Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

Manky Shins
Thanks

BTW - Swiss Frank is Swiss Tony's Dad - he's on the Bayswater Road but sells bells and whistles !!

mg X1V (What happened to the Lira?)

PS Not so sure about the "Pound Stops Selling" - been looking for a long entry without success.....

mg,

Do you see what I mean about not using SAR's alone?

For instance, Cable was a no-brainer short at 7am. You would, however, have been whipsawed out several times for a loss had you used SAR's in a non-trending market. Once the trade moved into profit and picked up a bit of momentum with the trend after about 9am, then it was safe to employ the SAR's. Only now is it starting look as though the end might be nigh.

edit: And out as I typed.

You really are a star - nice trading.

For my sins I went long just after 12:00. Using the SAR settings I may well be just about to exit for around 25.

More tools in the armoury - and as I learn to be more disciplined. Tend to be a bit of a Gung Ho trader - can work sometimes but often gets me in trouble ;(

Out as I type.

NEW YORK (AFX) - The dollar was higher against the euro, but lower against the yen, Tuesday after weaker-than-expected May retail sales and producer price reports were attributed to a short-lived decline in oil and gas prices.

In afternoon trade the euro was down 0.5% at $1.2050 and the dollar down 0.2% at 109.31 yen.

The Labor Department reported that producer prices dropped 0.6% in May, the largest drop in more than two years.

Excluding food and energy costs, the core PPI rose 0.1%. Economists were expecting the PPI to fall 0.2% and the core rate to rise 0.2%.

Separately, the Commerce Department said U.S. retail sales fell by a weaker-than-expected 0.5% in May.

The dollar initially weakened against the euro after the soft data reports, but later regained strength as investors realized the weakness in both reports was due mainly to the lower oil and gas prices seen last month.

Both commodities have been trending higher in June, and revisions to the PPI are likely, analysts said.

The dollar's strength against the yen also was linked to an assertion by former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Alan Blinder that he would be surprised if the Fed stopped raising the Fed funds right before it reached 4%, they said.

The euro's weakness was compounded by pessimistic remarks about the eurozone from German monetary officials.

Caio Koch-Weser, Secretary of State to the German Ministry of Finance, said there is considerable uncertainty over the pace of the eurozone recovery, according to Action Economics.

Koch-Weser also said gradual improvements in the labor market have come to a halt and that there is no sign yet of significant strengthening of domestic demand and consumption

A rise in crude futures pressured the yen overnight. While more expensive energy would also take a toll on the U.S. economy, Japan is seen as more vulnerable to a downturn in global demand. Therefore, higher oil prices tend to push down the Japanese currency.

July-dated crude was last trading down 0.7% at $55.25 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after climbing back over the $55 a barrel level on Monday.



This story was supplied by MarketWatch. For further information see www.marketwatch.com.

Wanting to do a bit of real Forex - got quoted 69.44p to the Euro as a special offer in Thomas Cook - 1000 gives you (arghh - no Euro key on my keyboard) 1440 Euros. Doesn't look too good from where I'm standing but then that's the high street - does anyone know where the best holiday money can be obtained? Looking for 1000 worth.

edit, having checked, I suppose it's not too bad. Trying to see if I can do better - I'd normally stick most on my credit card whilst we're away but have to pay cash for the accommodation.

edit #2 - starting to look like a very good deal - just wish I could get 1.5 Euros to the .

Seymour. For what it's worth I opened a Euro acount with Barclays. If you deposit 25,000 or more at a time they will give you a sort of 'spot' rate, linked to the rate at that moment. When I did it, it was a good rate compared with that running at the time (they give you a number to ring, day or night). They also gave a decent rate for smaller deposits - better than that quoted by Barclays at the time (at least when I did it 18 months ago), but that's only in working hours I think.

SC, Ctrl-Alt-4 :-)

Thanks Kayak - was wondering what you were on about for a minute! It works!!!

Maggot - I only want my holiday money. Will see what NatWest will offer me as they're always wanting to make contact and sell me new products etc.

Is it not easier to just use plastic abroad, SC? Either to pay a merchant direct or to make a cash withdrawal through a hole in the wall.

Yes Hilary, that's what I intend to do. However we're renting the flat we're staying in from a friend who wants paying in Euros. Usually I take very little cash. The 1.44 seems to be about the best on the High Street.

Whipsaw alley on cable at the moment - it doesn't seem to know which direction to go. My guess is that $ strength based on better than expected results - but I'm not playing this game until there's a bit of clarity.

Staggered data releases, mg. IP beats the street.

That means fillyerboots with $

Somebody give it some va va voom. Please!

nbg. I've had enough for today.

Mankywoo
Just gone short cable @120

Have a nice day y'all

Ooops
Out -25 guessed wrong on that one. Should stick to indicators instead of a wet finger in the wind ;(

Forex - Dollar remains lower in late trade on weak CPI report - UPDATE 4
AFX


NEW YORK (AFX) - The dollar fell against its major counterparts Wednesday after, after a softer-than-expected consumer inflation report dampened expectations for more aggressive rate hikes.

In late trade the dollar was down 0.2% at 109.21 yen. The euro was up 0.7% at $1.2107.

Adding to the gloom, foreign capital flows failed to cover the monthly trade deficit - of $57 billion - for the second consecutive month.

