely, and even the good historic rate of growth may be partly factored into the stock price (actually I think some more upside is likely), I see the recovery play at MOI as having potential for more significant gains.
- MOI and HMY mentioned in +ve light in AIM & OFEX Newsletter for October04 (back cover).
The stock could slide further before bouncing, and if it got to .7p, I'd be looking to add some more.
PTH - I feel your chart is a little misleading without the fuller picture told going back to 2001. That would show the 2003 low and the +ve reaction coming out from suspension in Dec03. There is a potential rising support from that 2003 low, through the lull in Aug04, to today's current price of 0.835p. Until there's an upmove soon, that support would not be proven, but it is a factor, IMO.
There is also a possible long-term falling resistance, looking like it comes in around 1.0p, which could affect up-moves for the short term. That's not proven yet, either, however.