And a mention here aswell 200p short term target............
Trading View
Independent Banking
Source: Insinger de Beaufort, Bloomberg
Accelerating development pipeline
Significant commercial potential: MMI is an emerging biotechnology company
focused in cancer and infectious diseases, both areas of significant commercial
potential. MMIs strategy is to develop drugs to Phase II clinical trial stage and then
commercialise via out-licencing agreements with pharmaceutical companies. Thin
pipelines and patent expiries have acted as a catalyst for a large number of deals
with small cap biotechs such as MMI, even for products which are relatively early
stage. For example a deal with Oxxon Therapeutics could potentially be worth up to
44m in up-front and milestone payments in order to access Xenovas early stage
cancer DISC HSV vector technology. It is also interesting to note recent benchmark
deals for pre clinical early stage compounds with promise - Novartis paid c.$157m to
Xenon and J&J is paying up to $295m in a deal excluding royalties to Arena.
MMI has four R&D divisions:
a) Oncosense (wholly owned) - technology based around the precious metal
ruthenium which is potentially up to 15 times more efficacious than the
most potent platinum anticancer drug.
b) Genvax (JV) - developing DNA vaccines for cancer with Southampton
University/Cancer Research UK Leukaemia Research Fund
c) Viratis (JV) - viral infections with Kings College London
d) Endozyme (wholly owned) - drug resistant Infections working with
Cambridge University/Novartis
MMI also provides technical services to UK academic and commercial institutions
which apart from generating revenues, also provides a stream of potential in -
licensing opportunities.
Tight cost control: Given a current cash balance of 2.6m, MMI has enough cash to
last until Q1 06. Whilst it would not be prudent to discount a future fund raising,
additional cash inflows may come from licensing deals. Furthermore MMIs R&D
expenses are contained via collaborat ions outlined above and also contracting out
to CROs (clinical research organisations).
Strong management: MMIs management has been strengthened recently with the
appointment of Dr James Hoeschele (co-discoverer of Carboplatin, a platinum based
anti-cancer treatment) to work on MMI's leading ruthenium compounds which are
expected to reach the market during 2008.
Strong newslow: During the course of 2005 MMI aims to bring 6 new products into
Phase I/II clinical trials including compounds from MMIs ruthenium based
anticancer programme. The JV Genvax is due to report on Phase II trials treating
follicular lymphoma on the 18th March. These results are expected to be positive
and as such could drive the share price higher despite the recent good run. MMI is
also currently negotiating with a number of potential licensee companies for the
ruthenium technology. Conservative target price of 200p (DCF) generates 50% plus
upside to current share price which 1s 111.5p.
Medical Marketing International (MMG.L) Trading Buy
Biotechnology
UK Equity Research
Alexien Eve Isaac +44 (0)20 7190 7197
Paul Bethell, CFA +44 (0)20 7190 7198
researchldn@insinger.com
Previous close price (p):
116.0
Market cap (m):
62.0
Target Price (p):
200.0
Year End:
March
Net cash position:
2.6m
cheers GF.
http://www.bendavidson.co.uk/MMI-02-23-05-trading-view.pdf