'The combination of a negative CPI, weak economic US data (falling retail sales, weakening ISM, slowing payrolls) and US inability to fund the trade deficit present a triple whammy for the US dollar as it not only reduces the need for further Fed tightening and dollar yield accumulation but also raises fears of sustainable deficit financing from abroad,' said Ashraf Laidi, chief currency strategist at MG Financial Group.

The dollar dropped after the Labor Department reported consumer inflation in May declined for the first time in 10 months.

The consumer price index decreased 0.1% in the month, driven by a 2% fall in energy prices, the biggest decrease in energy prices since July 2004.

Food prices rose 0.1%. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.1%.

Economists were expecting the CPI to rise 0.1% in May, after a 0.5% gain in April. The core rate was expected to rise 0.2% in May after remaining unchanged in April.

The CPI reading comes a day after producer price data, showing its largest drop in more than two years. See full story.

The tame inflation report was followed by a stronger-than-expected Empire State report, a measure of manufacturing sentiment in the New York area.

The headline June index climbed to 11.7 points from a far weaker-than-expected negative 11.1 reading in May.

The Fed also reported a better-than-expected rebound in industrial production and stronger capacity utilization

'We continued to assume that the general declines in the various factory sentiment measures through the first half of 2005 reflect a downside correction from unsustainably strong levels in 2004, and an adjustment that has coincided with a modest inventory correction over the March-May period,' wrote economists at Action Economics.

Separately, the Treasury Department reported that foreign capital flows rose to $47.4 billion in April from 40.6 billion in March, as foreign central banks bought more Treasury bonds, while falling short of the level needed to cover the massive trade deficit.

Bank of New York Senior Currency Analyst Michael Woolfolk said the inflows were far short of a $70 billion market consensus expectation. In addition, the data showed little evidence of intervention flows from emerging Asian nations, highlighting concerns about whether foreigners will continue to help fund the U.S. deficit.

Overnight, investors had little reaction to the Bank of Japan policy board's widely expected decision by majority vote Wednesday to keep its ultra-easy credit policy unchanged.

The nine-member board voted to maintain the central bank's liquidity target of 30 trillion yen to 35 trillion yen, but will also allow the amount to temporarily drop below the target when market conditions warrant. A minority of members continued to press for a change in the liquidity target.

'When it is judged that liquidity demand is exceptionally weak considering such factors as responses of financial institutions to the bank's funds-supplying operations, there may be cases where the balance of current accounts falls short of the target,' the Bank of Japan's statement said.

The decision means the Japanese central bank will continue its quantitative easing policy of keeping short-term interest rates around zero by flooding the short-term money market with excess cash.

The Japanese currency got support overnight as U.S. Treasury Secretary John Snow kept the pressure on China to revalue its currency, a move that would likely lead other Asian currencies to appreciate.

On Tuesday, Snow said in a speech prepared for delivery to the Centre for Economic Policy Studies that global economic imbalances 'need to be dealt with and this is the time to deal with them,' according to AFX-Asia.

His remarks to the Brussels think-tank re-emphasized the U.S. call for China to introduce flexibility to its exchange rate policy, and said dialogue on the issue is going well.

In his speech notes, he said that 'China is now ready to take immediate and significant action to achieve currency flexibility'.



This story was supplied by MarketWatch. For further information see www.marketwatch.com.

Forex - US dollar rangebound vs euro in Tokyo; EU summit in focus
AFX


TOKYO (AFX) - The US dollar was rangebound against major currencies, including the euro, in early afternoon trade here, with investors awaiting the outcome of the EU summit meeting, dealers said.

EU leaders are holding a summit in Brussels where they are attempting to thrash out a deal on the 2008-2012 EU budget and to decide to what to do about the EU constitution.

At 1.05 pm (0405 GMT) here, the euro was quoted at 1.2103 usd, after trading in a range of 1.2093-1.2120 usd. About two and a half hours earlier in Sydney it was at 1.2101 usd and at 1.2102 usd in late New York trade overnight.

The dollar stood at 108.89 yen, compared to 108.92 yen earlier in Sydney and 108.95 yen in New York trade. It had traded between 108.76 yen and 109.01 yen here.

'The euro bias remains bearish. This is because of political uncertainty in the euro zone, interest rate differentials between the US and Europe and its softer economic growth outlook,' said Satoru Ogasawara, currency strategist at Credit Suisse First Boston.

Against this backdrop, analysts said the market tended to shrug off factors negative for the US, including the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's headline manufacturing index falling to minus 2.2 pct in June from 7.3 in May, the first negative reading since May 2003.

Ogasawara said this was because US Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan had earlier suggested that the Fed would keep its current pace of lifting interest rates.

Ogasawara also said comments by Kansas City Federal Reserve president Thomas Hoenig overnight gave the greenback a lift.

Hoenig said that economists, in general, judge the Fed's neutral rate to be somewhere between 3.5 pct and 4.5 pct, suggesting that the Fed could be poised to put in place a number of additional rate hikes.

'We expect the US unit to remain on a firm footing this year. Our house forecasts that the Fed will raise the federal funds rate to the 4.0 pct level this year,' Ogasawara said, adding that the euro could tumble to 1.18 usd within one month and to 1.15 usd in six months.

He forecasts that the dollar will probably fall against the yen as the Japanese economy has shown some signs of steady recovery. He said the US unit could fall to the 105 yen level in a three-month period.



Tokyo 1.05 pm (0405 GMT) Sydney 11.30 am (0130 GMT)

Oh 'eck - no calendar update this week :(