markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
Proselenes
- 06 May 2010 12:36
- 4380 of 6492
Given the excellent news on RKH you can see the shorters on DES desperate to close positions now :)
LOL
Proselenes
- 06 May 2010 12:46
- 4382 of 6492
Would be lovely to see RKH past 100p later today :)
Make them shorts burn as they struggle to close their positions.
skinny
- 06 May 2010 13:09
- 4383 of 6492
Just closed for +10.5 - not bad for 17 minutes work :-)
halifax
- 06 May 2010 13:13
- 4384 of 6492
DES does not have an interest in RKH's sea lion oil discovery so why the rise in the sp?
Proselenes
- 06 May 2010 13:21
- 4385 of 6492
Shorts closing.............panic by shorters.
greekman
- 06 May 2010 13:31
- 4387 of 6492
Halifax,
I think it is just down to the rockhopper well 'proving that there is oil in them thar hills'.
Never been in Des (In RKH, FOGL and FKL) but this discovery has indicated that the possiblity of Des and all F1 oilies have of finding oil is enhanced.
So as a RKH holder I am obviously well (no pun intended) please, but to the Des holders, you should take encouragement. To those who still hold, I wish you the best of luck.
Proselenes
- 06 May 2010 13:36
- 4388 of 6492
I sold a load of DES in the spike and buying more RKH on the dips now.
This could be a big find.
19% porosity and 53M of net oil pay.
halifax
- 06 May 2010 13:40
- 4389 of 6492
PP if that is the case why does RKH say in their RNS there is an option to abandon the well?
HARRYCAT
- 06 May 2010 13:42
- 4390 of 6492
I think because it's only a test well, not a production well.
greekman
- 06 May 2010 13:45
- 4391 of 6492
Halifax,
As I understand it ,until the discovery if 'fully accessed' the mention of the possibility of 'plugging' is made in order to cover themselves.
A bit like the bottom line on investments. 'Your investment may go down as well as up etc'.
Not an oil expert by a long shot, so waiting for clarification re the 19% porosity/53M of NET oil play etc. Sounds brilliant but is it.
Anyone out there able to clarify.
halifax
- 06 May 2010 13:49
- 4392 of 6492
or does it mean having established the presence of oil RKH is anxious to minimise rig costs and move on to ernest?
greekman
- 06 May 2010 13:58
- 4393 of 6492
Could be. As now they have struck oil, they will await full analysis that will show if they need to drill deeper straight down or of at a tangent. So yes, I suppose it could mean they could move the rig to the next site, whilst awaiting such data. Again hope someone can fill the gaps in for us.
Proselenes
- 06 May 2010 14:18
- 4394 of 6492
All the wells will be P&A. That is the plan for DES/RKH/FOGL.
This eliminates the need to return in a short time period to continue, so the plan was that whether they hit oil or not all wells will be P&A.
If they do not P&A they are obligated to return with a rig in 6 to 9 months to do further work, so by P&A'g all wells, even discoveries, they negate the need to return in a very short time frame.
This allows them time to head home, churn the data, make decisions and then return as per their own schedule.
The exciting thing here is the mention of "suspending" the well. That is not the P&A as was planned.
This might mean its a very big find.
Proselenes
- 06 May 2010 14:19
- 4395 of 6492
Update from Westhouse
"Malcolm Graham-Wood, director of broking at Westhouse Securities, comments: "What looks like an excellent result from Rockhopper and with 100%, if the well is on target for the mean recoverable number of barrels of 220 million then the unrisked value per share is 308p. We need further data and info from the company but we have said that they have the biggest potential upside (354p) of the two drilling this programme."
greekman
- 06 May 2010 14:22
- 4396 of 6492
Proselenes,
Thanks for that. A lot clearer now.
TheFrenchConnection
- 06 May 2010 14:42
- 4397 of 6492
in at 44.............out at 54 .....a bit premature i know........but have a feeling buying will tail off and finish day at 50p level..........good luck et al.........................edit >......and back in at 58p ....
Proselenes
- 06 May 2010 14:53
- 4398 of 6492
RKH update from Oriel.
"Rockhopper Exploration (RKH, under rveiew, 77p) - Sea Lion oil discovery, initial thoughts
Rockhopper has announced that initial indications are that the Sea Lion well in the North Falklands is an oil discovery
The well encountered a 150m gross sand and shale interval with 53m of net pay in multiple pay zones. The thickest zone had net pay of 25m
Average porosity is c19%, but there was no indication of permeabilities at this stage. This remains the key uncertainty given the quality of reservoirs encountered to date in the North Falklands, including the Barremian interval being targeted in this prospect, has been variable
Additional logging information is being collected before a decision is made whether to abandon the well or suspend it for further testing at a later date.
The net pay encountered appears to be larger than that used to estimate the P50 pre-drill resources of 170mmb for the prospect. Our analysis of the seismic time section in the CPR suggests the targeted reservoir interval had pay potential of c20-30m to derive the pre-drill volumes, although this has not been confirmed by the company
Based on a notional US$8.5/boe valuation (may prove to be conservative in a US$90/bbl environment), a 170mmb discovery would be worth c600p/sh
Although early days this is clearly an encouraging result and the positive share price reaction is not overdone. The result also has positive implications for further prospectivity on both Rockhopper's and Desire's acreage in the North Falklands, particularly the Barremian fan plays on the eastern basin margin (Rockhoppers' analogue prospects include Fox at c144mmb and Stephens at c106mmb)
Our recommendation is under review pending a further update on the well, especially any data regarding reservoir quality"
aldwickk
- 06 May 2010 15:15
- 4399 of 6492
TFC
I think i might have done better then that last month , done a DES day trade bought @ 40 sold @ 50.
Also bought RKH @45, sold today @ 81
TFC , you always seem to go missing, 3 years ago just before the toxic banking loan's then just before the BP oil spill and the trouble in greece...... lol