cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
cynic
- 27 Mar 2009 10:39
- 4160 of 21973
not around too much today so have banked some prudent profits ...... it seems to me that even if the markets are generally continuing north for the moment, this has been such a strong week that a reaction is due, especially as it is friday and very close to both month and fiscal year end
money (profits) in the bank are never a bad thing, and it leaves me nicely liquid should the markets fall to leave some useful buying opportunities
goldfinger
- 27 Mar 2009 11:22
- 4161 of 21973
Yes cyners, thats a politicians summing up of youve got it wrong directionaly in past few days and youve taken your dosh off the table because you now think we are heading down.
Nice one.
We all get it wrong you know.
Rock on pineapple bonce.
Falcothou
- 27 Mar 2009 12:17
- 4162 of 21973
Dollar strengthening today look out bulls!
Falcothou
- 28 Mar 2009 09:03
- 4163 of 21973
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/recession/5062625/FTSE-100-and-Dow-Jones-predicted-to-tumble-28pc.html
cynic
- 28 Mar 2009 15:59
- 4164 of 21973
courtesy of boss of IG Index
cynic
- 30 Mar 2009 10:58
- 4165 of 21973
am very glad indeed i drew in my horns on Friday, and have taken more profits today before all got frittered away, a course which i have dismally failed to take in the past.
i really don't know where all is headed, though a pull-back was always on the cards, and that was before the politicians started bickering among themselves
HARRYCAT
- 30 Mar 2009 11:45
- 4166 of 21973
DOW tipped to open down 180 points at present.
Not sure if going long FTSE is the thing to do yet. More downside to come imo.
cynic
- 30 Mar 2009 16:30
- 4167 of 21973
GM + Chrysler
these arrogant bastards don't deserve to be saved.
i suspect that at the end of the day, there will be a forced merger and a lot of overpaid and totally inept managers sacked.
inevitably a slab of the innocent workforce will also be sacrificed, but it has amazed me or many years how any of these auto m'facturers ever make a profit, for they have to sell an obscene number of new cars every year just to break even.
HARRYCAT
- 30 Mar 2009 16:56
- 4168 of 21973
Don't get too worked up. It's always been a question of over capacity but with people in jobs. Something has to give eventually. Nothing you or I can do about it. I suspect, as you say, they are too big to survive in today's climate. Looks like the jobless figures are due to rise again:
"The Obama administration autos task force rejected the turnaround plans of General Motors Corp and Chrysler LLC, forcing out GM's CEO Rick Wagoner, and warned both could be put through bankruptcy to slash debts. The news sent equity markets overseas lower by more than 2%. A potential bankruptcy for the auto industry should send traders to the sidelines and look to lock in profits from last weeks gains."
cynic
- 30 Mar 2009 17:22
- 4169 of 21973
i'm not worked up exactly .... it's just that we have almost never come across an efficient US biz, though they all think they know it all and are God's gift!
Falcothou
- 30 Mar 2009 17:26
- 4170 of 21973
The managers should have a read of Durable car ownership re. Morris Minor's in their retirement (Charles Ware).Is the system of buying new cars every 3 years and then binning them fundamentally flawed! Built-in obsolescence, excessive hype, ecological cost etc., keeping up with Jones'.An old Moggy will do 40mpg, do 90mph safely with appropriate mods,have free road tax and cheap insurance and be 50+years old. Where is the progress?
steveo
- 30 Mar 2009 22:43
- 4171 of 21973
well as expected ftse didn't manage to stay above 4000 for long, starting it's journey down again. Question is how long can the dollar stay strong? This is clearly affecting commodity stocks, as well as worsening news on global GDP.
China is going to start making big waves about US fiscal policy and will be looking at setting up it's own reserve currency, certainly in asia. Until the subsequent weakening of the dollar, commodities and therefore ftse will weaken, banks will come into negative focus again after such a stella rise, protectionism will resurface in next week as G20 spend alot of time talking about doing things.
negative expectations surely outweigh positive, when will it end?
Will it end in the next quarter? When will dollar weaken? When will inflation return? That's when we'll get growth in equities that is a true bull market and not a technical rally. I'm short and going with the trend.
Falcothou
- 31 Mar 2009 08:10
- 4172 of 21973
Watched Bloomberg last night after going long wti.nikkei, ftse,s@p, Hong kong from close(all closed now). Bloke from IG interviewed reckoned it was a trader's not investors market at the moment ie short term USD strength.The drop on Dow yesterday wasn't GM/Chrysler as their weighting is small but general sentiment vix hit 45 highest for several months. One trader said 760 s@p was key support and likely to be tested this week with Jobs data on Friday . Again it was a last hour rally(short termers taking profit?). Yesterday could also have been longs taking profits but ISA rally fund managers talking things up to get investors locked in could still have an effect...sidelined
cynic
- 31 Mar 2009 08:15
- 4173 of 21973
in other words he had no idea at all!
in fact, i think US on reflection will applaud the fact that GM and Chrysler were given short shrift
cynic
- 31 Mar 2009 18:11
- 4174 of 21973
Lucky Alphonse had another good day at the races and is looking to continue it with a FTSE long (3908) while NY is open and looking strong ..... shall prob encash at least some of that during the course of the evening
steveo
- 31 Mar 2009 18:54
- 4175 of 21973
Well, poor data from US has been well and truly shrugged off today, could this be a sign of a bull market? I haven't got a clue either!!
If 4050 breaks, could we be on for 4300, certainly volatile at the moment.
Falcothou
- 31 Mar 2009 21:13
- 4176 of 21973
Last hour reversal yet again, rally on low volume today. Things perhaps looking grim for G20 resolutions on Thursday not good if George Soros is to believed+ jobs data on Friday should be interesting
Falcothou
- 31 Mar 2009 21:27
- 4177 of 21973
Small Uk company apparently doing very well Cynic unsure if listed
http://www.rocks-off.uk.com/whoweare.asp
steveo
- 01 Apr 2009 22:02
- 4178 of 21973
estimated 700k job losses in US last month, 3x last years figure, market shrugs it off, positive data from US re housing and confidence, albeit from low. Market is getting optimistic, suckers rally or bull market?
cynic
- 01 Apr 2009 22:23
- 4179 of 21973
markets are always forward looking by 6 months or more .... however, expect a rocky ride for some time to come .... all could yet go pear-shaped