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Traders Thread - Thursday 16th December (TRAD)     

Greystone - 16 Dec 2004 06:15

Digger - 16 Dec 2004 07:00 - 4 of 10

London shares are expected to open in positive territory, tracking Wall Street gains, but the weakening dollar and fresh highs in the price of oil could limit gains, dealers said.

According to spread-betting firm IG Index, the FTSE 100 index is set to open around 9 points higher at 4,737, after closing at 4,728.2 yesterday.

Over on Wall Street, indices ended higher as optimism sparked by Sprint's acquisition of Nextel and robust results from Lehman Brothers sparked a rally, as investors shrugged off concerns about rising oil prices and a fresh slide for the dollar.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended up 15 points at 10,691.45.

Digger - 16 Dec 2004 07:26 - 5 of 10

MARKETS
FTSE 100 4,728.2, up 5.4
FTSE 250 6,757.9, up 42.2
DJIA 10,691.40, up 15.00
Nasdaq Comp 2,162.55, up 2.71
S&P 500 1,205.70, up 2.30
Tokyo: Nikkei closed at 10,924.37, down 32.09
Hang Seng midday 14,050.99, down 27.55
Gold 440.92 usd (436.90 usd)
Oil - Brent Jan 41.75 usd (39.25 usd)

BREAKING NEWS
* INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS pressing ahead with the disposal of its 1 bln stg UK Holiday Inn portfolio after receiving bids from Whitehall, the Goldman Sachs property fund, Blackstone, the private equity group, and Lehman Brothers - FT
* Blow to Blair as Blunkett goes; home secretary resigns after e-mail revelation; PM moves quickly to avoid accusations of crisis; education secretary Charles Clarke takes over - FT
* Werner Seifert, Deutsche Borse's chief executive, seeks to reassure the LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE that his interest in acquiring it is not a hostile bid and that he is amenable to negotiation on all aspects of an agreement - FT
* Focus Wickes in exclusive talks to sell its Wickes DIY operation to TRAVIS PERKINS for a price close to 900 mln stg - FT
* BRITISH AIRWAYS and Spain's Iberia expected to announce today the formation of a joint venture on their routes between London Heathrow and Madrid and Barcelona - FT
* Sprint and Nextel forge 35 bln usd telecoms merger
* WATERFORD WEDGWOOD agrees 40 mln stg takeover of ROYAL DOULTON

PRESS COMMENT
FT
THE LEX COLUMN comments on US Treasury data (barring any global policy shift, the greenback almost certainly has further to fall), Citigroup, Fiat/General Motors, Hennes & Mauritz - CENTER PARCS (cheap for the sector, but reflects the market's apprehension about energy cost rises)
Telegraph
QUESTOR: HANSON (avoid), CENTER PARCS (take a break from Center Parcs), PHYTOPHARMA (highly risky, but worth buying)
Times
CONNAUGHT (vague talk of predatory interest) - DIRECTORS' DEALINGS: CAPITA GROUP (chairman sells stock for 3.6 mln stg) - SMALLER STOCK TO WATCH: LENNOX HOLDINGS - TEMPUS: KINGFISHER (hold), JOHNSTON PRESS (hold), BRITANNIC GROUP (hold)
Guardian
SMITH & NEPHEW (dollar impact) - CORUS (talk of an upbeat trading statement)
Independent
THE INVESTMENT COLUMN: HANSON (built on solid foundations), REG VARDY (buy) - GALLAHER (Japan Tobacco bid talk)
Express
LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE (counter-bid hopes) - WHO'S DEALING: LEGAL & GENERAL (director buys 25,000 shares at 110-3/4 pence, for a holding of 151,447 shares) - SHARE WHISPER: PRESSAC (TT ELECTRONICS bid speculation) - BROKER'S VIEW: PREMIER FARNELL ('buy' from 'neutral' - Deutsche Bank)
Mail
AUGEAN (plans to acquire waste management or water businesses)

Digger - 16 Dec 2004 07:42 - 6 of 10

ARM Holdings PLC has been downgraded to 'neutral' from 'buy' at UBS following a rally in the shares over the past three months that was driven partly by the acquisition of Artisan Components, traders said.

UBS said it is concerned about the execution risk of ARM's 910 mln usd purchase of Artisan and the impact of the strong dollar on 2005 EPS.

daves dazzlers - 16 Dec 2004 07:47 - 7 of 10

Morning all.

Velocity - 16 Dec 2004 08:46 - 8 of 10

Jesus, what a crap market - returned from 2 weeks away and it's hardly budged! Still long hte, emg, ukx

bugsymalone - 16 Dec 2004 09:34 - 9 of 10

C&W eyes Thus as it prepares to spend

ALASTAIR REED


CABLE & Wireless chief executive Francesco Caio yesterday signalled that the 132-year-old telecoms group is gearing up for a spate of acquisitions, and warned that smaller operators - such as Glasgow-based Thus - were likely to be swallowed up in the fight for market share.

With local loop unbundling (LLU) set to transform the telecoms industry within the next couple of years, Caio told The Scotsman yesterday that the industry had now reached a point where consolidation was inevitable. C&W, he said, was banking on being one of the consolidators, rather than the consolidated.

"During the next 12 to 18 months, there will be large-scale consolidation," he said. "Whether in the form of mergers, retrenchment into niches or straightforward acquisitions, there are simply too many players, and I see LLU as the ideal catalyst for change."

LLU is the process by which operators are given access to incumbent BTs local exchanges - essentially giving them direct access to the customer. So far, about 20,000 local exchanges have been unbundled and the recently appointed independent Telecoms Adjudicator, Peter Black, is aiming for a figure closer to one million by 2006.

Speaking ahead of the boards first meeting in Scotland for years, Ciao said the telecoms industry has for too long relied on rising demand to fuel growth. He said it has the capacity for no more than "two or three big players, with maybe one or two smaller ones".

He added: "This is a critical moment for the industry to develop a sustainable future. And only those that can afford to invest in both scale and access will come out on top."

C&W has been persistently linked with a move for Thus, whose shares have dropped more than 60 per cent since mid-February.

Yesterday, Caio denied that any contact had been made with the Glasgow operator and would not comment on whether Thus was a potential target, but added: "Whenever we think of our presence in Scotland, we have to consider Thus, because it is a very important part of that landscape.

"I would be wrong to rule anyone in or out at this stage. Like many players, Thus has its strong points and its challenges. But its important to remember how quickly the industry changes, and I think those players with small-scale and limited access are going to face a pretty large challenge in the coming months and years."

C&W has a cash pile in the region of 1 billion, but to the displeasure of the City, has not made any major buys, limiting itself to the 18.6 million acquisition of Bulldog, the small internet service provider, and the 108m purchase of a controlling share in Monaco Telecom.

Despite persistent speculation about "the next big deal", Caio said the industry was still largely overvalued.

"Anyone looking from the outside would assume that wed be looking to strengthen our balance sheet through acquisitions," he said. "But Im happy not to have consolidated anything so far. Values have been coming down for a year, and could get even lower."

C&Ws ambitions come just two years after it was largely written off as the basket case of the telecoms industry, following an unsuccessful expansion into the US under former chief executive Graham Wallace. Since then, it has cut about 1,500 jobs, sold assets and undergone a dramatic restructuring and, under Caio, has found its way back to profitability. Last month is announced it was returning 250m to shareholders, in a clear move to curry favour with both the City and investors.

Greystone - 16 Dec 2004 09:55 - 10 of 10

Travis Perkins issuing 5,000,000 new shares today at a minimum 1500p per share
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