irlee57
- 13 Aug 2007 09:03
any comments, thoughts, on this stock.
steveo
- 26 Sep 2007 12:11
- 410 of 1029
Big Al:
I beleive the main reason for the rise was that they weren't paying the dividend and rumours that there are interested parties present, bearing in mind that positive sentiment it didn't do much, considering its value just a few days ago. The sp is struggling to get to 180p, every day that passes puts it under more pressure. However I am by no means an expert whatsoever, just someone else having a small punt. yes it was up 8% now nearly 11%, that is why I increased my short, see more likelihood of downside from here. Time will tell
Re AL. short at 770p but have a tight stop loss on it, this credit crunch has a long way to go in my opinion.
Big Al
- 26 Sep 2007 13:11
- 411 of 1029
I'm a happy longer at the mo. ;-))
Big Al
- 26 Sep 2007 13:14
- 412 of 1029
Flat after +6-ish
Balmoral
- 26 Sep 2007 13:47
- 413 of 1029
closed short yesterday - now short again at 183.5 - stressful share to trade, clearly hard to call ....
cynic
- 26 Sep 2007 13:54
- 414 of 1029
indeed .... but though there are certain bullish noises from a few interested or even partisan parties, i really (and truly!) cannot believe there is anything other than tears for the shareholders
Balmoral
- 26 Sep 2007 14:00
- 415 of 1029
cynic - me too - I'm more concerned about it going into administration if a solution can not be found - then I'd be truly busted not able to close the short!
cynic
- 26 Sep 2007 14:02
- 416 of 1029
not sure what happens in those circumstances .... do you have any definitive info from your broker on same?
Balmoral
- 26 Sep 2007 14:13
- 417 of 1029
cynic - will check with gni
Kayak
- 26 Sep 2007 14:17
- 418 of 1029
There are special provisions enabling buying to close shorts even though shares are suspended. Basically you would agree a price with a market maker or the spreadbetter.
cynic
- 26 Sep 2007 14:22
- 419 of 1029
thanks Kayak ..... knew it would have to be closable somehow
Big Al
- 26 Sep 2007 14:22
- 420 of 1029
Not sure it's wise to be short with bids in the offing and trying to second guess a bid size. A bit dangerous?
cynic
- 26 Sep 2007 14:26
- 421 of 1029
yup ..... but will leave to run for the moment at least, even though my gut feeling is that any bid will be worth no more than 2p!
halifax
- 26 Sep 2007 14:28
- 422 of 1029
Cant imagine any financial institution making a bid before examining NRK's books.
Big Al
- 26 Sep 2007 14:50
- 423 of 1029
Goes without saying halifax.
To start a wider discussion, what is the value of NRK? People are bandying around extremely small numbers, but the value of the loan book must be substantial. Is there anyone around here who is good at the fundie stuff? I freely admit I'm crap and always have been. I mean they have to pay interest on what they've borrowed on the money markets too, but similarly they've got it coming in from the mortgagees who by all accounts are merrily paying what they are due every month. I could go on, but was wondering others views.
Anyone enlighten me?
Guscavalier
- 26 Sep 2007 15:09
- 424 of 1029
I wonder if you should put the question to RAB Capital Big Al, they must of made some assessment having invested some 5% of its fund in NRK.
Balmoral
- 26 Sep 2007 15:10
- 425 of 1029
Big Al - NRK has 113bn of mortgages which need to be sold at a discount - if sold at only a 5% discount - that's a loss of 5.65bn - they have just over 2.bn of net assets so the bank would then be insolvent
Balmoral
- 26 Sep 2007 15:31
- 426 of 1029
response from broker re holding short positions if share suspended ...
Generally, it depends on the reason for suspension - and whether any explanations have been given. Risk make an assessment and almost always, the stock goes to full 100% Initial Margin. It is suspended at whatever the Exchange suspends it at, and then we wait until the stock either comes back to the market or disappears.
If a stock goes into administration then it would almost certainly go into suspension and again, 100% IM etc....would apply. But, since administration would most likely mean Bankruptcy, there could be other difficulties. It can be difficult or impossible to close the position, and if one could find a seller to match your short out, then it would require LSE approval. Also we would have to wait on the Administrators to see whether there are any other liabilities.
Falcothou
- 26 Sep 2007 15:33
- 427 of 1029
The knock-on effect from the US sub-prime market shows no sign of letting up in Japan.
In the last 7 days Origami Bank has folded, Sumo Bank has gone belly up and Bonsai bank announced plans to cut some of its branches. Yesterday is was announced that Karaoke Bank is up for sale and will likely go for a song while today shares in Kamikaze bank were suspended after they nose-dived and 500 back office staff at Karate Bank got the chop. Analysts report that there is something fishy going on at Sushi bank and staff fear they could get a raw deal.
hlyeo98
- 26 Sep 2007 15:36
- 428 of 1029
Sounds like Northern Rock has turned into Rotten Pork
cynic
- 26 Sep 2007 15:38
- 429 of 1029
Falco .... you should be ashamed of yourself! .... lol!!