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Lloyds Bank (LLOY)     

mitzy - 10 Oct 2008 06:29

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=LLOY&S

dreamcatcher - 19 Dec 2012 17:46 - 4237 of 5370

It's always worth keeping an eye on the earnings forecasts for your favourite companies, especially if you use forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio to gauge when to buy and sell your shares.

You never know, if City brokers have been revising their projections of late, your investments may not be as cheap -- or expensive -- as you think!

Today I'm looking at the earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for Lloyds Banking Group (LSE: LLOY.L - news) , the FTSE 100 (FTSE: ^FTSE - news) (UKX) high-street bank. All my figures are courtesy of S&P Capital IQ.

The consensus for 2012 is for earnings per share of 2p, which puts the 47p shares on a lofty forward P/E of 23.

The estimates also suggest earnings may rise to 4p per share for 2013 and then climb to 6p per share in 2014 before flattening off at that level the year after.

The data from S&P Capital IQ also indicates Lloyds Banking Group's revenues may struggle to reach the levels attained in 2011. They are expected to fall to £18.5b and remain largely unchanged for three years. Revenues could then climb to £19.1b in 2015.

All told, the forecasts aren't great, with earnings essentially predicted to go nowhere after 2014. But then again, that P/E of 23 looks like the market is hoping the forecasts may be too pessimistic.

Whether these projections make Lloyds Banking Group a buy, a hold or a sell is, of course, up to you. To put the company's multiple into perspective, the FTSE 100 at 5,967 trades on a P/E of around 11.

Further company comment is available at www.fool.co.uk.

HARRYCAT - 20 Dec 2012 13:35 - 4238 of 5370

Amazing performance & 50p looking likely before Xmas. Not sure if LLOY are part of the LIBOR scandal, but seems as though they have dodged that bullet so far.

goldfinger - 28 Dec 2012 09:34 - 4239 of 5370

http://money.uk.msn.com/lloyds-to-cut-rates-for-borrowers-1

HARRYCAT - 02 Jan 2013 11:44 - 4240 of 5370

Comment / Opinion concerning LLOY performance in 2013:

http://www.digitallook.com/news/2362/The_2013_Outlook_For_Lloyds.html?storysrc=motleyfool

halifax - 02 Jan 2013 14:32 - 4241 of 5370

50p bid!

goldfinger - 03 Jan 2013 08:22 - 4242 of 5370

03 Jan Lloyds Banking... LLOY Deutsche Bank Buy 0.00 49.69 66.00 66.00 Retains

66p SP Target.

goldfinger - 04 Jan 2013 08:53 - 4243 of 5370

04 Jan Lloyds Banking... LLOY Deutsche Bank Buy 49.47 49.71 66.00 66.00 Retains

SP Target 66p.

HARRYCAT - 09 Jan 2013 08:41 - 4244 of 5370

Just touched 52p!!!

skinny - 09 Jan 2013 08:49 - 4245 of 5370

big_grin_smiley_face_sticker_p2177463679

skinny - 09 Jan 2013 09:05 - 4246 of 5370

UBS Buy Upgrade Tp raised from 50p -> 60p

Bullshare - 09 Jan 2013 09:56 - 4247 of 5370

seems to have some momentum

halifax - 09 Jan 2013 11:49 - 4248 of 5370

sp going well 53p+

HARRYCAT - 09 Jan 2013 12:13 - 4249 of 5370

Part of UBS note today:
"Recent developments such as the appointment of an outsider to become the next Governor of the Bank of England, easing of liquidity rules by the BIS as well as the introduction of the SLS and encouragement of the UK banks to run down excess cash reserves lead us to believe that the future regulatory agenda will be less aggressive than what we have experienced over the last 18 months.In our view, Lloyds investment strategy is simplest of the UK domestic banks. The story is defined with the group focussed on execution. In our view, Lloyds is clearly going to deliver rising margins, falling costs and falling provisions which should provide a very strong upswing to profitability and EPS momentum over the next few years.Unlike RBS and Barclays which have been lending strongly into the UK mortgage market while contracting balance sheets in other areas, Lloyds has been shrinking both its non-core assets in 2012 and its core lending into the UK mortgage market as well. In our UK Banks Monitor published today “Normal service is now being resumed” we see scope for this to reverse in 2013 which will provide an additional catalyst specific to Lloyds."

skinny - 09 Jan 2013 12:44 - 4250 of 5370

RSI looking a tad over bought gap @56p and a gap up this morning.

lloychartgap_zps90902970.gif

kernow - 09 Jan 2013 15:00 - 4251 of 5370

I believe the break-even price is around 63p, taking account the toxic protection exit fee LLOY paid HMG. I wonder if HMG might now be upping talks to divest their stake?

skinny - 09 Jan 2013 15:09 - 4252 of 5370

Breakeven is 74p.

From last March :- Fund managers shun RBS at breakeven price

kernow - 09 Jan 2013 16:14 - 4253 of 5370

Agreed Skinny but some consider the calculation this way Guardian dec12

skinny - 09 Jan 2013 16:32 - 4254 of 5370

kernow - bloody accountants :-)

@50p I'm (finally) in an overall profit on ALL of my LLOY - bought on the way down and on the way up.

goldfinger - 09 Jan 2013 16:52 - 4255 of 5370

Nice nice.........very nice.

ps got at least 3 full broker notes today. if ive got time Ill post em so that they can be redistributed.

Got the sister here for new year, well belated new year so a bit busy.

kernow - 09 Jan 2013 17:04 - 4256 of 5370

Well done Skinny. Traded in/out many times myself but need to improve my hindsight I feel. Confident hold atm imho.
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